The MAG Commentary: 012023
Patrick O'Connell
Check out my LinkedIn Newsletter for info on how my digital content sizzles- to include info on my awesome Market Algo NL that forecasts the S&P500 weekly trends!
The MAG Commentary:?012023
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 01/06/2023:
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending?Downward ?MINUS 2.62, for the past week ending on 01/20/2023.
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For the upcoming trading week, ending on 01/27/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
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VIX index:?Bearish,
VVIX index:?Bearish,
SPY index:?Bearish,
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:?Bullish,
QQQ:?Bullish,
Copper:?Bullish,
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance”?Bearish!
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Our Conclusion:
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So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that our algo indicates that the Bears have come out of hibernation – The Full-on Bear Market is once again – front and center – for everyone to see!
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Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
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For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession!
What do YOU think?
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We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
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We do not think we have seen the bottom.
Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
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Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market
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Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and:
Our Full Disclosure:
This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
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The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
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Please note,?Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,?for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our?VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
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This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only?happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
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One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
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The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
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We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 01/20/2023:
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I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
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Published on LinkedIn: ??01/20/2023
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Are heavy tanks 'defensive or offensive' weapons?
The meeting of Secretaries of Defence from the western democracies in Ramstein today is crucial for the next phase of the Ukraine war. The most important decision under discussion is whether Germany will release European Nations that use Leopard 2 Heavy Tanks under licence to send their Leopard 2s to Ukraine.
Of all the democracies that support Ukraine, Germany has procrastinated and prevaricated the most. Yet of all the nations of Europe, Germany should know the terrible threat of a renewed, aggressive Russia. The German government are 'discussing' whether heavy tanks are 'defensive or offensive' weapons. I find that question obtuse and ridiculous. All weapons are offensive, they kill people. Whether they are one or the other depends on who attacks first.
I hope that the pressures from the UK, Baltic and East European states will prevail and the tanks will be released without further delay. Even then it will take a minimum of twelve intense weeks to get the weapons operators and maintenance teams in place in sufficient numbers to have a strategic influence in defence or attack. If Ukraine can field 150-300 advanced heavy tanks then they would have a considerable advantage in either context.
Russia and #ukraine are both searching for an opportunity to strike a decisive blow first. Experts think that any impending major attacks will come in the spring. I am not so sure. Spring is the time of rain and mud. February or June would be my time, while the ground is frozen or dry.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
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Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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领英推荐
FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
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The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
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I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post -?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
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Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
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Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
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New stuff:
112,262 views Jan 18, 2023 Gerald Celente, Publisher of The Trends Journal, returns to Kitco News to discuss his geopolitical outlook, as well as his forecast for the global economy in 2023. He also discusses specific asset classes such as gold, stocks, and Bitcoin. Celente spoke with Michelle Mak
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Shocking New Data Shows the Economy is Crashing at the Fastest Rate in a Year Steven Van Metre 156K subscribers
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This Means Trouble for All of Us -- Dan --- iAllegedly
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The Petro Dollar is dead- Meet the Petro - Ruble, the Petro-Yuan, whatever Petro- The Saudis want - but NOT exclusively the so-caled Petro-Dollar. The New World Order remade into the New "Petro-anything" ! -12,589 views Jan 20, 2023 Changes in world markets will make our lives different at home.
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MONEY IS NOT SAFE IN THE BANK - GET IT OUT BEFORE YOU NEED IT & IT DISAPPEARS + MORE NEWS
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Refinery EXPLOSIONS -Multiple States -250,000 BPD OFFLINE | Patrick Humphrey Patrick Humphrey 75.2K subscribers Subscribed 1.4K
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THIS IS VERY DANGEROUS. NEW REPORT WARNS THAT HELL IS COMING. Full Spectrum Survival 345K subscribers Subscribed 1.3K
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18,997 views Jan 16, 2023 Microsoft has now created an AI that can mimick almost any voice in only three seconds. This is a gift to scammers and serves no good purpose whatsoever. LINK: https://greatgameindia.com/microsoft-... cash.app/$pinballpreparedness https://freesteading.com/groups/pinb
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1000s of Ships STUCK -Cyber Attack on SUPPLY CHAIN -Global Routes DISRUPTED | Patrick Humphrey Patrick Humphrey 74.7K subscribers 5,372 views Jan 16, 2023 Get 50% OFF Use Code "FOUNDERS" https://www.humreport.com/sign-up Email Signup https://www.humreport.com/ Follow me on twitter https://twitt
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25,654 views Jan 15, 2023 Today we talk about the biggest risks of 2023 according to Klaus and friends. NATO is going all in, every indicator points to stagflation which is WORSE than hyperinflation. Use discount code PREPPINGGEAR for 10% off Best TASTING LONGEST LASTING PREPPER FOOD https://can
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3,418 views Jan 14, 2023 They are watching all of us. Everybody’s heard of smart appliances. The only problem is that these appliances are now doing everything from listening to us and even taking photos of us and sharing them on the web. #RoombaJ7 #SmartAppliances #Privacy #iAllegedly #FTX #Crunch
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
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Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
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Go here:
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Stay tuned for the next issue!
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Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
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Patrick
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All I need from you – is a Microsoft (or Libre) Word document – printed in English- I have AI software that can create an awesome voiceover – you don’t have to be the one speaking- unless you want to.?Either way – no worries!
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Plus – I can do an additional video for you – in your native language – no extra fee – IF you think my video is worth the $25 USD flat rate I charge (I can do up to 3 revisions at no extra charge as well).
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IF you want me to add some background music in the background- again – no extra charge!
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Analytics online marketing research shows people like the music in the background -BTW!
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Again – this is a no-brainer – IF you don’t get results – you owe me nothing!
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A “can’t lose” scenario.
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Everyone have a great holiday season and a stellar New Year!
Patrick
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