Ignore A.I at your peril

For those who doubt the abilities of AI (ChatGPT, etc), I remind you:

“he idea of a personal communicator in every pocket is nothing more than a pipe-dream fuelled by greed.”?#AndyGrove , CEO of #Intel , 1992

“There is no chance of the iPhone ever gaining significant market share”.?#SteveBallmer , CEO of #Microsoft , 2007.?

"640K ought to be enough (RAM) for anybody." #BillGates

“I predict that the internet will go spectacularly supernova, and in 1996 it will catastrophically implode”.?Robert Metcalf, inventor of Ethernet, 1995.

“Remote shopping, while entirely feasible, will certainly flop. It has no chance of success.”? TIME , 1966

“Mobile phones will absolutely never replace the wired telephone”.?#MartyCooper , inventor of the mobile phone, 1981.

[Side note, I've met Marty Cooper... awesome guy]

“Television will never hold onto an audience. People will very quickly get bored of staring at a plywood box every night”.?Darryl Zanuck, 20th?Century Fox, 1946.?

“There is practically no chance satellites will ever improve telephone, television or radio reception within the United States.”?T. Craven, FCC Commissioner, 1961.?

“The internet will fade away because most people have nothing to say to each other. By 2005 it will be clear that the internet’s impact on the global economy has been no greater than the fax machine.”?Paul Krugman, renowned Economist, 1998.?

“Subscription models for music are bankrupt. I think you could make the Second Coming of Jesus himself available on subscription and it wouldn’t be successful.”?#SteveJobs , CEO of Apple, 2003.?

If you think Language Model AI such as ChatGPT and alike will not revolutionise almost every field, turning the world on its head, then you are destined to join those people above. Some of them like Gates, Jobs, Edison, we worship as intellectual icons of the modern world - yet they STILL got it wrong.

Why Language model A.Is will have such an impact, more so than many of the technologies that have come before it, is that it imitates us in a very accurate manner. Microsoft is investing 10b into OpenAI (ChatGPT) and using it in the new version of Office. They aren't going to make the same mistake. [Video ]

We are in a new AI War, and everywhere it can be used, it will be used.

Two years ago, Shanti Korporaal and I did a keynote at a "Wealth Management" Symposium and we talked significantly about GPT3 and its impact. At the time they weren't very interested, thinking 'RoboAdvisors' wouldn't be much of a threat. These people manage BILLIONS in assets. They had early advice and visibility, but didn't listen. So many other industries out there are doing the same, putting their head in the ground.

Will you survive the coming AI Apocolypse? All the ways in which humans have abused technology so far, will be re-imagined and magnified as the complexity is turbocharged, with the ability to detect it is reduced (images, video, voice, etc) massively - for the medium term. It will improve faster than our ability to combat it. Governments will try to legilate against A.I in some ways, and will fail.

Remember - everything we're talking about and are concerned about - is what we know today. A.I improvements are NOT linear. It is going to be exponential. The code for A.I will be written BY A.I.

People like #ElonMusk , @satyanadella have seen the future of A.I that the public have not yet seen. I guarentee you the capbilities that A.I has far exceed what the public has been shown. You don't bet your companies future (Microsoft) on a technology unless you know something we don't. Check this video [Video link to 9.31sec]. Notice how he ducks the question.

Watch the whole video - this is what Microsoft is doing today. Google is hot on its heels, and Apple and others will be there close behind. This world will NOT look the same in 2 years time.

This technology is going to be productised, weaponised faster than the regulators are going to be able to control it. A.I has the potential to widen the gap of the 'haves' and 'have nots', and the success you have personally, or in business will depend on the quality of the A.I weapons you have at your disposal.

Most of the time technology effects low tech professions, but this time, Engineers (of all kinds), Cyber experts, Lawyers, Doctors, Coders, Artists, Writers and creatives of all types - are all at risk - unless they embrace the tools. But, this will be like the beginning of the Web 'web developers' (of which I was one of the first in Australia) taking hold, but they will soon be displaced by tools that ordinary folks have access to (note, having access to GPTChat is not all you need, it is a tool and if you don't know how to use it well, it is a hammer you will just hit your thumb with).

Side note: There will be many who claim to understand and will talk about A.I as though they are an authority on the topic, but like CyberSecurity, most of them are likely spinning bullshit they read elsewhere and have zero expertise or vision. Don't you agree Glen Carlson ?

We've been yelling about this topic for years now. My greatest fears about how technology can be abused led us to form the Future Crime Agency , which advises on common technology weaponisation and threats. Everyone yells about the benefits of these new technologies - A.I, IoT, VR/AR, etc... but few people talk in detail and are preparing for the threats and risks that they bring.

Law enforcement, Intelligence, the military, Private Security, government in general, courts and the legal system - none of them are prepared for what the general public is now getting access to and the many ways in which it can and WILL be abused. 'General Public' needs to be read as 'Crime Gangs'

ChatGPT - "what is the best way for me to avoid my drugs being detected by the authorities in Sydney Harbour?"

I know I sound like chicken little sometimes, but I've never met anyone who disagrees with what I am saying, more just about the timeline. All that needs to happen is crime gangs to start to retain people who know how to use A.I, IoT, Computer vision, automation, and other cutting edge technology and it will be a new war like we've not even seen in the movies.

The Future is not what I worry about. It is the present that scares me most, for we are not prepared for it in any way.

...Skeeve Stevens

Note: Excuse my writing, I wrote this very quickly and haven't had time to fully edit it.

#ai #future