How to make sense of the natural confusion with ALPHA BETA GAMMA
Every statistical forecast has a series of forecasting models,these forecast models required parameters in order to get desired forecasting output
The jargon-heavy core statistical forecasting parameters known as ALPHA BETA GAMMA is base factors that help to create an unbiased statistical forecast, Let us discuss each of these factors
ALPHA ---- ALPHA value determines the weight of past data values in setting the baseline for forecasting,the higher the value of ALPHA the more weight will be attached to recency
BETA ------ BETA is known as trend value, its value dictates the degree to which recent data trends should be valued compared to older trends
GAMMA---is a seasonal component to the forecast the higher the gamma the more recent the seasonal component is considered
All these factors will range between 0.1 to 1.0
Demand Supply Planner | Diageo | Jubilant | Avantor (RANKEM, J.T. Baker, VWR Chemicals) | Asian Paints | MBA | Master in Organic Chemistry
2 年Well explained and very useful.