Investing in Aussies who work as hard as you

Investing in Aussies who work as hard as you

Are you seeing these alarming headlines from global consultancies? Some making the big claim that Australia will soon ‘enter a consumer recession.’

Really?

It’s like they know better than actual Australian consumers. 

From the indicators I see, Australians are buying and selling with terrific energy. They’re buying groceries for their families, grabbing flat whites with friends and, yes, meeting up at restaurants in town. 

I received a call one morning from a restaurant in the Sydney CBD recently — I was due to meet a mate there later for lunch. They are very busy. And they wanted to check if I was definitely coming, because the waiting list is stupendously long, and they don’t want to turn customers away. 

Is that a sign of a broad-based recession? 

Apart from anecdotal evidence about busy eateries, just look at the job posting numbers. Seek, Australia’s largest online recruiter, reported back on April 6 that job ads are 37% higher than they were before the pandemic. 

That should be a comfort for Australian investors. It is for me. I’m still optimistic about investing in 2023. However, I am adding a new asset class to my own portfolio — one that connects with the creative energy of Australian small business. 

Before I explain that, let me explain why some commentators are throwing around the R world. 

Multinational consultancies, with their HQ in London or Paris, are looking at indicators from the Northern Hemisphere, and feeding that into their algorithms. 

Meanwhile, Australians are feeding their families at night and, through the day, are working themselves to the bone. 

A great example is a brand new supermarket I heard about in one of those beautiful new suburbs on the outskirts of Brisbane. 

The owner paid for the fit out from his own pocket - but now he’s got a big problem. 

It’s not that there aren’t enough customers.

It’s that there are too many customers. 

Mums stocking up their larders. Dads planning for their first BBQ on that new Webber.

The only thing holding this hardworking Aussie business owner back is lack of capital. The bloke needs to stock up, and fast. 

Small businesses like this independent supermarket are the growth engine of Australia. They’re up late doing the books, and up early loading products onto the shelves. 

Not wanting to be rude, but these are the businesses who may have been let down by our banks. Shoppers want their groceries now. And our supermarket owner can’t wait six to eight weeks for a small loan approval to buy cartons of Weet-Bix and Bega cheese sticks.

This is a business that doesn’t need a lot of money. But they need it fast. Within 48 hours. For this business, the traditional banks can’t always meet that need. Fortunately, there are non-bank lenders offering private credit for the funding. 

Which brings me to the new asset class: Private Credit funds.

A Private Credit fund creates a pool of finance that businesses, like this supermarket, can apply for, quick smart.

The loans are small (the average is $99,747, but many are a few thousand dollars), short-term (40% mature after less than three months) and come with interest rates higher than regular bank loans (but since businesses like our supermarket owner want to pay it back quickly, the higher interest isn’t a great burden).

There are several Private Credit investment funds now in Australia, which, I think, are worth looking at carefully. If you have a financial adviser, you should certainly discuss whether it meets with your risk profile. With banks vacating the field for small to mid-size Australian corporates like independent supermarkets, demand for Private Credit is going up. But what excites me most about the category is it gives Australians who have worked hard, and saved hard, access to the kind of businesses led by the people who are driving the Australian economy forward.


You can learn more about the Private Credit fund that I’ve chosen to partner with in the information document here.


Ivana Katz

?? ?? ?????????? ???????????????? ???????? ?????????? ???????? ???????????????? ?? Wordpress website design for small business. ?? Responsive web design ?? Website audits

6 个月

Great share Roger. Look forward to learning more from you.

回复
Ali Aboucham

Ideas consultant

1 年

Haha the banks a making record profits in Australia. Super markets too. The problem Australia now has a trillon dollar debt. Too much poker machines. Also lot of the money now spent on the uber economy money is no longer circulating. Its all being sent overseas.

回复

要查看或添加评论,请登录

Roger Montgomery的更多文章

  • Aura Core Income Fund by Montgomery

    Aura Core Income Fund by Montgomery

    For many Australian investors today, small steel fabricators can be just as interesting as BHP. Here’s why.

    7 条评论
  • Has Qantas made a profit worth celebrating?

    Has Qantas made a profit worth celebrating?

    A bit of fun digging into some historical Qantas figures today. Back-of-the-envelope stuff worth keeping in mind.

    2 条评论
  • Latest Whitepaper

    Latest Whitepaper

    In the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC), index ETFs were meant to offer risk-averse investors a safe and easy…

    3 条评论
  • Second-level thinking on Australian banks

    Second-level thinking on Australian banks

    In September 2015, Howard Marks wrote a memo entitled, ‘It’s Not Easy’, a reflection on Charlie Munger’s famous…

    5 条评论
  • So bond rates are not ‘lower for longer’

    So bond rates are not ‘lower for longer’

    For most of 2016, we have warned investors about the dangers of accepting historically low bond rates as the ‘new…

    3 条评论
  • Warning lights flashing for economy

    Warning lights flashing for economy

    I have previously explained how, in an environment of low interest rates (that will eventually rise), and record high…

    7 条评论
  • It’s time to consider short-selling as a mainstream investment strategy

    It’s time to consider short-selling as a mainstream investment strategy

    In an environment where low returns are the corollary of high asset prices – and the best-case scenario for most…

    7 条评论
  • Market correction? What to do next...

    Market correction? What to do next...

    We all know that major corrections in the stock market occur more frequently than academic models suggest and more…

  • How good a guide is guidance?

    How good a guide is guidance?

    How often have we read or heard that a listed company has missed guidance? Ahead of the upcoming 2016 reporting season,…

  • In the Studio with Peter Switzer

    In the Studio with Peter Switzer

    Joining Peter Switzer to discuss the current reporting season and expectations for this year. Watch the Sky Business:…

    1 条评论

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了