Interrelationship . First, US election reform bill 2022, blocking another 1/6th event, and two starting of economic collapse in Russia.
It is not partisan hack work to bring this up. Most of what has happened in the Russian economy 2022 , including decrees was premised that all of Russia's problems would be magically solved if a person like the 2016 version of Trump swung US policies toward being obsequious to Putin (as in 2017 to the end of 2020) in 2024. With that a bipartisan bill backed by 9 US GOP senators, has taken the floor, with reforms as to block any sort of resumption of 2021 (January) pressure tactics with respect to the Electorial college, and more the fact is, that what was done in 2021 is less and less likely to transpire in 2024-25. Hence the stuffing is eventually getting knocked out of the Russian economy and it is now being ANNOUNCED in Russian newspapers. Chance this development would see the light of day in Russian news if a new version of Trump were magically on track for victory in 2024? Zero.
quote
The proposal dealing with the vice president’s role would make clear that the responsibility is “solely ministerial and that he or she does not have any power to solely determine, accept, reject, or otherwise adjudicate disputes over electors.”
Provisions of the bill dealing with an orderly transition of power would make it so that it would be possible to limit resources for a transition of power to only the apparent winner of an election if the outcome of an election is clear.
The second bill is aimed at improving election security and would enhance federal penalties for anyone who threatens or intimidates election officials as well as increase penalties for the tampering with election records. The bill is co-sponsored by five Republicans and seven Democrats.
end of quote
We have this bill , just as the garbage under the snow emerges from mountain hillsides as Spring turns to summer. While this is going on, note the following domino event, i.e. the disaster in Russia's economy is now emerging for all to see:
quote
It also points out why this has taken so long to be felt. It’s the pandemic. Russian companies, which is not dumb, started to work within a six-month lead time instead of a quarter, meaning three months.
Everyone will feel the collapse closer to August, — says Maxim Mironov, Professor of the IE Business School, Doctor of Economics (a graduate of Novosibirsk State University, master’s degrees of the Russian School of Economics and the Higher School of Economics). — Yes, the companies are already left without counterparties, who are without customers, but they still have a stock of funds, resources, Therefore, we do not yet see the full effect of war and sanctions. Traditionally, these reserves are created for at least three months, but against the background of interruptions in the pandemic, the terms have increased to six months.?That is, approximately by August, all business savings will be depleted and we will see a real picture of how war and sanctions have affected the Russian economy.
According to state statistics, the largest salary arrears were accumulated by manufacturing industries — 55.4% and construction — 12.1%. Agriculture, hunting and logging in third place — 8.5% of the total debt; water supply, collection and disposal of waste in the fourth — 5.8%, transport in the fifth — 5.4%. On the sixth — mining and 4.4% of the total salary arrears.
The car industry and aviation are already almost dead. This can be most vividly traced by comparing production volumes and sales volumes. After all, car sales in the same April fell “only” by 78%. But let’s look at the fall in car production volumes in April by almost 90% and understand that this is just the beginning (which was confirmed to us by May with a drop in sales by 83.5%) and there will simply be nothing to buy further. With these areas (as well as film distribution, for example), it is clear that they were left without important foreign components due to sanctions. In second place are all manufacturing industries left without machines and raw materials. As a result of the shortage of metal and the rise in price of other raw materials — the shutdown of the construction industry, — lists Mironov. — But you can not really delve into who will be worse. It will be worse for everyone, because all related service industries “fly” along with the basic industries. Logistics that served them, shopping centers, office and warehouse centers in which they were located.
We are talking of at least a recession, given that the unemployment rate is expected to go to at least nine percent. I think they are hopeful here. Inflation rates in Russia are already close to twenty percent, that is the happy face of the central bank. They have been artificially supporting the Rubble. They will run out of ways to do that. This could lead to hyperinflation.
end of quote
So first of all let us see what has knocked the stuffing out of the lets pretend world of Russian economics. As a clean election becomes more likely in America, 2024, Russia will have no choice but to begin to come clean as to the economic disaster enfolding the Russian Federation.
i.e. a little known but hugely important event is occurring now in Congress. See this
https://www.politicususa.com/2022/07/20/electoral-count-act-reform.html
quote
This Is Big: Bipartisan Senators Announce Deal To Stop Potential 2024 Trump Coup
1/6 Committee Has Filled In All The Blanks On What Trump Was Doing On 1/6
A bipartisan group of senators that includes nine Republicans has announced legislation to reform the Electoral Count Act and take away the path for a potential 2024 coup.
