he MAG Commentary: 041423
Patrick O'Connell
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The MAG Commentary:?041423
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 04/21/2023:
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending?Upward, PLUS 3.68 for the past week ending on 0414/2023.
In our opinion – not investment advice – next week will -yet again - continue to be epic!?Be Aware – Be Awesome –
To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to our YouTube channel!
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 04/21/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index:?Bullish,
VVIX index:?Bullish,
SPY index:?Bulliesh – the sucker’s rally has returned- yet again!?
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:?Bullish!
QQQ:?Bullish!
Copper:?Bullish!
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” – Bullish - - Yikes!
So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that – Surprise-Surprise - our algo indicates that the Bulls– at least for the week ahead – are yet again in control.
Our SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric -?– confirms this of course.
In our opinion massive global bank runs are still ongoing- notwithstanding the massive printing of fiat money to “stem the run on banks”.
Some analysts say that QE, or Qualitative Easing is back again!
This is – of course - NOT investment advice – but fasten your seat belts- a bumpy ride awaits!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession! Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel -?is sharing that the “D” word may be more likely than a mere recession!
What do YOU think?
We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street! Indeed – this disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is growing – a LOT!
We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
As the sucker’s rally plays on – from time to time- on a seemingly random basis (as it is doing for the week ahead) - in our opinion- the ship (just think of The Titanic) – continues to sink – and increasingly so!
These sucker rallies can last for weeks at a time- during a Bear Market!?When the rug pull comes – as it inevitably WILL - the result will be a dramatic decline in the market indexes – in our opinion of course!
More and more analysts are forecasting a catastrophic commercial real estate crash!?All we can say is “Wow”!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
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Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much still with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period - in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market!
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Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and –
Our Full Disclosure:
This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
Please note,?Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,?for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our?VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only?happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
领英推荐
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 04/14/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on LinkedIn: ??04/15/2023
Soldiers who murder their prisoners strengthen their enemies.
Another recorded, brutal murder of a Ukrainian prisoner has become public in the past few day. It appears to show the beheading of a prisoner and the parading of that head on a spike.
Such behaviour is intended to horrify UA soldiers and lower their morale. It will of course have the opposite effect. Ukrainian soldiers will be angered and are less likely to take prisoners in the heat of battle. UA soldiers are more likely to fight to the death than surrender to an enemy that will publicly murder them. Added to that, such atrocities harden the resolve of the western democracies to support Ukraine. Murdering disarmed prisoners is always self defeating.
Ukrainian officers must prevent their men from overreacting for the purpose of revenge. The advantage from this wicked act of brutality is firmly in their hands. Ukrainian leaders should maintain discipline and remind their men that every Russian who surrenders is a man they don't have to fight or kill. Every Russian prisoner treated reasonably will encourage others to follow. War criminals will receive justice through the courts, - eventually.
The desire for revenge is strong and justified in Ukraine, but holding the moral high ground is also important. Honourable, standards maintained under extreme pressure stay with a soldier for rest of his or her life and make the memories far easier to live with.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares.
Robin Horsfall
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Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post -?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
Canadian Prepper-WARNING: We Will See "50 YEARS OF CHANGE in The Next 6 MONTHS"
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jeremiah babe-HE PAIN HAS JUST BEGUN THIS ENDS IN A BLOODBATH - THE FAKE ECONOMY WILL BE EXPOSED WILL YOU???? jeremiah babe 179K subscribers
Full Spectrum Survival-BREAKING IN THE BALTIC. NATO IS SENDING IN THE KILL SHOT.
Patrick Humphrey - Top US Officials issue EMERGENCY WARNING - It's About to HIT THE FAN | Patrick Humphrey - The Black Swan Event- It is coming AND IMMINENT! - EVERYTHING will change- Everything!
Alaska Prepper - IF OPERATION SANDMAN IS REAL - OUR LIVES WILL BE FOREVER CHANGED - TOP OFF YOUR PREPS ASAP!
?????https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/12meha1/alaska_prepper_if_operation_sandman_is_real_our/
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Full Spectrum Survival - Russia will take epic action - and NOT in a good way! - THIS IS EXPLODING. RUSSIA WILL NOT FORGIVE THIS
Pinball Preparedness- 20,473 views Apr 13, 2023 What if the real reason the Fed is raising rates isn't to control inflation? What if the real reason is that the US is so bankrupt from all the excess spending that the only way the Left can borrow more money is to to pay exorbitant rates...because n
Greg Mannarino - LIVE! Stock Market, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Crypto, RISE As Dollar Falls. More Updates. Mannarino - How much higher will this Sucker's Rally Go? Timberrrrrrr! is coming - sooner or later!
Alaska Prepper - MARTIN ARMSTRONG-THE U.S.A. WILL SPLIT UP & EUROPE WILL NOT SURVIVE! - YOU WILL LOSE EVERYTHING! -Spent 8 yrs in prison- because of contempt of the US government- Refused to hand over his software'algo that forecasts future global economic environment -Monetary system si collapsing!
Russell Brand - Get Street Smart about "The Game" - or Get left behind! - Wall Street has purchased hundreds of thousands of single-family homes since the Great Recession and by 2030 will control a staggering 40% of U.S. single-family rental homes. You really will own nothing but with skyrocketing r
i Allegedly-It is anticipated that there is over $6 trillion in commercial real estate loans in the United States. The problem is that for trillion dollars is about to come do over the next few years. #CRE #Inflation #RetailCrime #iAllegedly #RealEstate #rent #evictions Please join our email list
Stephen Gardner - Scott Ritter discusses the Ukraine Russia war with Stephen Gardner. Ritter disagrees with Colonel Douglas Macgregor on Bakhmut strategy. They also discuss the fall of Bakhmut, Kerson and more. Plus Stephen gets Scott's reaction to the senate removing war authority, money and milita
Canadian Prepper - BREAKING NEWS! Russia JUST HACKED NATO, 60% OUTAGE, N KOREA DARK for 100+ hours, Global NUKE DRILLS
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
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1 年Patrick, thanks for sharing!
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1 年Thanks for sharing.