The MAG Commentary - 05/19/2023
Patrick O'Connell
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The MAG Commentary:?051923
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 05/26/2023:
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending?UPWARD, PLUS 7.03 for the past week ending on 05/19/2023.
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In our opinion – not investment advice – next week will -yet again - continue to be epic!?Be Aware – Be Awesome –
To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to our YouTube channel!
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For the upcoming trading week, ending on 05/26/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
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VIX index:?Bullish!
VVIX index:?Bullish!
SPY index:?Bullish!?
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:?Bullish!
QQQ:?Bullish!
Copper:?Bearish!
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” – Surprise – Surprise – Bullish --- Yet one more Sucker Rally!?
This will be interesting to see how long this sucker rally lasts!
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So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that – Surprise-Surprise - our algo indicates that the Bulls at ?least for the week ahead – are in control!
The Bears – yet again – are in hibernation!
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Our SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric -?– confirms this bullishness of course.
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In our opinion massive global bank runs are still ongoing- notwithstanding the massive printing of fiat money to “stem the run on banks”.
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Some analysts say that QE, or Qualitative Easing is back again – at least for the banks!
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This is – of course - NOT investment advice – but fasten your seat belts- a bumpy ride awaits!
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Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
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For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession!
Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel -?is sharing that the “D” word may be more likely than a mere recession!
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More analysts and bankers are now forecasting the coming of a depression – NOT a recession!
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What do YOU think?
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We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
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When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street! Indeed – this disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is growing – a LOT!
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We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
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As the sucker’s rally plays on – from time to time- on a seemingly random basis (as it is doing for the week ahead) - in our opinion- the ship (just think of The Titanic) – continues to sink – and increasingly so!
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These sucker rallies can last for weeks at a time- during a Bear Market!?When the rug pull comes – as it inevitably WILL - the result will be a dramatic decline in the market indexes – in our opinion of course!
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More and more analysts are forecasting a catastrophic commercial real estate crash!?All we can say is “Wow”!
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We do not think we have seen the bottom.
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Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
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Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much still with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period - in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market!
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Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and –
Our Full Disclosure:
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This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
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The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
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Please note,?Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,?for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our?VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
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This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only?happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
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One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
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The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
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We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 05/19/2023:
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I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on YouTube:??05/20/2023
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Let them sit in their silence.
When they come home they will stare at you when you complain about the food in the restaurant or say that you need new curtains. Their eyes will look down and their shoulders will sag for a moment. Then they will look up and smile a false smile, followed by a nod. They don't care about your food or your curtains, they don't really care about what the kids did at school today or who said something bad about a friend. You will look at them and think you did something wrong, - you didn't. They just don't share your values anymore.
They have seen humanity at its worst and best, seen children die for being in the wrong place, men and women die for no reason other than the simple fact that they were 'available' for killing. They have seen friends die to save others, starved for days and taken food from the pockets of dead comrades, shared their last biscuit by breaking it into four squares. They have walked for days through mud simply to turn around and walk back again, slept in the open snuggled up to others for warmth. Your values are no longer theirs.
Don't think they don't love you. They do, more than you could ever understand but right now they can't listen to you or watch you talk about your life, your problems or your concerns. Those concerns only matter to you.?Don't repeat your questions, they heard you the first time and haven't changed their minds. They don't want to answer you.
When they come home give them space, give them support from a distance, let them sleep alone if they wish, let them talk to their old comrades, only they truly understand. Don't be hurt or jealous, they need those friends as much as they need you. Let them sit in their silence, they need to heal.
They will never be the same again, but neither will you.
Robin Horsfall
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If you support my work go to?robinhorsfall.info ?and consider purchasing one of my books.
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Former SAS Soldier. Leadership in every environment. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Inspiring Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
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Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
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The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
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I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post -?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
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Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
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Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
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New stuff:
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Pinball Preparedness-People need to understand the ramifications of going into debt for a country. Dozens of countries are at the mercy of the CCP because they got addicted to borrowing money that they cannot repay. China is STEALING the world. The CCP is the greatest Organized Crime Institution
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Full Spectrum Survival- Chief of Naval Opns- has a warning for ALL of us- Says that the Trans Polar nature will now drive NATO activities-GOVERNMENT WARNING TO GET UNDERGROUND. NUCLEAR ATTACK THREAT.
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Poplar Report- The Mass Incarcerations have begun- They WILL come for you- sooner or later- But They WILL COME! Be Aware- or be Disappeared!-The humanitarian crisis at the border is one that will in the end affect everyone in the US. The way that the government is not protecting rights, avoiding a
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Alaska Prepper-Farmers Forced To Abandon Wheat Crops As Food Collapse Accelerates - Prepare Now!
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Redacted-The southern border is weeks away from a tidal wave of illegal migrants coming North from the Darien Gap. Schools in New York are converting their gymnasiums into homeless shelters to prepare for the influx of new illegal immigrants. Former Green Beret Michael Yon joins Redacted from the AZ
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Stephen Gardner-Colonel Tony Shaffer shares with Stephen Gardner why Putin is putting nuke bombers near the Finland border. Putin will move to nuclear strikes before he will risk losing this war. We also discuss the attack on the hypersonic missile and the Russian attack on the US-provided Patriot m
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Ecomic Ninja-It's all falling apart - Zelinsky- addresses Saudi League summit on whay they should sand against Putin. Really? Ha Ha Ha - How do you say "BRICS"-- Guess the "Z" didn't get the message! Hint: The world is moving towards DE- Dollariztion. Got i?
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i Allegedly - The Shoe is Ready to Drop- It won't be pretty! Fasten seat belts! Insurance companies?are ceasing to write Life Insurance Policies- Certain auto policies are NOT being written. Yikes!
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?Posted by
1 day ago
Full Spectrum Survival-INSIDE ALERT. MERCENARIES ARE CALLED UP. NATO IN POSITION TO ATTACK.
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Canadian Prepper- Game over? -Bakhmut has fallen, Ukrainian Commander hasn't made appearance in wks, US snds nuke data, Russia has won that battle. Putins Bunker plans leaked, Bilderberg entertains Sam Altman, NATO dusts off thousand page war plan, Ukraine gets warplans, Italy Sends troops2theFront
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Economic Ninja-I Can't Believe They Just Did It - DeDollarization is accelerating- BRICS nations focused on ditching the US Dollar - ASAP- Many more nations to get on board- soon? If so- Timberrrrr-- Look out below- Fasten seat belts folks! Its gonna get butt-ugly!
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
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Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
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Go here:
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Stay tuned for the next issue!
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Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
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Patrick
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We also publish a weekly newsletter on Substack:?The Market Algo Newsletter – It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market?- index for the upcoming week – and global geopolitical commentaries -
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Unlock the power of Email marketing with these quick videos-Expert Guidance Inside:
Free - Watch this NOW:???https://youtu.be/4la0_cSixIw
(NOT an affiliate marketing link!)
////
?
Check out my 2 YT channels(my pen name is “Luna Maypole”)-to see how I use ChatGPT for YouTube:
?
Don’t miss Luna Maypole’s
“Pearls of Wisdom-Words to Live By”!
Global Thought Leaders’ Advice
For Today’s World Leaders:
If you want to follow NM-Kitty, as she travels around the planet- follow her at the link below.?She is always looking for new adventures in more places to share the Meow of it all!
Don’t miss Luna Maypole’s latest Chapter of “NM-Kitty’s Meow Adventures”:
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Find “NM-Kitty” on page 1 of “Google Search”!
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