FX DAILY | 23.04.2019 | Marc-André Fongern
CURRENCY INSIGHTS - 23.04.2019 | MAF Global Forex
Eurozone - EURUSD : *EURO-AREA APRIL CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT -7.9; EST -7.0 via BBG. We remain bearish, because EZ data is still tarnished. Furthermore our risk model suggests an increasing probability of a populist surge in EU elections. EUR sell on rallies, still preferred. The dollar is firing on all cylinders amid weaker EZ data and still ongoing Brexit woes...How much longer !? Well, @icecube would say, it was a good day...
BOC - USDCAD : Looking ahead, the @bankofcanada should sound kinda cautious. However don't expect it to be too dovish, because rising oil prices could be a reason for a slightly optimistic (improved) outlook on growth. The @bankofcanada could be the next @federalreserve.
Gold - XAUUSD : Gold is a crashing bore right now...The dollar and stocks are attracting attention across the board. A glimmer of hope for bulls could be a disappointing U.S. GDP...
Brexit - GBPUSD : I still think the market underestimates the risk of a Labour / Corbyn - led government. Over the last three years Conservatives proved how gruelling politics can be...Business leaders, investors and last but not least the British people won't forget this mayhem. I'm bearish on GBP, because uncertainty persists, the macro outlook (labour market) should weaken medium-term and the BOE is in the dark. Clients I spoke with are frustrated, because sterling is lacking direction. Playing the ''wait & see'' card isn't very admired.
STAY TUNED...