GBPUSD before Non-Farm Payrolls
This is an alternative count to Mondays update, which I have decided to publish as GBPUSD has moved so quickly higher from the 1.2100 January low. In technical terms, we have to consider that price could have completed Red Wave X.
If this is the case, support at 1.2510 can remain intact & price may trade above 1.2940. The next target higher is 1.3323. Trading above 1.3323 encourages price to target 1.3434 & then 1.4000.
What has changed on a fundamental basis? US economic data has started to soften & there has been immense confusion regarding US tariffs. The FT writes today that their belief is stability, predictability & impartiality of policy is economically important, because it allows companies to plan & invest confidently. 'We don't see the bull market returning until we know what the rules are'. If US assets are not appealing to investors they will not be buying US$'s to purchase them. They may even decide to sell their assets.
Could this be the start of another wave of US$ weakness?