Front End Design Matters
Clive Vaughan
To learn we should ask questions and listen! I’m so enjoying life at Primoris and have no time for consulting opportunities!
To realize maximum value and allow capital to be efficiently invested in Upstream Projects we should be able to demonstrate that Conceptual Designs not only meet investment hurdles but are optimized. I have spent a significant period of time working with clients to optimize Field Development Plans and have seen the issues first hand. In every case there were modifications to the Plans that were identified to improve the economic outcome. These were real and quantifiable changes in such parameters such as the number and type of wells, use of existing infrastructure and different technology.
There is little data on the effectiveness of these early project stages with few metrics available, however during the EPC stage where metrics are available it is concerning how few projects are delivered on budget and time. So it is possible that sub-optimal projects have met the investment criteria but there was more value that could have been realized.
There is much more that can be written but to cut this argument short at this time I believe that we need a strong Community of Practice and the identification of what constitutes best practice in field Development Planning. What we do is difficult and challenging and by pooling our resources we can get to a better place. I welcome any views from the Oil and Gas community on this subject.
To learn we should ask questions and listen! I’m so enjoying life at Primoris and have no time for consulting opportunities!
6 å¹´Felix makes a great point about demonstrating the value created during early Front End work - I worked with colleagues in the early 2000's and we measured the value before and after our engagement. We had two issues either the client thought the results were too good to be true. The second issue related to the first in as much as no clients were willing to have either their company name or project name's mentioned! We need more openess.?
Energy Projects and Operations Engineer
6 å¹´Very interesting topic. Conceptual design methods and tools are well established and documented, and on this I agree with Michelle Wellsbury?. I think psychological factors play a bigger role than we practitioners understand. Cognitive biases, behavioral styles, organizational dynamics and cultural factors influence greatly the outcome of the field development planning process. Reading "Thinking, fast and slow" by Daniel Kahneman has been very enlightening in this regard. What I also have found difficult is to demonstrate the value of early project planning and decision making, since it is mostly avoided costs. Modeling and simulation (in general, not reservoir or numerical modeling in particular) has been very helpful to communicate the results and value of the process in an understandable way.
Upstream Facilities, Developments & Integration Engineer, D&I, Field Development Planning Trainer at NExT (slb)
6 å¹´Well Clive this is my fourth draft in response to your post (I can email you the full set if you like). You and I have worked on many front-end studies together over the years – some ended up “on holdâ€, some of the owners ended up selling (using our work as evidence), some studies went on to projects. I think you might be interested in the results of an internet search on “Accelerated Conceptual Engineeringâ€. As you know my CV includes being responsible for internal and external benchmarking. We can do a lot worse that exploiting the IPA FEL approach by bringing to the attention of investors that the better the FEL score the more likely that there will be a good outcome relative to an upstream project and budgeting/planning accordingly (“justifying our timeâ€). I recall that the benchmarking for the cost of FEL (the pre-project study phase) for a good eventual outcome was 3%. I would be pleased to support a community of practise.
Study Director and Advisor | Decision Professional
6 年There are so many articles written on this subject. Everyone knows it’s the right thing to do but it can be all too easy to cost cut in this area and jump to what appears to be the “obvious†solution without truly considering the individual project drivers and value requirement.
Senior Project Manager & Technical Consultant Surface Facilities Development Oil, Gas, and Energy Industry
6 å¹´For sure this one of the most important stages in project life cycle and shall be conducted by experts only, expensive ones? yes, but they are going to take just the right time to issue the right deliverables.