From Radar Guns to Spin Rates the New ERA of Pitch Scouting

“Pitch by Pitch: Scouting the Next Generation of MLB Pitchers”

My memo-

Fast Ball Yes but Pitch Movement Most Important.

The role of a Major League Baseball (MLB) scout is pivotal in identifying and nurturing pitching talent. As the game evolves, so too does the art of scouting pitchers, with a growing emphasis on a blend of traditional evaluation techniques and cutting-edge technology. My memo delves into how scouts identify, assess, and develop the next generation of MLB pitchers, examining the tools and trends shaping the future of pitching.

The Evolution of Pitching Talent Evaluation

Historical Context In the past, scouts primarily relied on radar guns and their eyes to gauge a pitcher's potential. They looked for velocity, control, and a certain "look" or presence on the mound. However, the introduction of advanced metrics such as spin rate, release point consistency, and pitch movement has revolutionized the scouting process.

Current Trends Today, scouts still value velocity but are equally interested in a pitcher's ability to manipulate the ball and generate swings and misses. This shift reflects broader changes in the game, where strikeouts have become more prevalent, and pitchers are encouraged to develop a repertoire of pitches that can deceive hitters at the professional level.

Key Metrics in Modern Pitching Scouting

Velocity and Beyond While a fastball velocity in the mid to high 90s (mph) can turn heads, scouts now also focus on how a pitcher uses his velocity. The effectiveness of the pitch, measured by metrics like spin rate and induced vertical break, can be more telling than speed alone.

Spin Rate A higher spin rate can lead to more movement on the ball, making pitches harder to hit. Scouts use tools like TrackMan or Rapsodo to measure spin rates during games and bullpen sessions, helping them predict which pitchers might succeed against advanced hitters.

Pitch Arsenal Scouts assess a pitcher's arsenal—how many different pitches they can throw effectively. A pitcher with a well-rounded selection of pitches (fastball, curveball, slider, changeup) is often viewed as having higher potential for success at the MLB level.

Scouting Techniques: From Observation to Analysis

Visual Assessment Scouts look for mechanics that are repeatable and efficient. They observe a pitcher's delivery and follow-through to evaluate their potential for injury and longevity in the league. Consistency in delivery often correlates with better control and effectiveness.

Technological Integration Technology plays a crucial role in modern scouting. Devices that track pitch velocity, trajectory, and spin are now standard tools. Moreover, video analysis software helps scouts break down mechanics frame by frame to identify areas for improvement.

Mental Makeup Beyond physical skills, scouts assess a pitcher's mental approach to the game. Qualities such as competitiveness, composure under pressure, and the ability to adjust tactics between starts or even between innings are critical indicators of future success.

The Impact of Data and Analytics

Data-Driven Decisions With the influx of data, teams can make more informed decisions about which pitchers to draft or develop. Analytics teams work closely with scouts to interpret data and predict outcomes based on historical comparisons and advanced modeling. The word Analytics will be gone a new buzz word will show up,

Case Study: Finding a Diamond in the Rough One notable success story involves a pitcher who was initially overlooked due to a lack of velocity but had exceptional spin rates and command. Data analysis helped the scouting team recognize his potential, leading to a successful career as a top MLB starter.

Challenges and Future Directions

Balancing Data with Instinct One of the ongoing challenges in scouting is balancing the wealth of available data with traditional scouting instincts. While analytics offer powerful insights, the human element remains indispensable, particularly in gauging a player's intangibles and adaptability.

Developing Next-Gen Scouts The future of scouting will likely involve a hybrid approach, where scouts are trained only in traditional evaluation. This will enable them to harness the full spectrum of available information when making recommendations.

My Bottom Line-

Scouting the next generation of MLB pitchers is an increasingly sophisticated endeavor that blends traditional methods with modern technology. As the game continues to evolve, so too will the techniques used to uncover and develop pitching talent, ensuring that MLB remains at the forefront of sporting innovation and excellence.

If you are a young pitcher or pitching coach, I strongly you to read my memo last week on Tommy John Surgery