MAG 7 – Risk or Opportunity?

MAG 7 – Risk or Opportunity?

Last week, I gave a talk titled “Magnificent 7: Risk or Opportunity?” and had some fascinating discussions afterward at our Gutmann office in Budapest.

The MAG 7 refers to the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S. – the Magnificent 7: Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla. Their immense market capitalization has given them a historically high share of the overall market. And that, of course, sparks debate.

During my presentation, I realized something: I hadn’t actually answered the question in the invitation. Is their dominant market share a risk or an opportunity?

I believe every question deserves an answer, and mine is: We don’t need to know. Our investment approach does not require us to get caught up in this debate.

Are we missing out?

Our Gutmann equities strategy is broadly diversified – across various themes, sectors, and regions. Our equity positions span the U.S., Europe, and Japan. We hold five of the MAG 7 stocks, with a total weighting of around 7%. So, the real question isn’t whether these 7% represent a risk or an opportunity in themselves. Rather, it’s: Are we missing out by not weighting these dominant companies as heavily as the major stock indices do?

Our answer: No. Because large concentrations carry high risks. That’s why we take a broader approach – not just within the technology sector. Companies in healthcare or consumer goods are just as exciting and promising.

And when some of the big tech stocks came under pressure in recent weeks? Suddenly, solid dividend payers were in demand again. The result? New all-time highs for the Gutmann equity strategy! Yes, I know – past performance is no reliable indicator of future results (hello there, disclaimer). But our disciplined and balanced approach creates opportunities – and, hopefully, helps you sleep soundly at night.


Disclaimer: This is a marketing communication. Investment in financial instruments is subject to market risks. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Forecasts are not reliable indicators of future results. The tax treatment depends on the personal circumstances of the respective client and may be subject to future changes. Bank Gutmann AG expressly points out that this document is intended exclusively for personal use and for information purposes only. It may not be published, reproduced or passed on without the consent of Bank Gutmann AG. The content of this document is not based on the individual needs of individual investors (desired return, tax situation, risk tolerance, etc.), but is of a general nature and is based on the latest knowledge of the persons responsible for its preparation at the time of going to press. This document is neither an offer nor an invitation to make an offer to buy or sell securities. The information required for disclosure pursuant to Section 25 of the Austrian Media Act can be found at the following web address: https://www.gutmann.at/impressum

Jabran Riaz ??

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3 天前

Robert ????

Christian Soschner

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3 天前

Great points. No empire lasts forever—just look at the European mobile industry, GE, and countless others. The question isn’t if they fall, but when—and that’s nearly impossible to predict. I believe it was Exor’s CEO on Nicolaj Tangen’s podcast who noted that, after a century, only 7 out of 1 million companies still exist.

Robert Karas, CFA

Chief Investment Officer | Partner at Bank Gutmann

4 天前

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