The future of the Internet by 2030
Ashutosh K.
Ex banker, Now self-employed, MD &CEO of Kumar Group of companies, Author of many books.
THE INTERNET IN 2030
The internet is consistently developing a group of technologies that are used are used as a base upon which other applications, processes, or technologies are developed. platform. The initial internet users who were registering from the 1970s to 1980s could not have a clue about the total revolution and the transformative effect the technology would be now which will change the pace and means of communication. The beginning of the email, the worldwide web, and finally social media has on the earth transformed the way people on earth interact socially, politically, and economically. Now it is ubiquitous, with a very high penetration level among the global population but still very low due to literacy and affordability. It helps to get anything, anytime and anywhere 24*7.
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Regrettably, from just a decade, their pace of growth encountered various restrictions to global internet freedom. Online liberties and internet freedom have weakened every year for the past ten years. Further, Its advancement stalled on some important matters, such as the expansion of internet connectivity and attempts from governments and private companies to secure privacy online. 2030, connectivity will increase and the internet will surely provide more comfort and quality of life for most connected people. But the main threat is to protect the democratic social contract. This entails resolving the issue of disconnected information spheres, in which people are siloed into separate information bubbles, as well as reforming the corporate internet giants such that their business models do not depend on surveillance capitalism.
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DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNET AS ENVISIONED BY A VARIOUS EXPERT IN THE MATTER
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Some of the experts and their vision:
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1.????Executive Director of Stanford Global Digital Policy Incubator, United States remarked
“The internet” of 2021 already functions as the infrastructure of connected societies and is inseparable from most realms of life. Accordingly, a positive democratic vision of “the internet” in 2030 would amount to a democratic vision of society writ large. Recognition of this vision will require that we address at least four significant current challenges: First, privacy must be recognized as a foundation for liberty, and more effective means of protecting this fundamental right must be invented and be made ubiquitous. Second, universal internet access must be recognized as necessary for the exercise of all fundamental human rights and be made globally available. Third, society-wide security vulnerabilities within connected societies must be tackled systemically and
comprehensively, and civic resilience to cyber threats must be dramatically boosted.
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The importance of a democratic human rights-based model of governance must be supported in a digital society. Current divisions between and within democracies overuse of data and regulation of “internet” companies have undermined confidence in the feasibility of democratic, values-based governance in this context. Democracies must do the hard work of enunciating how to apply enduring human rights principles to digital society and bring the connected world of 2030 to this vision.
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?The co-founder and CEO,?have identified some key issues:
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1.???Restructure the profit models of the media industry in order to challenge the monopoly of social media and online advertising companies with the goal of helping credible sources of information successfully circumnavigate the internet.
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2.???Temporary new connectivity initiatives, such as public satellite internet, to prevent government and corporate surveillance or private data ingather.
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3.???Promote reform or a “new deal” among internet platforms to represent information operations and microtargeting that is just a ?marketing strategy that uses people’s data — about what they like, who they’re connected to, what their demographics are, what they’ve purchased, and more — to segment them into small groups for content targeting. But which might jeopardize democracy.?
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2.???Executive Director,?Global Forum for Media Development (GFMD)
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I hope that by 2030, the global internet governance community will rethink the economic and governance architecture of the Internet, develop strong ethical principles especially in the field of artificial intelligence, and create economic incentives and business models grounded in human rights. Today, systems that underpin the professional production of news and professional reporting are challenged even in the most advanced democracies. The coming decade will be decisive for the future of journalism and access to credible, reliable information. With the pandemic amplifying converging crises, including the demise of journalism’s economic model, we need a powerful multi-stakeholder action in order to build information systems fit for the future.
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A comprehensive transformation is required in the way our information is produced, distributed, and valued – including consumption patterns of 4.6 billion internet users globally. To enable such a transformation, several challenges need to be solved (hopefully by 2030): digital market failure and the regulatory disparity between digital platforms and heavily regulated media businesses must be addressed; a system of economic incentives needs to be re-imagined and reshaped in line with ethical and human rights principles, and regulators must recognize that the news media provide a public good and create conditions for professional reporting, media diversity, and plurality to thrive.
