How were my predictions for 2022?

Overall, I don’t think I was horribly wrong on anything, but as always, I think that clients and the market will change faster than it actually does, and 12 months flies by, the biggest new change was the realisation by clients that the end of SAP ECC support, if coming and that avoiding programmes that are too long and resource intensive is a driver.

?I think there is enough work out there to drive growth of over 30% in the SAP S/4 Market. However, it may be constrained by resources rather than the market demand.

?8/10 we certainly saw growth of over 30% I am not sure every one did, however not really constrained by resources, one or two examples of this but not a general trend yet, but a lot of swapping partners or adding partners due to resource constraints

There will be a big wave of S/4 in Big Pharma companies and a massive wave (the largest) will begin to build in Consumer products

?5/10 they are all starting, but as yet, bit mobilised, CPR is still slow and a little finance focused

BTP will grow faster than the market and if SAP gets the pricing right it will be huge! This will be a battle for SAP that is worth watching, and will probably determine the future for the company and the industry

10/10 it did!?and it is…

The SAP RISE offer will evolve to support larger and more complex landscape, and its provisioning will become more hyperscaleresque.

?7/10 SAP RISE is being bought by larger firms but the rush of new releases of RISE has not been as fast as I hoped…

Resources will still be in short supply, but new talent will start to enter the market as teams will have completed their first delivery cycle. And?client staff will start to look at consultancy careers

?7/10 I think this is largely true, we have not seen massive resources constraints stopping things the market is adapting…

Small SAP practices (if there are any left) will continue to be snapped up by the big players and maybe some large staff transfers will take place from captives and internal teams

?8/10?True, but even fewer left…

More selective data migration still and less greenfield (instead of migrations), with the benefits being delivered incrementally once the migration is complete

?10/10 I see this happening everywhere…

The S/4?go-lives in some of the larger organisations will start to provide momentum and learnings for the more reticent firms

?5/10 there have not been as many big go-lives as I hoped for in the market, we have some very fine examples, but I don’t think this is true everywhere, in fact the delays may be worrying others…

This is the big one. SAP will start to be seen as a transformation partner across ERP, SaaS, and PaaS, (BTP) and some clients will start to look at an SAP-first strategy

?5/10 still a way to go on this, some examples but could do with more…

SAP CX will begin to fight back against Salesforce for the delivery of complex business processes where integration is key (i.e., the move-to-service)

?7/10 My CX business has doubled in Size in 2022…

SAP BRIM will be big! As customers move to new service models

?3/10 Still not booming, but steady, a lot of people looking and not buying…

Pure plays will still struggle to enter the market for S/4 transformation.?They may commoditise for ADM and brownfield upgrades

5/10 I think this remains true, but I am quietly impressed by some of the outcomes they deliver, and they are teaming with the advisory firms more…

?Delivery at pace and speedboats will be the norm. The 5-year waterfall will recede. Speedboats will be an industry term.

9/10 The projects that work well using a more agile approach and there are more references and skills to teams will be more confident , but less mentions of speed boats... its just agile anyway

Google will shake up the hyperscaler market and take up to 30% of the market, but I am not sure who from, or is there enough growth for everyone?

?7/10 not quite 30 % but growing well

What we do with the data, and how do we manage it will be a big issue for reporting across old and new estates, customer and product data. The SI that can explain and deliver this will have a lead edge

5/10 this remains true, but I am not sure people are yet addressing it…

Big business drivers for S/4 programmes, sustainability, simplification, the move-to-service, mergers and acquisition, new digital ways of doing business and agility

8/10 Still true, however avoiding massive disruption and the use of key resources seems to be a key driver of the approach adopted…

?

I will spend my entire year trying to complete an end-to-end S/4 agile delivery method, that includes, architecture, budgets, benefits, change management, global roll outs, the transition to support, the business case, architecture, cloud economics, analysis of existing systems, ERP, SaaS, and BTP and still I will have missed something out!

10/10 100% true but it’s almost ready! And maybe will never be finished...

?Overall, at the end of 2021 I sense that SAP S/4 and transformation has become a far more mainstream discussion and people are saying ‘when’ over ‘if’. I suspect this will gain momentum even further in 20