June 2024
Catch up on this month's most important commentary, podcasts, and events from FPRI's experts.

June 2024

Turning Point or Dead End? Challenging the Kremlin's Narrative of Stability in Wartime Andras Toth-Czifra ?

The Russian government expects 2024 to be a turning point in the country’s war against Ukraine. For this expectation to become reality, the Kremlin is using means of reflexive control: It projects an image of a country that has weathered Western sanctions, ramped up its economic performance, and united a society behind its leader and his goals. This strategy was confirmed by personnel changes executed after Vladimir Putin’s inauguration for a fifth presidential term.

But the Kremlin’s message masks the costly trade-offs that the Kremlin has created by choosing to pursue a long and costly war with an economic and political system that operates in increasingly tight corners.


NATO’s Fast Approaching “Moment of Truth” on Ukraine

Sara Bjerg Moller

"As it becomes increasingly challenging for Western allies to source the material Kyiv needs to sustain its fight, Allied leaders will need to grapple with difficult trade-off questions about what to give Ukraine and what to keep for themselves."


Do Baltic Russian Speakers Blame Russia for the War in Ukraine?

Māris And?āns

"Russia has traditionally?portrayed ?Russian speakers in Latvia as a monolithic group that faces discrimination, doing so to deepen ethnic cleavages domestically and complicate Latvia’s standing with Western partners."


Grasslands to Global Stage: The Geopolitics of Mongolia

Thai-Binh Elston

"Some might underestimate Mongolia’s ability to navigate today’s great power competition, but it is an underdog worth watching."


The Baltic (R)evolution in Military Affairs

Justina Budginaite-Froehly, PhD

During the past 20 years of their NATO membership, the Baltic states achieved a multi-faceted transformation in their strategic posture establishment, military capability development, and level of interdependence with their NATO allies.


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The Ties That Bind: NATO at 75 and Beyond

This year, NATO members will commemorate the 75th anniversary of the alliance at the Washington Summit in July.?Throughout this project, FPRI will hear from people who have dedicated their careers to serving, understanding, and educating about NATO’s mission, its work, and its role in preserving transatlantic security.


Orbis: FPRI's Journal of World Affairs


Summer Issue: Thinking About Deterrence in the 21st Century

Nikolas Gvosdev


Podcasts


High Stakes: What is NATO’s Role in the War in Ukraine?

What is NATO’s role in the war in Ukraine? Why is Russia against Ukraine in NATO? Why does NATO want to expand to Ukraine? Why does Ukraine want to join NATO? To answer these questions and more, host Walter Landgraf, PhD speaks with Dominik Jankowski, John Deni, and Lisa Aronsson.


Ukraine: Where Are We Now, and What’s At Stake?

As US assistance to Ukraine resumes after a long delay, Russian forces are making gains in northeastern Ukraine and may be poised to expand their offensive push this summer. Retired Lieutenant General Ben Hodges , former Commander of US Army forces in Europe?joins Bob Hamilton on Chain Reaction.


Russia and the Global South

Why has the Global South, historically on the receiving end of colonialism and imperialism, maintained what might be called a neutral stance towards Russia’s war against Ukraine??Ivan Grek , Director of the Russia Program at George Washington University’s Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies, joins?Aaron Schwartzbaum ?to discuss.


An American Irregular Warfare Success Story

Philip Wasielewski and US Army Special Operations Command historian Troy Sacquety explore how the Office of Strategic Services waged a little known but strategically impactful irregular war against the Japanese army in Burma with the help of local guerrilla fighters and how lessons learned from this campaign can be applied today.


Intern Corner


China's Defiant Chip Strategy

Kenneth Ong

"China’s relentless drive toward technological self-reliance in the semiconductor industry has intensified its geopolitical rivalry with the United States."


A New Chapter of Cross-Strait Relations Following the 2024 Taiwanese Elections

Maximilian Mooradian

"The Democratic Progressive Party victory in the recent Taiwanese presidential elections has been met with anger from the Chinese Communist Party, while the Kuomintang success in the Legislative Yuan has been met with optimism by Beijing."


In the News

Central Asia’s Battle with Water Scarcity: Government and International Interventions

Bruce Pannier -?European Neighborhood Council

Sadr’s Rebranded Political Movement: The Old, the New, and a Reality Check

Mohammed A. Salih ?-?Washington Institute

Dissecting the Alleged Demise of the Petrodollar

Maximilian Hess -?Conflict & Credit

On Regional Finances, Varangians vs Locals, and Others

Andras Toth-Czifra -?No Yardstick

Jake Sullivan Goes to India

Connor Fiddler -?Hub-and-Spokes

Macron’s Waterloo?

Joseph de Weck ?-?Internationale Politik Quarterly

Dithering West Devises a Strategy for Defeat

Stephen Blank ??-?CEPA


Event Highlights


Doing Business in Rwanda | June 7th, 2024


Can China and Russia Navigate Their Power Transition in Central Asia? | June 12th, 2024


The Ties That Bind: NATO at 75 and Beyond | June 26th, 2024



FPRI's?weekly Insights newsletter is curated by Natalia Kopytnik and Leah Pedro with assistance from Hannah Rich. For more information about this and other FPRI newsletters,?please contact [email protected] .

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