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I envision a fragmented internet in 2030. Amid antitrust claims, political divisions, emerging regulation, and societal complexification I believe that we might see an expansion of current centralization in terms of social media platforms. I also think that we might see a more regulated internet, which could affect today's standards online in the West, such as platform immunity and centralized content moderation.
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I hope we solve the challenge of concentration by 2030 by tackling the important antitrust discussion and setting a new playing field for future innovation. I also hope we can address the relationship between children and internet platforms, reworking standards for social media usage by kids and teens. However, I have no hope that we could solve deep political issues that emerge on the internet, but have social and cultural roots, such as hate speech—this kind of challenge is a generational one, not capable of being solved in a decade.
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3.???Executive Director,?Paradigm Initiative
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Advocacy Director,?Committee to Protect Journalists
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A free, open, pluralistic, globally connected, and decentralized internet where human rights and independent journalism flourishes. I hope we will have solved the issue of encouraging and propelling business models that incentivize extremism and polarization, enable online harassment, and undermine the sustainability of journalism. I hope that we will have solved content moderation issues in a transparent and just way that protects the most vulnerable and excluded.?
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4.???Bia Barbosa, Coaliz?o Direitos na Rede?(Rights Online Coalition),Brazil
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By 2030, driven by the COVID-19 pandemic and the need for social isolation, I believe the world will have connected more people. I hope that it will be possible to not only reduce the number of disconnected people but to also ameliorate lingering inequality in terms of connection quality. Currently, this disparity online intensifies economic, social, and cultural inequality in the world, and affects many vulnerable groups including women, non-white people, and ethnic minorities who are already socially excluded.
I believe that in 2030 the importance of social networks and digital platforms will be even more significant for the exercise of rights such as access to information, freedom of expression, and the organization of civil society. Through multi-stakeholder initiatives and mechanisms of democratic regulation, I hope that it is possible to establish limits to the power of private companies to exercise these rights and to contain the risks this poses to democracies. Finally, I also hope that by 2030 it will be possible to advance the regulation of different players in order to ensure privacy and personal data protection of internet users, under the risk that the other rights we exercise online will continue to be affected by massive collection and treatment of our information.?
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5.???Javier Pallero, Policy Director,?Access Now, Argentina
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First, we need a decentralized internet that is truly open and free from oligopolies in all of its layers and devoid of authoritarian attempts to centralize information exchange. We should address the dominance of tech platforms and create economic incentives to make room for new and innovative services. Governments, on the other hand, should cease their attempts at centralizing internet infrastructure and proposing new protocols to facilitate surveillance and control—such as “New IP” or “Future Vertical Communication Networks.”
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Second, we need to connect everyone to high-quality connections—fast, open, secure, reliable, and resilient—at affordable rates. Meaningful access can only be achieved by creating public-interest infrastructure and providing resources necessary to support all users, recognizing the multiplicity of languages, genders, cultures at play.
Third, the fundamental right to privacy, including strong end-to-end encryption, should be at the heart of the internet and internet technologies in the coming years. We have only begun suffering the consequences of the internet-fueled by the exploitation of personal data by private parties. Governments have taken advantage of the ease with which they can spy on people and mounted surveillance programs on top of these services.
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6.???Ephraim Percy Kenyanito, Senior Program Officer,?ARTICLE 19, Kenya
Platforms, especially those at the infrastructure level, such as the Google Play Store and Apple App Store as well as Internet Service Providers (ISPs) and Domain Name System (DNS) players have so much power. My vision is a future in which these platforms at the infrastructure level are more human rights respected.
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7.????Rebecca MacKinnon, Founding Director,?Ranking Digital Rights, United States
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Networked technologies need to be designed, operated, managed, and governed in a manner that is compatible with democracy and human rights. Most fundamentally, democracy and human rights cannot be served or protected unless power can be held accountable—whether power is exercised physically or digitally. People need to know who has access to their data under what circumstances. When power over our data is abused either by a government or a company, it must be possible to know that the abuse was committed, and by whom; there must be consequences imposed on abusers, and victims must have access to meaningful remedy. Similarly, when a government or private entity restricts, blocks, distorts, or otherwise manipulates peoples' speech and/or access to information in a manner that violates the human right to freedom of expression and information, it must be possible to identify the abuse, hold the abuser accountable and provide an adequate remedy. To that end, transparency and oversight requirements for government authorities as well as private companies are essential. Strong data protection/privacy law is essential, as are independent privacy and security audit requirements.
