How to make sense of the natural confusion with ALPHA BETA GAMMA

How to make sense of the natural confusion with ALPHA BETA GAMMA

Every statistical forecast has a series of forecasting models,these forecast models required parameters in order to get desired forecasting output

The jargon-heavy core statistical forecasting parameters known as ALPHA BETA GAMMA is base factors that help to create an unbiased statistical forecast, Let us discuss each of these factors

ALPHA ---- ALPHA value determines the weight of past data values in setting the baseline for forecasting,the higher the value of ALPHA the more weight will be attached to recency

BETA ------ BETA is known as trend value, its value dictates the degree to which recent data trends should be valued compared to older trends

GAMMA---is a seasonal component to the forecast the higher the gamma the more recent the seasonal component is considered

All these factors will range between 0.1 to 1.0

Adesh Kumar

Demand Supply Planner | Diageo | Jubilant | Avantor (RANKEM, J.T. Baker, VWR Chemicals) | Asian Paints | MBA | Master in Organic Chemistry

2 年

Well explained and very useful.

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