Geopolitics @ Dawn by Caracal | November 20

Today in geopolitical news and how comms pros should think and talk about it....

Recent developments at the G20 Summit and related global events signal significant shifts in international relations and leadership dynamics.

The confluence of waning US influence, emerging nuclear politics, and regional power realignments presents strategic implications for global business and diplomatic engagement. Notable tensions have emerged around the Ukraine policy consensus.

G20 consensus on Ukraine is showing significant strain, with European leaders criticizing Brazil's leadership for delivering an ambiguous communiqué regarding Russian aggression.

Biden's diminishing influence at global gatherings is notable. Foreign leaders have expressed skepticism about the longevity of current US trade, climate, and security policies.

Plus, the Ukraine conflict has normalized nuclear threats as a diplomatic tool, representing a fundamental shift in international relations dynamics. The US policy shift allowing Ukraine to use long-range missiles on Russian territory marks a significant escalation in Western military support.

In the Indo-Pacific, a new US-Philippine defense pact strengthens the US position amid growing regional tensions. However, this pact could potentially exacerbate these tensions, as it may be perceived as a direct challenge to China's growing influence in the region.

US recognition of Edmundo González as president-elect in Venezuela signals a potential shift in Western Hemisphere power dynamics. In Brazil, the discovery of an alleged assassination plot against President Lula involving military personnel reveals underlying political tensions.

These developments indicate a complex realignment of global power structures, with implications for market access, supply chain security, and geopolitical risk management. Organizations should consider developing contingency strategies for multiple scenarios, particularly regarding energy security, trade relationships, and political risk exposure. For instance, companies should prepare for potential disruptions in energy supply chains, changes in trade policies, and sudden shifts in political alliances.

Pro-tip: Make sure you have a professional with expertise in geopolitical communications on your team. Such a pro will help you navigate the challenges of geopolitics on your business objectives and help you confidently speak about this environment.

Caracal is here to help.

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly.

-Marc

PS: Want more? Read today's edition of Caracal Daily - click here: https://www.caracal.global/caracal-daily-hub