How And Why To Visualize Variability
Every dataset includes variability. The people and things we measure differ from one another in many ways. And visualizing data always involves some decisions about how much of that variability to show. There are tradeoffs:
You can find a great example of problem #2 in Eli Holder’s article Divisive Dataviz: How Political Data Journalism Divides Our Democracy . He describes the danger of red and blue political maps in the U.S. in this way: “there’s no such thing as a “red state” or a “blue state.” Consider Texas, which is often called a “red” state. In the 2020 presidential election, more Texans voted for Joe Biden (5.26 million) than every other “blue” state, except for California. Even New York, a Democratic stronghold, had roughly 20,000 fewer Biden voters than Texas. . . . While popular election maps accurately reflect the ‘winner-take-all’ dynamic of the electoral college, they create the misimpression that state electorates are monolithic blocks of only-Republicans or only-Democrats.”
And the misimpressions such maps engender have real-world consequences. Holder describes an experiment in which people were shown either dichotomous maps or continuous maps (see examples below). Those shown dichotomous maps were more likely than those shown continuous maps to feel that their state was dominated by one party and thus that their votes mattered less because the election outcome was a foregone conclusion.
So when deciding how many shades of gray or circle sizes to show, consider how much summarization is needed to make patterns and trends perceptible without misleading the viewer with an oversimplified view of the data. Take, for example, these three versions of a map. They each show the same CDC chronic illness survey data with a “diverging color palette” in which blue states ranked high on health indexes; orange states ranked low; and gray states were in the middle. The maps differ in the degree of variability shown. Which map allows you to see corridors of good and bad health without oversimplifying the matter?
*More specifically, the full reality of the data. This 60-second data tip doesn’t get into the nature of reality in general!
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