The LRC Prediction Of Hurricane Ian

The LRC Prediction Of Hurricane Ian



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Major Category 4 Hurricane Ian intensified as it approached the southwest Florida coast on September 28, 2022. 85 people have been killed and this will be a multi-billion-dollar disaster.

It had been a quiet hurricane season across the United States up until Ian began organizing over the Caribbean Sea in late September. Weather 20/20 predicted a below average hurricane season with two main targets for the United States. As of early October we have only had nine named storms. An average season has 14, and Weather 20/20 predicted 12 named storms this season.

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If you knew, what would you do? If you knew that there was one main landfall target this season, and it would target western Florida in late September. And, you knew that it would likely happen between September 22, 2022 and October 2, 2022, what would you do? The weather 20/20 customers knew this information and they prepared for this event weeks to months in advance. Operation Barbeque Relief, a Weather 20/20 customer, had this prediction and they were prepared and in place to help in the relief efforts after the storm!

The medium range models provided many inaccurate predictions and solutions of where Hurricane Ian would develop and track:

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The LRC (Lezak's Recurring Cycle) is a peer reviewed methodology and weather prediction technique being used by Weather 20/20 today. This evolving technology provides the information to know when these models are right and when they are wrong. Our customers asked about the solutions, shown above, that had Hurricane Ian targeting Texas & Louisiana. We communicated that these solutions were wrong with nearly 100% confidence. We predicted that the target was near Tampa, Florida weeks to months before there was even a cloud with this storm.

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As shown above, the prediction issued in March was for this system to target western Florida. There were four main tracks predicted, and Hurricane Ian ended up taking our "Most likely track #2". And, it took the predicted possible track #3 into that most likely landfall location. The target of near Tampa was only a bit off. The farther south landfall closer to Fort Myers, FL was dealt with destruction and devastation between Naples, FL and the Tampa vicinity.

Do you remember the "Flor'easter"? Back in November, a storm intensified as it approached Florida on November 5, 2021. It then tracked across Florida to just off the northeast Florida coast. As this system intensified, it dragged cold air and windy conditions south from Savannah, GA to Jacksonville, FL as shown below:

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This system was described as a "Flor'easter", or somewhat like a "Nor'easter", but near Florida. The LRC then predicted that this part of the pattern would cycle through in late September, and as you can see above right, Hurricane Ian is tracking into a similar spot as happened in November. This is the first cycle and the sixth cycle of this year's LRC, and it was predicted by our patent-pending model.

We will show the model in just a second, but first look at the rainfall results from this storm in November (left) and what happened from Hurricane Ian as both systems tracked across Florida. This is not a coincidence. It was predicted. And, the system was used by Weather 20/20 customers.

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  • Rainfall for this stretch in November (November 4-10, 2021) was 1,219% of average

  • The rainfall from Hurricane Ian for the September 25-October 1, 2022 stretch of days was 1,386% of average

Weather 20/20 has a patent-pending weather model that predicted high precipitation as shown here for the end of September into the first week of October. The model is predicting that this is a significant rain event likely, and given the time of year it implies that it is a likely hurricane. So, the model is strongly showing a hurricane that will track across Florida in late September, from the November data!

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The three wettest days predicted were September 27-28-29, or the timeframe of Hurricane Ian tracking across Florida.

Weather 20/20 has been predicting tropical systems accurately since 2012. The LRC provides the technology now to predict 90% of the significant weather events that affect the world. The patent-pending LRC model is global. Here are some of the predictions Weather 20/20 has made in the past few years:

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If you knew, what would you do? If you knew there would be a severe weather outbreak on April 13, 2022 four months in advance, what would you do? If you knew that this year Texas & Louisiana would be one of the least likely regions to have a landfalling named storm, or even a threat of a hurricane this season, what would you do? Weather 20/20 predicted that Louisiana and Texas would get a break this year. Weather 20/20 predicted Harvey, Irma, Maria, Michael, Gordon, Ida, Claudette, Nicholas, and others in recent years before the models showed any hint of a storm.

Above is a link to an article published four years ago in Meteorological Technology International Magazine describing the order in chaos. This showcases some of our early results. This also touches upon a big subject we will be discussing later this month. Super Storm Sandy is directly related to the last EF-5 tornado to strike the world, the Moore, OK and El Reno, OK tornado disasters. The 10-year anniversary of these events are coming up later this month and next May.

You can post a comment here, or email me at Gary@Weather2020 if you have any questions, or inquire as a customer on Weather2020.com.

Jeff Vaughn

Journalist | Anchor, Daily News Drop and After the Bell business report | Content Creator

2 年

Amazing insight. Great forecasting!

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