Increasingly strategic raw materials
By 2030, 30 million electric cars are expected to be on our roads.
An equal number of batteries will need to be produced, for which access to raw materials is becoming more critical every day.
For lithium, cobalt and graphite, Europe remains heavily dependent on supplies from third countries (China in the lead, not to name it), as much as 100% for refined lithium, for example... Whereas we have deposits here in Europe!
The same is true for motors, and more particularly the permanent magnets that compose them, and for which China controls the entire value chain.
But what do we see?
In the past year alone, prices for rare earths used to make permanent magnets have risen by 50-90%.???????
Without better access to raw materials, our goals of zero-emission mobility are at risk due to raw material shortages or rising costs.?
I could also tell you about silicon, which is essential for both photovoltaics and semiconductors.
The evidence is the same: demand is expected to increase fivefold by 2030. And vulnerabilities all along our value chains, affecting all products, from simple toys to the most sophisticated industrial robots.
A true global race for supply
While demand is increasing dramatically due to the digital and green transition of our society ?? ?not to mention the rise in defence and security needs ???all too often we are almost entirely dependent on imports, while the geopolitics of supply chains are increasingly unstable and we are seeing a true global race to source and recycle critical raw materials.
Our "systemic rivals" (China) and our partners (United States, Canada, Japan, South Korea) have understood this.
Of course, we must continue to use our foreign trade channels, as we are and remain an open continent.
But external diversification cannot be achieved at the expense of developing European know-how.
Nor of our autonomy or capacity to act. ?
Above all, we need the capacity to separate, refine and recycle raw materials, which are also too often concentrated in China.
There would be no point in having stable partnerships in raw materials if we were to remain dependent in the refining phase, for example.
Whether we like it or not, the weight of the European Union on the international scene and in relation to its partners and competitors depends on our ability to put our assets on the table and not to be mere "clients" or applicants.
We need to build power.
It is therefore high time to act
I believe it is time to enshrine in legislation which raw materials are critical or strategic for Europe.
This list would be our compass and provide a stable, agile and predictable legal framework in order - for example - to identify projects, facilitate investments, guide our international partnerships and direct the innovation agenda.
This includes mining in Europe, which is still a taboo at present.?
Mining is still considered by many to be, and I use quotation marks here, "dirty".?
We prefer to import from third countries and turn a blind eye on the environmental and social impact there, not to mention the carbon footprint of our imports.?
And yet, mining in Europe can benefit from new technologies that allow extraction with a very low environmental impact.?
An open debate on the potential of deposits in Europe
I would therefore like to see an open debate on the potential of deposits in Europe and how to encourage private investment.
To do this, we need to set quantified targets for the development of industrial capacity, particularly refining and recycling.
And to enable a strategic and coordinated investment policy.
In order to lead the global race to the top, we can, for example, set requirements for the sustainable, circular and socially responsible sourcing of these raw materials.
Promote recycling and alternative solutions
At the same time, we need to promote more innovation - especially in recycling solutions and alternatives to critical raw materials.
Of course, it will take time for recycled materials in Europe to meet all our needs.
But it's coming. And we can start reducing our dependencies and our environmental and carbon footprint now.
That is why we must also make full use of the opportunities offered by our European single market, for example by facilitating the movement of recycled materials within it.
We would thus make our single market the geostrategic instrument it has always been.
It makes sense. For our continent, our economy and our planet.
Co-Managing Director TechMet-Mercuria S.A | Energy Transition Metals | EV Battery cells Raw Materials | BEV Recycling | Critical Minerals
2 年Dear Thierry Breton 1 month after this very important note and if it's high time to act (and I full agree with it's valuable content) - what's next ? The US DOE, US DFC, Investissement Quebec, other public entities in the US, Canada have already unlocked significant funding to develop the upstream value chain to secure these critical minerals. You are right they did understand but not only, they also walked their talk and the EU should inspire as it has the resources in its earth crust. If the not in my backyard prevails, we must spend money educating people on the tech progress made in the mining industry. US, Canada are ahead as they realized that without it, the ocean of capital that has been committed to the build-up of the gigafactories will not serve its purpose. A gigafactory does not make sense until it has made sure that security supply is ensured further upstream. Otherwise, they’d become like an empty shelf. Let's walk the talk Thierry Breton, please
ecom-margin.com (free margin and break even calculator) Topics: Startups, Real Estate
2 年Greenland offers all the answers to the #rareearth and #anorthosite supply questions
Business development & Sales management
2 年Il est même peut-être bien tard. La Chine a compris cela depuis plusieurs années et préempté la plupart des ressources en terres rares.
The Moon and Asteroids are abundant sources of the elements of interest. Getting them doesn’t seem very economical today, but it doesn’t always have to be like that. If the need is there then the paradigm could be changed. China has been clear that this is a motivation for their space exploration activities. Europe could be an actor here too.
I totally agree, Mr. Breton. However, the European Commission has to support this investment in critical raw materials so needed for the green transition. You are in an ideal position to help changing the social percepction on mining (as you say, mining is perceived as dirty and unsafe). Mining in the XXI century is highly technified (robotics, artificial intelligence, remote operations...), environmentally safe (zero discharge, emmissions, minimized disruption, remediation after closure...) and safe (best industrial practices) and yet society has the perception of the XIX century mining, with dirty workers going down holes to extract buckets of ore. This is no longer the case - and the Administrations should help promoting the social acceptance of mining if Europe wants to develop a reliable and sustainable supply chain for these critical raw materials as #lithium or #boron.