How does Confirmation Bias hold you back from making the right investments?
Lubna Malhotra
Marketing for VCs | I run a BLR community! | Meesho | McKinsey NGWL | LSR | ISC AIR 8
Confirmation Bias
Supposedly, I believe that a particular political party is doing good for the nation. So whenever I come across an article supporting that party, I tend to read it with much more precision than I normally would. However, when an article criticising the party comes up, I simply pass it off or ignore it.
Why does this happen? A bias known as ‘Confirmation Bias’ occurs, in which an individual favours information which aligns with his/her previously existing beliefs and rejects the information which does not align with his/her beliefs. This bias occurs regardless of whether the information is true or false.
Correlation to the Finance Industry
Investors are often a victim to this bias. They might have a one sided view of their decisions, for the basic fact that they may be inadvertently researching upon information that supports their beliefs. This in turn may get them bad investments with no returns. All because of what they have previously heard or read. This phenomenon is usually regarded as a source of overconfidence for investors.
At other instances, investors might hear rumours about companies in the market. After a half hearted research, in which they look for information aligning with their previously heard rumours, they make decisions.
It is important to understand that such decisions might be made rashly, resulting in unfavourable investments.
How can you overcome the bias?
- Research well, and read the articles that do not support your belief too.
- Try to seek contrary advice so that you are not conformed to your previous decisions.
Conclusion
It is easy to be a victim to this bias, regardless of the situation. A lot of people practise it without even knowing about it. However, with constant research and practise, and understanding the bias, one can change their habit of conforming.
Developer| Neutrino Advisory
4 年Well said mam. Usually people take their knowledge too seriously as they undergo irrational exuberance which ultimately bring losses for them in terms of finances and also in other horizons too .
Bridge Course Law student at the National Law University, Delhi
4 年You inspire me everyday Lubna!
IB Associate at Verity Knowledge Solutions | MBA | Former Intern at Dalmia Bharat Group
4 年Very well articulated Lubna! This bias affects our decisions a lot. It is an extreme version of belief perseverance wherein people go to a point where they misinterpret evidence that goes against their hypothesis so that it appears to be in favour.
Writer | Perspective Finder
4 年Sahi kaha Ma'am????