Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump: Why Kamala’s Poised to Win

Dear Best of LinkedIn Reader,

As a numbers nerd and a statistician, I’ll tell you one thing: numbers don’t lie.

And, in the 2024 political landscape, those numbers are all pointing toward Kamala Harris as the one to watch—and win.

This isn’t about emotions or allegiances. It’s about hard, undeniable data.

Back in 2016, Donald Trump captivated voters with his humor, charisma, and outsider appeal.

That was the Donald Trump that America fell in love with—the entertainer who could make you laugh, who could connect on a human level.

But now?

That’s all gone.

The humor has evaporated, and what’s left is a grim, rigid figure.

Even Trump’s closest allies like Senator Lindsey Graham are calling it: "if Trump doesn’t change his tune and get back to policies, he’s setting himself up to lose."

Republican Defections: The Silent Earthquake

Perhaps the most significant indicator that the tides have shifted is the defection of key Republican figures.

Mike Pence, Trump’s own vice president, has refused to endorse him for 2024. When your second-in-command walks away, that’s not just a small ripple—it’s a tidal wave.

But it doesn’t end there.

Dick Cheney, a GOP legend, is throwing his weight behind Kamala Harris, crossing party lines in a move that shocks even seasoned political strategists. When heavyweights like Cheney shift sides, it’s more than a statement—it’s a seismic shift.

The fractures within the Republican Party are growing deeper, with even Trump loyalists like Lindsey Graham openly criticizing his behavior.

Senator Lindsey Graham, has said it: "Donald Trump, the provocateur, the showman, may not win this election" if he doesn’t change the tune and focus on policies.

Kevin O’Leary has even called on Trump to drop the antics and focus on what matters: the economy, inflation, and foreign policy.

They know that if Trump continues down this path of divisive rhetoric and personal attacks, he risks alienating the moderate and swing voters that can decide elections.

But the more Trump drags out his combative style, the more he digs his own political grave.

Kamala Harris: Quietly Outmaneuvering

While Trump’s campaign seems stuck in the mud, Kamala Harris is quietly but strategically positioning herself as the clear winner.

She’s avoided the personal attacks, focusing on the policies that resonate with key voter blocs: abortion rights, healthcare, and economic stability.

The numbers show that her campaign is picking up momentum in swing states that will determine the 2024 election. Harris leads Trump by 3 to 5 points in places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Nevada.

In fact, in states like Pennsylvania, which are crucial for either party’s path to victory, Harris has extended her lead from 4 points to 5 points recently.

Her focus on policy over rhetoric is helping her win over swing voters, and that’s where elections are won.

Swing voters, especially women and young people, are moving in her favor. In a race defined by numbers, that’s a winning formula.

The Trump Dilemma

If I were advising Donald Trump, the message would be clear: bring back the charisma, the humor, the relatability. That’s what won him the election in 2016, and it’s his best shot at turning things around in 2024.

Drop the divisiveness and start talking about the real issues—because that’s where voters are focusing.

But it seems unlikely that Trump will pivot.

The more he clings to the past, the more he loses the future.

Kamala Harris: The Numbers Don’t Lie

In the end, the numbers don’t lie, and they’re painting a very clear picture.

Trump’s base is loyal, but his party is fracturing, and key Republican figures are jumping ship. Harris, on the other hand, is strategically navigating her path, focusing on the issues that matter most to voters.

She’s winning in the swing states, and the momentum is on her side.

If I were a betting man, all my chips would be on Kamala Harris for 2024.

This isn’t about emotions—it’s about cold, hard facts.

And the facts are tilting in her favor.

So, what do you think?

Let’s spark an open and real debate.

Share your thoughts below on who you think will come out on top in 2024 and why.

Let’s talk numbers, strategy, and the reality of what’s shaping up to be a historic election.

Until next time.

Stay well. Swim strong!

Warmly,

David

P.S. ?????? If you don’t know who I am, my name is David Vogel, retired CEO turned LinkedIn influencer and Pastor of the Church of Unity Society. Six mornings a week Live at 7 AM, I preach to the C-suite, igniting their spirits with the power of God. As the publisher of Mindful Ethics, the unapologetic voice of ethics on LinkedIn, I challenge leaders to elevate their game, lead with heart, and redefine what it means to live with purpose.

P. P. S. The Church of Unity is a faith-based organization dedicated to promoting global harmony, ethical living, and compassion by uniting people of all backgrounds under shared values of love, empathy, and community.

One More Thing . . .

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? Published by: David Vogel, in Wolfeboro, New Hampshire

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