?? The GPT Tidal Wave
A little over 10,000 days ago, Bill Gates, then CEO of Microsoft, wrote a memo, The?Internet Tidal Wave , which turned the world’s largest software firm towards the opportunity of the Internet. The firm could see the growing success of Netscape, and its browser. That success could be the first swell to swamp Microsoft.
In that May 1995 letter, he wrote:
The Internet is at the forefront … and developments on the Internet over the next several years will set the course of our industry for a long time to come.
Google’s founders were finishing Masters degrees. Brin at Stanford; Page at the University of Maryland. They would meet at Stanford and launch Google on 4th September 1998. (Although confusingly, for the past 18 years, they claim to have launched it on a date that coincides with my birthday.)?
Two more technology waves appeared: mobile and social. Microsoft flubbed both. Google flunked social but through its acquisition of Android cemented a powerful position in mobile.?
Are we here again?
Today, it might be Google in Microsoft’s shoes. The general technology is one that Google (like Microsoft before it) knows well: artificial intelligence. The challenging field of upstarts is led by OpenAI, cosying up to Microsoft. Microsoft’s CEO, Satya Nadella, said simply: “This technology is going to reshape pretty much every software category.”?(You can read a transcript of Microsoft and OpenAI’s?ChatGPT event blog here. ?It just started as I sent this letter.)The question is what the new suite of large-language models represents. Does it represent a new interaction paradigm, a new way of accessing computers? Browsers were just thus. They promised to commoditise the operating system and desktop apps. Many of us today only use a browser and, perhaps, a music or video app on our computers.
Mobile devices presented another interaction paradigm - capturing business and consumer attention and becoming the primary interface to computing.?
What are large-language models going to be? Will they be the new interface to computing?
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PROGETTISTA E INVENTORE presso Nessuna azienda
1 年What artificial intelligence cannot do is correct the many wrong inventions of the past that have produced global warming and the unequal distribution of world wealth, because it feeds on the same primary energy sources, which are not very intelligent and rational and no one has ever corrected them. What is the use of natural and artificial intelligence if it does not correct the world's energy sources that are destroying the planet? https://www.spawhe.eu/science-and-politics-do-not-know-terrestrial-physics-and-the-scientific-organization-of-work/ ? ?
Author at Substack Newsletter
1 年Where will these developments lead us? What benefits will they offer us? Give us a concrete vision please.
Essayiste, auteur du livre "Le combat du Livre contre l'IA" et de la "Lettre du Livre contre l'IA" (livre-contre-ia.fr)
1 年Thanks Azeem. This is indeed a Tidal Wave, but in your framing you can add 2 other tidal waves that are transforming our lives and our creative work (office jobs). The second tidal wave is our hybrid and more creative WFH growing since 2020. Please look at the data and science of Nick Bloom Stanford WFH lab. It's a work revolution. The third tidal wave is our "infinite flexibility". The power to choose our locations (new geography of homes and offices), our schedule, and our tools (ChatGPT instead of Google !). What will we become as our "office jobs" become infinitely flexible (scalable) and distributed "worldwide" with these 3 Tidal Waves ? Please read my post here on "Google is toasted" ??, I am exploring daily the impact of the "3 tidal waves" on our lives (sorry its in French - thanks Deepl ??). https://www.dhirubhai.net/posts/david-jamet_disney-activity-7029005457407016961-q9d5?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
I make writing with AI easy for small marketing teams (while always cooking dinner for my family)
1 年I was just thinking today that using these new tools is a new frontier to master. An analogy would be traditional software: anybody can download Photoshop and open a picture and do some things with it. True mastery comes after using that tool extensively. I feel with ChatGPT I'm slowly seeing new horizons of mastery that will rapidly develop over time.