The proposal dealing with the vice president’s role would make clear that the responsibility is “solely ministerial and that he or she does not have any power to solely determine, accept, reject, or otherwise adjudicate disputes over electors.”
Provisions of the bill dealing with an orderly transition of power would make it so that it would be possible to limit resources for a transition of power to only the apparent winner of an election if the outcome of an election is clear.
The second bill is aimed at improving election security and would enhance federal penalties for anyone who threatens or intimidates election officials as well as increase penalties for the tampering with election records. The bill is co-sponsored by five Republicans and seven Democrats.
The bipartisan group of Senators who put this bill together is Sens. Senators Collins, Manchin, Portman, Sinema, Romney, Shaheen, Murkowski, Warner, Tillis, Murphy, Capito, Cardin, Young, Coons, Sasse, and Graham.
Protect Democracy counsel, Genevieve Nadeau said in a statement provided to PoliticusUSA, “As the nation witnessed during the last presidential transition, our election system isn’t fully equipped to withstand partisan attempts to overturn presidential election results. For that reason we are glad that Senators filed legislation today that would fix many dangerous ambiguities in the antiquated Electoral Count Act of 1887. Importantly, ECA reforms like those proposed today will not benefit either political party, but will better safeguard the will of the voters and ensure the peaceful transition of power—a hallmark of our democracy since its founding.”
Trump’s coup almost worked because Electoral Count Act was ambiguous and not clearly defined. The other big change that the legislation makes is that it would make it more difficult for members of Congress to challenge election results.
The legislation would tighten loopholes at the federal level, and the state level by requiring states to appoint electors on Election Day, and requires Congress to count the electoral votes that the courts have determined comply with state and federal law, so there will be no slates of alternative electors, and states will not have the ability to appoint new electors.
There is more to be done to keep democracy safe at the state level, but the Electoral Count Act reform is a big step forward in making sure that there will not be another 1/6 attack in 2024.
End of quote
Next:
Russian papers are beginning to release, JUST at this time the bill in the US Senate is advancing, that the Russian economy is facing hyper inflation among other charming events, 2022
I.e. the main hope the Kremlin has had is that a Trump like pro Putin toady will be the GOP POTUS in 2025
Yes, but why wait as to 2024-5?
I argue that the release of information from the Siberian paper, as a Canary in the coal mine effect is due to the fact that there is less and less chance, now , of a Pro Putin Toady in the US POTUS 2025, so there is less and less incentive to pretend and fake: i.e. as the chance of another 1/6th coup in 2024-25 dramatically lessens, that the reason for wholescale fakery will decrease.
Hence the underlying rot in the Russian Economy will emerge like garbage on the hillside showing its ugly face, as hillside snow melts. to paraphrase in a very sanitized version an Arabic saying from the Arab- Crusader wars over 900 years ago.
Enjoy the spectacle. There is more to come
https://nadinbrzezinski.medium.com/its-starting-the-economic-collapse-of-russia-553ec4850453
Jul 15
It’s Starting, the Economic Collapse of Russia.
By Merzperson at English Wikipedia — Transferred from en.wikipedia to Commons., Public Domain,?https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2570936
What is the emergency meeting of the Duma about? What about all the laws further closing the Russian state that read like the Stalinist code of the 1930s? What about backyard chickens and rabbits? Well, now it’s clear. We have had rumors of how badly the Russian economy is doing.
We have seen rumors of industrial strikes, and the ever-so-popular fights for sugar. Russia has presented a happy face to the world as it goes about telling us that the sanctions were not affecting them. We saw signals to the contrary early on. They cannot produce modern tanks for example. They use modern western components. For that matter, the car industry is dead for all intents and purposes. This from?Reuters ?covers both.
