How Fast Will Hiring Start After States Reopen?

Some states are starting to announce plans to reopen as soon as the end of this week. Others aren't yet ready with necessary reductions of new coronavirus cases or testing capacity.

It's clear that we're about to see the light at the end of the tunnel, and society is, at the very least, planning the steps to reopen.

That's great that we'll all soon be able to do more than just go to the grocery store.

But how soon will hiring start to ramp back up after states reopen? The simple answer is: it depends, but it won't be as quickly as most people hope. This isn't a lightswitch - this is reality.

Hiring is expected to restart in stages, not all at once. But from what's been announced so far, here's a simplified version of how rehiring should take place:

1. Immediately On Reopening: Furloughed Employees - Most non-essential businesses and offices will be able to re-open, but in a limited way, with 1/3 - 1/2 of their workers allowed to return in the first phase of reopening. The first employees to return will be furloughed workers. Rehires of terminated employees will be for low wage positions in the initial stage.
2. Additional Relaxation Of Coronavirus Restrictions (2-3 months after reopening): The second phase of reopening, will allow additional employees to be brought back into workplaces, but requiring 6 foot social distancing. This should allow most office and manufacturing businesses to bring back roughly 2/3 of their workers (including those brought back immediately upon reopening). Businesses will bring back more furloughed workers, but those who terminated rather than furloughed employees will start to rehire.
3. Business As Usual (4-6+ months after reopening): Hiring will ramp up, but slowly. When companies return to a normal workplace, that won't mean they'll immediately hire everyone back. Most businesses will suffer huge losses this year (even after government support), so will be forced to rehire slowly over the next year or two.

• Consumers also suffered losses, raiding savings and taking on debt to survive. Consumer purchases, including homes, cars and discretionary spending should rebound slowly and consumer-based industries will take longer to rebound and should hire slowly. Some companies just won't make it. Plus, we still have one of the largest American industries cratering that was one of the biggest contributors to the economic expansion - Oil producers. Low oil prices are great for your gas tank, but they are terrible for hiring. State and local governments will take in lower tax dollars, and will have to resize workforces, including schools, colleges, and universities. Even after health restrictions are lifted, we're in a recession, and this is what recessions look like.
• Most companies will bring back their best employees from layoff, but will replace lower performers with new hires - This will bring hardship to some and job opportunities to others. Some companies will respond to the last few months by replacing jobs with increased automation, so some jobs won't come back at all. Other companies will see the long road ahead of them and may terminate even more employees to survive.
• On a positive note, employers are starting to see increased productivity by having their employees work remotely from home, and will have more of their workers permanently telecommute. Many industries have thrived through the coronavirus epidemic, like groceries, some mass retailers, many technology companies, logistics/transportation/trucking, and health care. Other companies will find opportunities in changes caused by the health crisis and resulting downturn. New, high growth companies will be founded. All of these companies are likely to continue hiring expansion upon return to normal.
• Note: A second wave requiring more restrictive measures or a return to stay-at-home, will make hiring worse than these projections.

So at the end of the day, we don't know. These are best guesses based on what we've seen so far. Let's hope they come true.

But one thing's for certain ... it's time for you to start doing something about it. It's time for you to prepare to reenter the workforce, and prepare for the possibility that your old job won't still be there.

The first candidates who are well prepared to make their absolute best first impression and do more than others will find jobs fast. The job seekers who delay will find themselves left behind. The time to start is now.

If you want to learn how to find your next job fast during the recession, even if you're age 40+, I can help - Here's how:

This is the 3rd recession I've recruited/coached through, so I've seen first hand what resume and job search strategies succeed for age 40+ job seekers during recessions. I've also seen mistakes candidates make, causing their recession job searches to fail. I've been through this before and know what works and what doesn't.

That's why numerous job seekers who work with me have already gotten job offers during the recession.

As a top national recruiter who reads hundreds of resumes per day, who has helped hundreds of thousands of candidates in their job search, and seen thousands of employers' job search processes from the inside, I've got a different perspective than most career coaches.

I see that most job seekers do essentially the same things, even when they think they are job searching differently. I also see most job seekers were taught search methods that eliminate them from consideration, because they conflict with the employer's hiring process.

But I've been teaching job seekers to overcome ageism for 13+ years by using non-traditional resume/job search strategies that demonstrate impact rather than just being average. I'll show you how to beat ageism and find a great job during the recession by understanding employers' point of view and hiring processes ... and using this understanding to beat your competition.

(I'm not just a career coach. I've also been a top national recruiter for the last 15 years ... so you'll get advice from a different perspective - an insider's point of view.)

Let me show you what you can do now to change your job search and resume so you can find a great job during the coronavirus recession, even if you're unemployed or over 40.

Join me Thursday 5/21/20 at 11:00am ET/8:00am PT, for my Resume Revolution! webinar (enroll at https://bit.ly/3627uKo for no charge) to learn how to beat ageism and find your next job during the recession.

Want to see how well this can work for you?

"Great cutting edge advice on your resume, the cover letter dilemma and everyone's job search issues and questions. I guarantee you will hear something new in Phil's webinar that you can use in your job search today - information which you have not heard anywhere else! You will not be disappointed." - S.M.

"Phil has a great grasp on the practicalities of recruiting from the employer perspective, as well as the changing trends in seeking out the next opportunity including the use of social media. I have many takeaways from this webinar and recommend this as a must attend!" - F.E.

"This is straight talk from a guy who has the experience, research and contacts, and the know-how to help us maximize our opportunities. He doesn't pitch gimmicks or shortcuts; he gives guidance, answers questions about the job market and how our resumes are handled, and gives tips that help us get the results we want. Well worth it!" - J.M.

"Amazing info shared by Phil in the Resume Revolution Webinar! Who knew that I was wasting my precious time by relying on job boards?? (well, Phil did, of course...)" - S.H.

"His advice on my resume improved my response rate to easily 7/8 for every 10 sent, and I can say the resulting response was directly responsible for helping to find and land my current engagement." - D.M.

You'll Learn All This At Resume Revolution!

* Actionable tips to beat ageism and find a great job during the recession

* How to double your interviews and resume response rate

* How to empower yourself in job search

* Current job market and recession outlook

* What's different about this recession

* Why things that worked during a strong job market won't work today

... plus

* Come for the Webinar - Stay for the Q & A with job search experts

Enroll now at https://bit.ly/3627uKo , or find our future webinars at https://ResumeWebinar.com .

P.S. I've launched the National Unemployment List and invite you to add your name if you're unemployed, affected by temporary closures, had your hours reduced, or have been laid off. The National Unemployment List will be distributed to employers, hiring managers, internal and external recruiters, to help everyone get back to work quickly. So add your name to the National Unemployment List at https://bit.ly/NationalUnemploymentList.

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