The MAG Commentary: 021823
Patrick O'Connell
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The MAG Commentary:?021823
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending?Downward, MINUS 0.78 for the past week ending on 02/24/2023.
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 02/24/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index:?Bullish,
VVIX index:?Bullish,
SPY index:?Bearish,
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:?Bearish!
QQQ:?Bullish,
Copper:?Bullish,
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance�Bearish!
So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that – Surprise-Surprise - our algo indicates that the Bears – once again – are in control for the week ahead!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession! Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel - ?is sharing that the “D†word may be more likely than a mere recession!
What do YOU think?
We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets
When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street!
We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market
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Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and:
Our Full Disclosure:
This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations
Please note,?Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance †metric,
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,?for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our?VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only?happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 02/18/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on LinkedIn: ??02/16/2023
Ukraine needs ammo!
This is a crucial time in Ukraine. The Russian system of war is still simple. Weight of numbers and weight of artillery on a broad front. Expenditure of men and ammunition is being pushed to its limits on both sides but it is much higher for Russia who are on the offensive. It has been estimated that Russia is using 30,000 artillery rounds every day while Ukraine is firing 5000.
Under the present circumstances Putin must hope that Ukraine will run out of ammunition before Russia does and be forced to capitulate. This is probably his only path to any form of victory.
The western democracies are very aware of this strategy and know that they must immediately increase their military industrial capacity. This is not a decision that can wait. Western reserves and stocks of munitions have already diminished enough to cause concern about what more can be given. The danger now is that national leaders will try to leave others to pay the price while they sit on the side lines and cheer.
Once again we need to remind everyone that there must be a unified front against Russia. Ukraine needs ammo, and we must all find a way to provide it. Governments of all nations must engage their industrial leaders and find a rapid method of increasing output
In the meantime we must hope that European nations including the UK have learned (once again) that defence of their borders is their first priority and that expenditure on defence is what protects our peoples and our freedoms. The Ukraine conflict proves yet again that when we get soft and lazy someone else will take advantage of our weakness, - no matter how nice and rich we are.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
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领英推è
Who Dares Shares
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time†geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide†community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time†updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Eventâ€:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post -?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
Not the most “elegant†and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
Here are the major “real-time†news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
47,906 views Feb 18, 2023 #Depression #Economy #Business We are getting warning after warning from some very serious business, people and economist that what we are heading into is going to be much worse than a regular recession. This is going to be the big “D" word. #Depression #Economy #Busines
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Large Chemical Tank Ablaze & ANOTHER Train Derailment | US National News & World Reports
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World War 3 is coming in 2023
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The World War 3 Predictions of Nostradamus
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The Tsarichina Hole ("First Human" Found in Suspended Animation in Bulgaria)
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The end of the US foretold? - Is the end of American hegemony imminent- Events prophesised by baba Vanga-YET TO COME IN 2023 AND BEYOND- UNDERGROUND ALIENS, BABA VANGA AND QUANTUM BIOLOGY - FULL HD DOCUMENTARY - V ORIGINAL
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30,280 views Feb 16, 2023 #inflation #breakingnews #dailynews Boots on the ground report from Walmart and Aldi in Pittsburgh, PA. Covering the empty shelves and food shortages at the grocery stores here so you can see the supply chain issues where you are. Genesis Gold Group | https://genesisgo
30,280 views Feb 16, 2023 #inflation #breakingnews #dailynews Boots on the ground report from Walmart and Aldi in Pittsburgh, PA. Covering the empty shelves and food shortages at the grocery stores here so you can see the supply chain issues where you are. Genesis Gold Group | https://genesisgo
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361,094 views Feb 14, 2023 #redacted #claytonmorris #natalimorris NSA whistleblower and american hero Edward Snowden agrees with us here at Redacted that all of this UFO talk is just a distraction to take your mind off of what’s really going on here. Take your mind off Seymour Hersh’s bombshell re
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
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Everyone have a great holiday season and a stellar New Year!
Patrick
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Realtor Associate @ Next Trend Realty LLC | HAR REALTOR, IRS Tax Preparer
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