Alright, since everybody has gotten excited about Generative AI, I finally decide to bite the bullet and join the trend and write a prediction post about the impacts of Generative AI.
- Gen. AI will replace story writers , copy-writers and put them out of jobs. --- Not happening, it will make some parts of these people's jobs easier, make the demands harder on them to write more frequently with taking help from Gen. AI etc, but replace not happening.
- Gen. AI will lead to Singularity.. --- nope. While Gen. AI has shown enough impressive outputs, it has not shown enough proof that it indulges/engages in acts of reasoning in any meaningful manner. (and by meaning-ful I'm thinking of young children trying to negotiate for something from their parents). Maybe there are secret/un-published versions that do this, but I remain skeptical that those too are not majorly suffering from hallucinations or lack well-rounded testing.
- Gen. AI will bring in utopia. --- Again Nope. Despite all the interesting things to come out of Gen. AI(yes i've seen it write code). It still is super reliant on a human being prompting and in even the slightest complexity additive cases very dectailed prompts are needed. So no it won't learn to optimize the world better than humans, automate most of the menial jobs, create unprecedented wealth, save us from the climate change disaster and distribute the wealth fairly enough for us all to live in comfort.
- It will accelerate the media/brand/advertisement content production cycle.
- Gen. AI's will augment copy-writing, creation of initial visual ad copies, animation ad copies, even ad scripts etc... but the final will still remain human centered and dependent.
- Gen. AIs will make the initial design to feedback-to-final-approval cycle of most marketing cycles faster and hopefully less bug-free.
- Marketing teams and Leads and decision makers will have to re-think their strategy, efficiency etc.
- We will see the print/text media space getting flooded with Gen. AI generated content and people losing trust in the print/text form of the media. (I personally feel nostalgically sad about it, but not sure what it means for society and value systems as a whole).
- There will be new marketing firms with AI as the core engine that guides the content generation that can then be curated, edited and filtered by human decision-makers. i.e: the humans will mostly be modifying, throwing away, or re-prompting the AI to generate the content.
- Social Media will go through an upheaval.. We'll have scope for a new social media that blends in as much proof-of-realworldness in the content posted.(For ex: GPS tags, IP based location, may be augmented glasses based biometric recorders etc..)
- Democracy will get disrupted, but not necessarily in a predictably good/bad way. The way the majority of people find out about reality and how they vote will undergo major phases of corruption nad then swing back to people finding out some other things. But hopefully, citizens don't ignore the policy making even more than what they do now.