LARC's Revised U.S. Lodging Forecast- RevPAR 5% Above 2019 Levels This Year
Ryan Meliker
President and Co-Founder at Lodging Analytics Research & Consulting (LARC)
LARC has released its latest Market Intelligence Reports for 44 markets under current coverage and the U.S. overall.?
LARC expects U.S. RevPAR to increase by 27% to $91.48 in 2022, which would put 2022 RevPAR 5% above 2019 levels.?The recovery is driven by continued strength in ADR.?LARC expects ADR to be up 17% this year to $146.19, which is 11% above 2019 levels.?However, LARC has a more conservative view of the occupancy recovery.?LARC expects occupancy to rise 9% in 2022 to 62.6% and expects occupancy to stabilize around 63% in 2023, well below 2019 levels.??
LARC also anticipates U.S. Hotel EBITDA to grow by almost 60% in 2022 and hotel values to increase 8% in 2022.??We believe that on average, U.S. hotel values will recover to 2019 levels this year and Hotel EBITDA will do so by 2023.??
We will be hosting a complimentary webinar on Tuesday June 14, 2022 at 2:00 PM ET to discuss our current outlook. Email us at information@larcanalytics for a registration link.