Here is the tale of this emergency meeting from one of the?liberal channels ?on Telegram.
Today the council of the Duma may issue the prescribed valiant whistle and appoint an extraordinary session of the chamber for July 15.
Since the holy terms of the parliamentary recess are at stake, it is clear that they will gather not because of trifles. It is alleged that “urgent government initiatives” are awaiting consideration, but under this sauce they can take radical, militaristic, and criminally punitive measures.
And although the State Duma is a long-standing and proven source of danger to society, it is precisely at moments of such emergency meetings that the anecdotal essence of a mad printer fades into the background, and the threat emanating from parliament is felt as real. “Exhaled”, “passed”, “not today”. If you manage to say all this on the evening of the 15th, then you are lucky, and this time you were afraid in vain. Remarkable state structure
Yes, they know this is serious. So do I. So how bad is the economy doing? Well, here is this, via a?Siberian paper . It matters a lot. And while this part speaks in the language of economics, arrears means they are behind in payments.
It also points out why this has taken so long to be felt. It’s the pandemic. Russian companies, which is not dumb, started to work within a six-month lead time instead of a quarter, meaning three months.
Everyone will feel the collapse closer to August, — says Maxim Mironov, Professor of the IE Business School, Doctor of Economics (a graduate of Novosibirsk State University, master’s degrees of the Russian School of Economics and the Higher School of Economics). — Yes, the companies are already left without counterparties, who are without customers, but they still have a stock of funds, resources, Therefore, we do not yet see the full effect of war and sanctions. Traditionally, these reserves are created for at least three months, but against the background of interruptions in the pandemic, the terms have increased to six months.?That is, approximately by August, all business savings will be depleted and we will see a real picture of how war and sanctions have affected the Russian economy.
According to state statistics, the largest salary arrears were accumulated by manufacturing industries — 55.4% and construction — 12.1%. Agriculture, hunting and logging in third place — 8.5% of the total debt; water supply, collection and disposal of waste in the fourth — 5.8%, transport in the fifth — 5.4%. On the sixth — mining and 4.4% of the total salary arrears.
The car industry and aviation are already almost dead. This can be most vividly traced by comparing production volumes and sales volumes. After all, car sales in the same April fell “only” by 78%. But let’s look at the fall in car production volumes in April by almost 90% and understand that this is just the beginning (which was confirmed to us by May with a drop in sales by 83.5%) and there will simply be nothing to buy further. With these areas (as well as film distribution, for example), it is clear that they were left without important foreign components due to sanctions. In second place are all manufacturing industries left without machines and raw materials. As a result of the shortage of metal and the rise in price of other raw materials — the shutdown of the construction industry, — lists Mironov. — But you can not really delve into who will be worse. It will be worse for everyone, because all related service industries “fly” along with the basic industries. Logistics that served them, shopping centers, office and warehouse centers in which they were located.
We are talking of at least a recession, given that the unemployment rate is expected to go to at least nine percent. I think they are hopeful here. Inflation rates in Russia are already close to twenty percent, that is the happy face of the central bank. They have been artificially supporting the Rubble. They will run out of ways to do that. This could lead to hyperinflation.
It’s a house of cards.
While they are promising volunteers real money for six-month contracts in Ukraine, we also have seen rumors that troops are?not ?getting paid or a lot less.
One of the factors for the Soviet collapse was precisely not paying the Red Army. It was a signal that western intelligence missed until after the collapse.
So back to the extraordinary meeting of the Duma. I know this. They know this. None of these people are stupid. It’s about further closing the Russian state and trying to prevent the troubles. I have talked about this and how even the nationalists know it’s coming.
They will also?soften ?some prison sentences because the prison colonies are a possible source of riots, once conditions worsen. This is reading increasingly like the conditions that led to 1917. If there is something Vladimir Putin and the elite fear is a color revolution, or worse, a 1917 type of event.
So once more Russians feel this, and it becomes very real, those tectonic plates will start to move faster. What Putin unleashed with this war is momentous and historic. It’s just not in the way he planned it.
End of quote
Andrew Beckwith, PhD