IRR in a nutshell
I think of internal rate of return (IRR) as the interest rate that will turn the amount of money I have today into the money I will get out in the future.
IRR is the interest rate that turns my money today into the money I expect out tomorrow.
Imagine putting money in the bank
Imagine you had £100 to put in the bank for five years at a (whopping) 1% interest rate. Your Finance 101 programme and compounding and maybe even Excel would tell you that your £100 today is going to turn into £100 x (1+1%) ^ 5 = £105.1 (wow).
Mark's got a deal for you
Instead of putting your money in the bank at a measly interest rate, imagine that today I've got a deal for you. If you invest £100 in my great deal, I'm promising that you will triple your money in five years.
I am sure you can guess that the interest rate that will turn £100 into £300 in five years is going to be quite a bit higher than the 1% we were hoping for from the bank. If we can work out the answer to that conundrum then we will have?calculated the IRR (equals the Compound Annual Growth Rate or CAGR that transforms my money in into my money out).
Solving for IRR
Yes there's a formula in Excel that will do all the heavy lifting for you, but imagine we could dredge up a bit of alegbra from college and really wanted to understand this IRR thing a bit better.
If we rearranged the same maths that we used a minute ago in compounding we could solve for the interest rate and find the IRR on the triple-your-money deal:
£100 x (1+X%) ^ 5 = £300
(1 x X%) ^ 5 = 300/100
(1+X%) = (300/100) ^ (1/5)
X% = (300/100) ^ (1/5) -1
Plugging the formula into Excel we find out that the triple-your-money deal has the astronomically high interest rate of 24.6%.
If you want to check you got the maths right, do some compounding like before and you should end up right back where you started.
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Pitfalls in Excel's IRR formula
Yes Excel has a formula that's supposed to do all this for you, but if you use the regular IRR formula, you'll have to make sure you set it up correctly. You'll need to be careful to:
Top tip: always use the XIRR formula
Now that you understand what IRR is (the interest rate that turns my money today into my money tomorrow), and you've remembered that you don't much like algebra, and you've been warned about Excel's regular IRR formula, here's my top tip: always use XIRR.
XIRR avoids all the problems of Excel's standard IRR formula. All you have to do is assign dates to the cash flows (easy if you get in the habit of running dates across the top of your models) and point XIRR to both the dates and the cash flows.
Using XIRR?it doesn't matter:
XIRR?will be able to cope!
Summary: IRR in a nutshell
To summarise:
Mastering Excel financial modelling with just 10 formulas
Is it possible to master Excel modelling in as few as 10 formulas? Maybe. Almost.