The MAG Commentary: 012723
Patrick O'Connell
Check out my LinkedIn Newsletter for info on how my digital content sizzles- to include info on my awesome Market Algo NL that forecasts the S&P500 weekly trends!
Breaking?- My ?01/27./2023 MAG Commentary:
The MAG Commentary:?012723
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Check out where the power outages are currently occurring in the US:
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 02/03/2023:
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending?Upward, PLUS 9.8 ?for the past week ending on 01/27/2023.
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 02/03/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index:?Bullish,
VVIX index:?Bearish – Not Looking Good!
SPY index:?Bullish,
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:?Bearish,
QQQ:?Bullish,
Copper:?Bearish,
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance”?Bullish!
Please note that the SPY, or SPDR – S&P500 ETF – is Trending UPWARD, PLUS 9.8, for the past week ending on 01/27/2323!
So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that our algo indicates that the Bulls are now – at least for now - are again in control for the week ahead!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession!
What do YOU think?
We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
When we have a bullish week as we did last week - it demonstrates, yet one more time, that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street!
We think this is- yet again – a sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market
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Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and:
Our Full Disclosure:
This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
Please note,?Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,?for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our?VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only?happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 01/27/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on LinkedIn:?01/26/2023
The Mechanised Armoured Division.
It is a huge undertaking to form and train a modern armoured division. The Challenger, Leopard and maybe Abrams tanks that will be donated to Ukraine will form part of a mechanised, armoured division.
A modern US armoured penetration division is enormous and comprises of 4 Brigade Combat Teams, totalling 4 tank battalions and 3 armoured cavalry battalions. A tank battalion has 3 companies, each of roughly 14 tanks.
An Armoured Division has about 250 tanks, (the tanks are coming).
A Manoeuvre unit includes 3 Armoured Brigade Combat Teams. 1 Armoured Cavalry Troop, 1 Robot Combat Vehicle Company, 1 Brigade Engineer Battalion, and 1 Brigade Support Battalion. The Combined Arms Battalions are intended to be a 2-to-2 mix of Armour and Mechanized Infantry Companies. Additionally, the Armoured Cavalry Troops is composed of 2 Tank Platoons and 2 Bradley-mounted Scout Platoons. The Bradleys were delivered recently.
Divisional Cavalry Squadrons operate with a Penetration Division forming an Armoured Cavalry Squadron. This squadron will include 3 Cavalry Troops and a Surveillance Company. A Division Artillery Brigade has 3 Field Artillery Battalions, 1 Field Artillery Battalion.
Combat Support includes an Engineer Brigade. The Engineer Brigade with 3 Engineer Battalions that control a total of 7 Combat Engineer Companies and 5 Bridging Companies. These elements, in addition to the brigades’ own engineer assets, will enhance the division’s ability to breach obstacles, perform counter-mobility operations, and make mass river crossings.
Sustainment includes a Division Sustainment Brigade, which will consist of a Division Sustainment Support Battalion, Support Maintenance Company, Movement Control Company, and Quartermaster Company.
Aviation support includes an Aviation Brigade with an Attack Helicopter Battalion, Assault Helicopter Battalion, Attack/Reconnaissance Squadron, and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Company as its flying units. Attack helicopters will be in short supply but drones will fill some gaps.
Ukraine is unlikely to achieve all of this, but their aim will be to come as close as possible. It will take several months to assemble and then it is a question of where it will be used.
领英推荐
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post -?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
43,473 views Jan 27, 2023 A nuclear expert explains everything you need to know about radiation from nuclear blasts. Watch Part 1 of interview with Nuclear War/ Radiation Expert Steven Harris Here https://youtu.be/CqSNwtqvbmc Watch Part 2 Here https://youtu.be/IsZz82Ri24I Nuclear Supplies https:
73,642 views Streamed live on Jan 25, 2023 #TheWatchman #Missiles #Russia On today’s Watchman Newscast Livestream, host Erick Stakelbeck breaks down Russia’s claim that it recently tested a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile in the Atlantic Ocean. The missile test comes as the U.S. and Germany pr
WW3 will have NO winners- Everyone will lose- Some countries will lose people- Others will lose EVERYTHING!-Are YOU ready for this - when- not if- it comes to YOUR neighborhood?-THIS JUST IN. GERMANY DECLARES WAR ON RUSSIA. GET READY NOW.
FIRST ALERT. RUSSIA WARNS OF GREAT CATASTROPHE. USA HAS A PLAN TO HIDE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.
GET READY. US MILITARY PREPARING FOR THE BIG ONE. EMPTY SHELVES AND NO MORE DOCTORS.
ONLY THE BEGINNING. MASSIVE WARNING ABOUT YOUR FUTURE.
Gravitas- The Wuhan Covid 19 Vrdus- Millions could Die! _ This one is VERY LETHAL- The deadliest variant so far- Are you ready for it to hit YOUR neighborhood?- 248,397 views Jan 18, 2023 China's Wuhan Virus wave could be worse than expected. A new projection has revised figures for the # of DEATHS
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
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We are all family - so why shouldn’t we give each other some joy and happiness at the end of an epic year- in more ways than one!
So- Here’s my offer - My way of helping you get more qualified leads and increasing your brand awareness - a “you can’t lose” offer- Take it - or leave it- either way, it’s my way of giving back to a most awesome MAG Commentary Newsletter community!
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Call me today (or we can meetup on a Zoom call) – IF you think your website can use the sizzle of a “Get to know me and my business” video”: 1 505 717 1748 – - - ?Patrick--- Remember – if you don’t get results – you don’t pay a dime!
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What you need to know:
All I need from you – is a Microsoft (or Libre) Word document – printed in English- I have AI software that can create an awesome voiceover – you don’t have to be the one speaking- unless you want to.?Either way – no worries!
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Analytics online marketing research shows people like the music in the background -BTW!
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Again – this is a no-brainer – IF you don’t get results – you owe me nothing!
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A “can’t lose” scenario.
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Everyone have a great holiday season and a stellar New Year!
Patrick
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Realtor Associate @ Next Trend Realty LLC | HAR REALTOR, IRS Tax Preparer
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