Generative AI: Enhancing, Not Replacing, the Actuary's Toolkit

Generative AI: Enhancing, Not Replacing, the Actuary's Toolkit

As actuaries, we've long been the "AI" for others – the professionals who could quickly process complex data and provide invaluable insights. Our ability to analyze risk and translate it into actionable information has been our hallmark. So when I first heard about generative AI, I was skeptical. How could this new technology add value to a profession already steeped in advanced analytical techniques?

However, as I've explored tools like ChatGPT and other AI models, I've come to see their potential as powerful assistants in our work, particularly in areas where we've traditionally faced challenges, such as simplifying complex concepts for non-technical audiences.

Let's start with the basics. Generative AI is a type of artificial intelligence that can create new content, from text to images to code. For actuaries, it's the text and code capabilities that are most intriguing. These AI models, trained on vast amounts of data, can generate human-like text and even write simple code.

So, how might we use this in our day-to-day work? I've been experimenting with generative AI for a few months now, and I've found several promising applications:

  1. Enhancing communication of complex concepts: We often need to explain intricate actuarial ideas to non-actuaries. I've found that AI can help draft clear, simple explanations that I can then refine. It's like having a communication specialist who understands actuarial concepts. For example, I recently used AI to help me explain adverse selection to a non-technical audience. The AI provided a clear analogy that I built upon, making the concept more accessible.
  2. Coding assistance: While AI won't replace our coding skills, it can certainly enhance them. My team has used it to help debug tricky code or to suggest more efficient ways to write functions. Recently, they were grappling with a complex script for a predictive model. The AI suggested a streamlined approach they hadn't considered, saving hours of work after they verified and implemented it.
  3. Report structuring: AI can help generate outlines or even first drafts based on key points we input. This can be particularly useful for routine reports where the structure remains largely consistent. Of course, careful review and editing are still essential.
  4. Idea generation: When faced with a challenging problem, discussing it with an AI can spark new ideas. Recently, while developing a new product feature, a brainstorming session with AI helped me consider perspectives I hadn't thought of, leading to a breakthrough.
  5. Data analysis support: While we still need to do the primary analysis, AI can be helpful in generating hypotheses to test or suggesting additional angles to explore in our data. It's like having a curious colleague who asks thought-provoking questions about our findings.
  6. Research summarization: Keeping up with actuarial research can be time-consuming. I've experimented with using AI to summarize long papers or articles, providing a quick overview before I examine them in detail. This has helped me stay more current with industry developments.

However, it's crucial to remember that the core of our profession – our ability to understand and communicate risk – remains uniquely human. AI can process data faster than ever, but it can't replace the nuanced judgment and contextual understanding that we bring to our analyses. More importantly, it can't replicate the trust we build with clients through clear, empathetic communication.

There are also important ethical considerations we need to keep in mind:

  1. Transparency: We must be clear about when and how we're using AI in our work to maintain trust with clients and colleagues.
  2. Output verification: Always verify AI outputs. The models can make mistakes or reflect biases in their training data. Our actuarial judgment is vital in catching and correcting these errors.
  3. Data privacy: Be cautious about inputting sensitive or confidential data into AI models. Many of these tools store the inputs they receive, which could lead to data privacy issues.
  4. Avoiding overreliance: It's easy to become overly dependent on AI tools. We need to maintain and develop our core actuarial skills, using AI as a supplement, not a substitute.

Looking ahead, I believe AI will become an increasingly important part of our toolkit. It won't replace actuaries, but it will alter how we work. The actuaries who thrive will be those who learn to use AI effectively while honing their uniquely human skills – critical thinking, ethical decision-making, and clear communication.

So, I encourage you to start exploring. Experiment with ChatGPT or other AI tools. See how they might fit into your workflow. But always remember: AI is here to assist us, not replace us. Our actuarial judgment, ethics, and expertise remain as essential as ever.

As we adapt to this emerging technology in our profession, it's important that we share our experiences and learn from each other. Have you tried using AI in your actuarial work? What benefits or challenges have you encountered? Are there ethical considerations I haven't mentioned that we should be discussing as a profession?

I'd love to hear your thoughts and experiences. Let's start a conversation about how we can responsibly harness the power of AI to enhance our work as actuaries. After all, embracing new tools while maintaining our professional standards is how we'll continue to provide value in our evolving professional environment.


#GenerativeAI #ActuarialScience #Actuary #RiskManagement #ProfessionalDevelopment #TechInnovation #ActuaryLife #AI


Devadeep Gupta FIAI CERA

Head of South & Southeast Asia, Aon Life Solutions (Pathwise)

3 个月

Quite an insightful article Dave Dillon

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Tony Amador

Co-Founder & Chief Client Officer at Proxxy

3 个月

awesome!

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Michael Clark

Actuary & Investment Consultant | Writer & Public Speaker | Making the Complex Simple to Understand

3 个月

I appreciate your thoughts, Dave. I agree with you that the applications to our work to streamline areas that can sometimes be difficult is a huge advantage for those that adopt AI technology. I do like that you pointed out a number of times that generative AI is a useful starting point but that it should always be validated or built upon and not taken at face-value.

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Mark Berquist

Founder HAAF Advisors, LLC.

3 个月

Great article!

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Joshua Pyle, FCAS

VP, Head of Risk & Captive Management @ Boost | President, Casualty Actuaries of the Bay Area | 3x Start-up Board Advisor

3 个月

Great article Dave Dillon!

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