In an ideal internet of 2030, communities would be able to participate in the design and governance of platforms for civic discourse that they can use for activism, problem-solving, and information sharing. People will not be completely dependent on massive global platforms designed to maximize targeted advertising revenue, as they are today.
On such an internet, people must be able to use encrypted communications channels to conduct investigative journalism, expose corruption, and abuse of power, etc. It must be possible for people—including minorities and vulnerable groups under threat of persecution—to use networked technologies to find each other and form communities. In physical communities, local community media is publicly supported. Locally-controlled platforms for community discourse, information, sharing, and problem-solving are robust and well-supported as a public good, as libraries and schools are (or should be). As a result, communities with strong local information ecosystems and community leadership, with robust protection of civil and political rights, are less vulnerable to extremism and disinformation.
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If we take the above observation, we will know various aspects of the internet and their protection from privacy is the utmost area where we should do some rethinking .the internet and their protection from privacy is the utmost area where we should do some rethinking. ?
? 2021?Open Internet for Democracy
In the book: Towards a New Internet for the Year 2030 and Beyond Written by: Future Networks Team, Huawei Technologies, USA ??has highlighted some major changes and advancements of the internet in future by 2030.
Fast forward to year 2030. fueled by the 5G ecosystem, society has already undergone a bulk of digital transformations. By this time, the Internet is capable to meet the economies of diverse services requiring varying parameters of performance, to deliver end-to-end service level objectives. The promise of smart city infrastructures has been delivered. Although telesurgery is not common yet, remote patient monitoring is a reality. The AR/VR ecosystem is flourishing with a variety of immersive media displays swarming the consumer markets and a large volume of AR/VR content made available and distributed over the networks. Our lifestyle will continue to push the technology boundaries even in post 5G era. When we try to imagine future life, a few things come to mind immediately, (a) that there will be a lot more automation; as machines perform tasks on our behalf, information will be collected and generated from multiple sources, creating humungous amounts of data, (b) more things will operate at system level, not in isolation; and will demand even tighter delivery guarantees than 5G at the same time coordinating distributed intelligence all over the connectivity fabric, (c) the lines between real and digital will get even fuzzier. We will advance from virtual, augmented, and mixed, immersive realities to a holographically rendered world in which communication networks will make distances immaterial. The IMT-2020 study of 5G technologies is a tremendous effort that gave clear set of recommendations on how to enable futuristic technologies in mobile and telecommunication networks. This clarity also begs a question of what effect it will have on the network protocols? Specifically, will the incumbent suite of Internet Protocols (IP) and its architecture in fixed networks (which did not change in IMT-2020) will continue to remain so? If 5G delivers 1ms latency with 10Gbps data rates, the future applications will only be more demanding of shorter latency and higher capacity. How can then the Internet of today based on best effort, deliver such services? What may seem too advanced today will become relevant in the next 10- 15 years. In this preparation, we ask how to bridge the gap between technological advancements of 2030 and protocols that will carry them? How to ensure that the protocols will be ready when the time comes to meet qualitative and quantitative communications nuances of digital services like advanced holographic teleconferencing, autonomous digital twins in factories, accident-free societies, and humungous data movement – all operating with also lute security. Network 2030 is such an initiative that looks at network capabilities to support what lies ahead of the 5G vision. It provides even tighter integration between communications and human life and identifies key future scenarios that should appear in the period 2030-2035. Network 2030 questions how to deliver strict guarantees with the IP, which has been the incumbent in its original form since the beginning of the Internet. More importantly, it explores on-the-wire communication mechanisms from many broader perspectives not restricted by pre-existing notions of layers, etc.
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CONCLUSION
The future of technology used on the Internet will further transform as now it has become on the cusp of taking a big leap with various innovative serviced to be used in various spheres of life.