The labor market remains strong — while cracks continue to form. Plus: Europe braces for an insolvency wave, bitcoin volatility dies down, and more
Welcome to?This Week in Finance , your weekly digest of the top news, conversations, and voices trending among financial professionals on LinkedIn. Click 'Subscribe' to be notified of each edition. This week:
U.S. jobs growth still hot in October
The U.S. economy added 261,000 jobs in October, blowing past economists' expectations for 193,000 new payrolls — and reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve will continue lifting interest rates to cool the economy and slow inflation. Average hourly wages rose a faster 0.4% from September. The unemployment rate meanwhile rose 0.2 percentage point to 3.7%, even as labor participation slipped. Fed officials pointed to a strong labor market in raising rates by another three-quarters of a percentage point on Wednesday.
Fed delivers fourth jumbo rate hike
The Federal Reserve again hiked interest rates by 0.75 percentage point, the fourth consecutive increase of that magnitude, but opened the door slightly to the possibility that tightening could ease. The central bank on Wednesday lifted its target for the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4% — the highest level since 2008 — as it seeks to douse the hottest inflation in more than four decades. Policymakers added in a statement that they would “take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy” in their consideration of further rate increases.
In remarks following the announcement of the rate-setting decision, Chair Jay Powell said:
Insolvency wave hitting Europe
Insolvencies worldwide are predicted to rise by 10% in 2022 and 19% in 2023. This resurgence could hit European businesses particularly hard, with SMEs being the most vulnerable. Significant rises are projected to occur in France (+46% in 2022; +29% in 2023) and the UK (+51% and +10%), according to a new study . “Germany and Italy are still registering low levels of insolvencies, but the trend should reverse next year,” said Maxime Lemerle, a lead analyst with Allianz Trade. Inflationary pressures, monetary tightening and interest-rate hikes by central banks, high energy bills, and supply-chain disruptions are combining to drive insolvencies as they limit companies' cash flows. ?? Here's what people are saying.
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Investor 'revolution' at BlackRock
Predicting a coming “revolution in shareholder democracy ,” the CEO of the world’s largest asset manager announced plans to let more investors in its funds vote in corporate elections. BlackRock boss Larry Fink said his firm’s Voting Choice program — an initiative announced last year to let institutional investors and some individuals vote at shareholder meetings — was now open to investors representing $1.8 trillion of its $3.8 trillion in index funds. It’s recognition, Fink said, that a growing number of investors want “a meaningful way” to express their views on companies’ governance and social stances.
Fintech darling Stripe cuts 14% of staff
Payment system Stripe is preparing for “leaner times” and letting go of more than 1,000 employees, CEO Patrick Collison announced Thursday in a public note to staff. Though the fintech company is one of the world’s most valuable startups , Collison admits its leadership was “much too optimistic about the internet economy’s near-term growth in 2022 and 2023” and “overhired.” The cuts, which amount to 14% of its workforce, bring Stripe’s headcount down to roughly the 7,000 employees it had in February. ?? Here's what people are saying.
The risks of BNPL
Younger consumers of buy now, pay later (BNPL) products, which require little or no credit history, now hold the most defaulted accounts in the programs. While 11% of all borrowers paid at least one late fee on the installment loans in 2021, 18% of those aged 18 to 29 fell behind on their payments, according to a Federal Reserve report. The programs, which gained popularity as the pandemic forced shoppers online and are expected to be worth $1 trillion by 2030 , are now in the sights of credit bureaus. Equifax and Experian have said they will start including BNPL purchases on consumers’ credit reports — and that loans sent to debt collectors can also be reflected. ?? Here's what people are saying.
Bitcoin has finally become 'boring'
Bitcoin, the world's most popular cryptocurrency, has become far less volatile over the past few months, bouncing around $20,000. But this relative stability, which comes as big tech firms are seeing their valuations fluctuate wildly , should potentially be seen as a good thing, CNBC reports . “Bitcoin being stuck in such a range does make it boring, but this is also when retail loses interest and smart money starts to accumulate,” said Vijay Ayyar, head of international at crypto exchange Luno. Cryptocurrencies have tanked this year, losing $2 trillion in value since the peak of their 2021 rally. ?? Here's what people are saying.
Singapore trials digital dollar
A digital currency known as purpose-bound money is being trialed in Singapore, in a move that would develop capabilities for a digital equivalent of physical money issued by the central bank . The Monetary Authority of Singapore said it will work with DBS Bank, OCBC Bank, UOB, and Grab on four related projects. The use of digital currencies for government payouts would, for example, enable recipients to receive money even if they don’t have a bank account. Central banks from Hong Kong, Thailand, China, and the United Arab Emirates have recently successfully tested a new cross-border digital currency platform . ?? Here's what people are saying.
With?Cate Chapman ,?Jessy Bains ,?Theunis Bates ,?Harriet Sinclair , Manas Pratap Singh , Ilan Goren , Polly Dennison , Melissa Cantor , Sam Shead , and Ting Wei Toh .
What's your take on the week's news and other developments impacting you or your business? Join the conversation in the comments below.
*LinkedIns Top Technical Analyst* / *Breaking News Contributor* / *Editor's Choice* / Three Decades on Wall Street! / Founder @Eqwitty Research & Excalibur Trading / Author of "Heavily Redacted"
1 年The calm before the storm. All the more reason for the fed to go full steam ahead.
Student at University of Cambridge
2 年https://amzn.to/3E9rsFZ
A.I. Writer, researcher and curator - full-time Newsletter publication manager.
2 年It just goes to show the unemployment metric is out of date. Today we have part time, seasonal work, freelance, gig economy, We need better KPIs to track economic and geopolitical variables. The Fed and politics are distorting the idea of never ending growth, when in reality productivity and labor participation and fertility rates are weakening in the developed world.
Mental Health Specialist at Beach Creek Post-Acute
2 年I'm new to this type of reading and I found it interesting and have to read more.
Fractional CSO | Revenue Officer | Author | Board Member | Keynote Speaker | IMAGINE Leader
2 年The move toward allowing more investors in funds to vote in corporate elections brings a new level of governance. Exciting to see how this plays out. Thanks for sharing Devin Banerjee, CFA