Klarna losses quadruple as costs rise
More pain for leading BNPL player Klarna as bad debts, losses grow
Klarna losses continue to grow with US$581 million for 6 months in 2022
Revenue grew 24%, much slower than the last two years
Klarna claims 30 million users in USA using definition of one transaction in 12 months (hardly the right measure for 14-42 day loan)
Klarna has endured a horror 6 months with its private valuation slashed to US$6.6 billion, regulation details confirmed and interest rates rapidly rising.
BNPL Face Five Key Challenges ?
Achieve profitability – none of the BNPL apps make any profits
Achieve scale – BNPL apps are very small BNPL, total sales for 2021 were just US$138 billion with ‘Pay in 4’ only worth US$79.3 billion in major markets: Australia, Germany, Sweden, UK and USA.
Regulation – Australia and UK have already signalled full credit/lending regulation with another 7 saying they will follow – the regulation avoidance is over!
Interest rates rising – BNPL must fund the gap between paying merchants and being paid by consumers yet has fixed income as merchant fees dominate revenue, making it hard to off cost increases with new revenue without charging consumers.
Credit Losses are massive – the excessive risk is now hurting BNPL
Comparing bad debts to receivables as all other lenders do shows the risk – using this measure the major BNPL apps numbers are appalling -?
Afterpay 13.9% to receivables
ZIP 9.7%
Klarna 8.1%
Affirm 6.5%
USA Credit Cards Industry 2021 2.62% a 30 year low (now 3.06%)
Rating agency Fitch summaries this well in a chart -
BNPL bad debts should be less than American Express - which has charge cards, corporate T&E cards and credit cards in its portfolio.
Key quotes from FT pce below
“Klarna’s struggles reflect the challenges facing buy now, pay later services, which allow consumers to defer or divide payments into instalments”
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“The value of other buy now, pay later providers has collapsed in recent months”
“Klarna attributed the deepening losses to higher employee costs, investments in integrating…… rising credit losses, reflecting the greater difficulty of underwriting new customers with limited credit histories.”
Klarna losses quadruple as costs rise
Swedish group’s falling valuation highlights problems facing buy now, pay later sector
FINANCIAL TIMES Siddharth Venkataramakrishnan in London 31st August
Losses at Swedish payments provider Klarna quadrupled in a bruising first half for Europe’s one-time most valuable private tech company, as it prepares to slash costs in an effort to find a route back to profitability.
The payments company on Wednesday reported a net loss of SKr6.2bn ($581mn) for the first half of 2022, compared with SKr1.4bn a year earlier.
Klarna attributed the deepening losses to higher employee costs, investments in integrating newly acquired Swedish price comparison service PriceRunner and rising credit losses, reflecting the greater difficulty of underwriting new customers with limited credit histories.
Revenues increased 24 per cent year on year to SKr9.1bn, driven by growth in markets, including the US, where Klarna has built up 30mn users — a fifth of its global total. Its gross merchandise volumes grew 21 per cent to SKr396bn.
“Klarna has been operating in a very different environment in the first half of 2022,” said Sebastian Siemiatkowski, chief executive and co-founder. “When we set our business plans for 2022 in the autumn of last year, it was a very different world than the one we are in today.”
Klarna’s struggles reflect the challenges facing buy now, pay later services, which allow consumers to defer or divide payments into instalments.
The products are highly popular among younger users in sectors such as fast fashion. However, a trifecta of worsening economic conditions, growing regulatory scrutiny in markets, including the UK, and competition from lenders and Big Tech companies are challenging the business model.
After several attempts to raise cash at higher valuations failed, the value of Klarna’s shares slumped in July to $7bn after it raised $800mn from investors, including Sequoia and Mubadala, the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund.
Klarna secured a valuation of $46bn as recently as June last year, following a $639mn funding round led by Japan’s SoftBank, the investment group behind a disastrous bet in office-sharing group WeWork.
The value of other buy now, pay later providers has collapsed in recent months. Shares of the US-listed provider Affirm, which has partnered with big retailers such as Amazon and Walmart, are down more than 80 per cent from their high in November.
The results also offer a snapshot into the struggles facing non-profitable fintechs more widely, as investors have become more cautious as interest rates rise.
Klarna last made a profit in 2019, although it said that its business in established European markets such as Sweden and Germany was profitable.
“We’ve had a few years now where growth has been really heavily prioritised by investors,” said Siemiatkowski. “Now, understandably, they want to see profitability.”
Klarna said in May it would slash its workforce by 10 per cent as it tries to cut costs.
Siemiatkowski said the company would look at tightening its lending, especially to new customers, although he said it would take some time for the impact of this decision to become apparent.
The (UK) Financial Conduct Authority warned buy now, pay later companies this month against misleading adverts.
In December 2020, Klarna fell foul of the Advertising Standards Authority, which banned several of its ads on the grounds that they “irresponsibly encouraged the use of credit to improve people’s mood”.
Klarna said it had actively and substantially changed its influencer and advertising policy and invested in KlarnaSense, a product designed to encourage responsible spending.
The self proclaimed, most influential person in payments. Except for Jack Dorsey or those two bros from that other company & definitely not Satoshi Nakamoto, but after all those guys it's me.
2 年New consumer facing BNPL providers are technologists and not debt collectors - that's the fundamental issue. They have deep pockets to fund debt and so you might say they were not focussed on debt collection until traction was reached. The biggest problem for BNPL is Go To Market right now, debt collection will come and regulation will help them shape up sooner IMO.
Founder and CEO @ Paydock
2 年Will providers stop paying merchants? Is this a risk for merchants now?
In my opinion, b2c BNPL has to go unless that's an internal ecosystem product because ultimately it doesn't make any sense to provide loan to someone who can't even buy a dress or pay for groceries. Come on! Just work hard, earn money and don't lend for daily things.
Business Development Financing. Mobility.
2 年And th me Winners ?? are : Consumers and Merchants. They both got what they wanted.
Head - Cards, Loans, Banca, Digital
2 年A red indian reads smoke signals early on. Reported ?financials coupled with lagged kpis sift wheat from chaff . Credit on demand is a good concept, however with any consumer lending , thou shalt not rattle credit fundamentals . Reckon bnpl world and VCs know what they are doing?