How the French far right could paralyze Europe text per text on key issues
Pascal Canfin
Député européen et coordinateur @Reneweurope de la Commission de l'environnement, de la santé publique et de la sécurité alimentaire @Renaissance_EU
Given the results of the European elections on June 9, the European far right will not be able to paralyze the European Parliament. The far right holds around 20% of the seats in Parliament, and an alliance with the entire EPP group is politically impossible. Just to take one example, it is unthinkable that the Polish right would agree to form a coalition with their opponent, the ultra-conservatives of PiS, whom they have just ousted from government.
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However, a victory of the Rassemblement national (far right in France) in the French legislative elections could indeed produce this result, as the operating rules in the Council are different from those in Parliament.
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Most European texts are voted on in co-decision between the States and the Parliament. States most often decide by qualified majority. In other words, when governments representing 35% of the European population and a minimum of 4 European States unite through a negative vote or abstention, they can form a blocking minority and prevent the adoption of any new European texts on key issues such as humans rights or the green deal. Europe is thus paralyzed from within.
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By adding the European governments led by the far right, the blocking minority would be reached... with France. The combined voices of the Italian (Meloni), Hungarian (Orban), Dutch (Wilders), Slovak (Fico), and French governments amount to 35.7% of the European population and exceed the threshold of 4 States required to achieve the blocking minority.
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This small 0.7% would give far-right governments a collective veto power. Of course, these governments do not agree on everything; Meloni supports Ukraine which is not the case for Rassemblement nation and Orban. But I am certain they will know how to unite to paralyze Europe, as this is a key element of their political project.
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Saving Europe from paralysis at a crucial moment is one more reason to do everything possible to ensure the far right does not win on July 7. The future of France and the future of Europe are at stake.
Communications | Content | Environment
4 个月This is the bottom line: "By adding the European governments led by the far right, the blocking minority would be reached... with France. The combined voices of the Italian (Meloni), Hungarian (Orban), Dutch (Wilders), Slovak (Fico), and French governments amount to 35.7% of the European population and exceed the threshold of 4 States required to achieve the blocking minority." The minimum requirements to block any legislation in the Council of the European Union will be met in this scenario, which is highly likely considering the result from France's first round of voting on Sunday, 30 June. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2024/06/30/french-elections-far-right-surges-in-first-round-left-comes-second-ahead-of-macron-s-camp_6676225_7.html
coach
5 个月En ce weekend un peu tendu? revenons aux sources....la politique selon Platon "Le r?le de la politique consiste à créer l'unité et assurer l'harmonie dans la Cité à travers notamment la vertu et l'éducation,"Et bien nous y sommes ? Non? Quelle tristesse....
Founder & Owner chez STP Communication
5 个月Nous n’en serions pas là si votre parti n’avait pas méprisé les fran?ais ! Le gouvernement porte l’entière responsabilité de cette catastrophe… les 49.3, les décrets à n’en plus finir qui contournent les lois et affaiblissent la démocratie… sa fa?on de se débarrasser des ??tracasseries administratives?? qui sont en fait les citoyens ne sont pas dignes d’une démocratie… Votre parti a marché, il a trébuché et c’est nous qui en payons les conséquences ! Soyez responsables assumez vos erreurs avec les votres ! J’ai admiré votre travail sur la loi RESTAURE et je sais à quel point elle ne sera pas appliquée en France… tout simplement parce que ce gouvernement est lamentable et nous en avons une preuve de plus aujourd’hui, tout ce qu’il a réussi à faire c’est attiser la gronde, la colère et les haines !!!