Lesson From Kodak – The Price of Linear Thinking
Peter H. Diamandis
Data-driven optimist inspiring entrepreneurs through research, investment & community to create an abundant future for humanity | M.D. | Futurist | Speaker | Podcast Host | 4x NY Times Best-Selling Author
Our brains are literally hardwired to think locally and linearly.
As such, it’s nearly impossible for us to fathom the implications of exponential change.
Exponential technologies are a tsunami of change... and you can either surf on top of them or be crushed by them.
Kodak was crushed.
Check out this 5 minute video that illustrates the implication of ignoring disruptive technologies.
The New “Kodak Moment”
In 1996, Kodak was at the top of its game, with a market cap of over $28 billion and 140,000 employees.
Few people know that 20 years earlier, in 1976, Kodak had invented the digital camera. It had the patents and the first-mover advantage.
But that first digital camera was a baby that only its inventor (Steven Sasson) could love and appreciate.
That first camera took .01 megapixel photos, took 23 seconds to record the image to a tape drive, and only shot in black and white.
When Sasson showed his discovery to his executives, they ignored the technology and its implications.
Fast forward to 2012, when Kodak filed for bankruptcy – disrupted by the very technology that they invented and subsequently ignored.
In that same year, another company in the digital imagery business, Instagram, was acquired by Facebook for $1 billion, but they had just 13 employees.
We've seen many other examples of disruption beyond Kodak.
Blockbuster, for example, was disrupted by Netflix, a company that dematerialized, demonetized and democratized the video industry.
The same year Blockbuster went bankrupt (2010), Netflix hit $2.2 billion in valuation.
Today, Netflix is valued at nearly $70 billion.
Regardless of their size, companies that don’t embrace exponential technological change will be left in the dust.
What industries will be disrupted next?
As an entrepreneur, how can you capitalize on disruptive opportunities to create new billion-dollar businesses?
Interested in Joining Me? (Two options)
1. A360 Executive Mastermind: This is the sort of conversation I explore at my Executive Mastermind group called Abundance 360. The program is highly selective, for 360 abundance and exponentially minded CEOs (running $10M to $10B companies). If you’d like to be considered, apply here.
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Original post on diamandis.com
Honda Sales Consultant
7 年Generally good article, but I would beg difference on one point -- from my perspective Kodak didn't so much ignore the technology as not know what to do with it. In 1976, the graph showing the market increase in film showed a blip, that management extrapolated to zero and started anticipating the demise of film and the attendant increase in need for electronic photography. After starting to "switch gears" accordingly, 1977 and early 1978 showed a return to the original growth curve for film. That resulted in my getting hired, along with 100s of others, to redouble efforts on new film technology. While there are many areas in which Kodak management might be second-guessed and found wanting, I don't think a failure to pay attention to the market is one of them in this case.
Senior Electrical Systems Engineer | Open to new opportunities
7 年Also, you need to distinguish great ideas from good ideas.
Founder & CEO, Aquaa Partners | Accelerating Market Value Growth through Technology | $25B in TMT M&A
7 年Peter, you are so spot on. Every company board in the world should require their CXOs to watch your 5 minute video. Required viewing!
President & CEO Howell Instruments
7 年We all say we like it but in real life not many really see it coming How many opportunities we miss because of little appetite for change . It is so comfortable to continue the status quo.
? Increases Fuel Economy ? Reduces Emissions by 86% ? Slashes operating costs without huge capital investment ? Your customers will love you for it…!
7 年Michael de Souza