From failure to failure to … Nobel Prize ???

Dear Magicians,

Tomorrow, the Nobel Prize in Physics will be announced. Tonight is like Christmas for nerds.

Want to prank your favorite self-absorbed physicist and scare them half to death? Call them at 2am and in your best Swedish Chef accent, tell them they’ve won!

Speaking of physics, to paraphrase Winston Churchill, in my career, making progress involves going from 'failure to failure without losing enthusiasm'. Countless experiments and hypotheses are tested before a breakthrough is achieved. Or sometimes, the breakthrough never comes. or a supposed breakthrough is falsified, but even then, only after much humiliation.

Ten years ago, the BICEP2 team held a press conference at Harvard announcing a stunning breakthrough — the first ‘direct evidence for cosmic inflation’ — a breakthrough on par with the discovery of the expanding universe itself. Nobel Prizes would be awarded to all! Except, as you may know, my first book describing the ensuing debacle is called LOSING the Nobel Prize , not “Winning"! I’m still Nobel-less...

And the BICEP2 team is not alone. Marie Curie, who famously discovered radium and polonium, faced numerous setbacks and failures before finally achieving her groundbreaking discoveries. She faced immense skepticism and resistance from the scientific community, partly because of her gender. It’s alleged that she only won the physics prize because of the protestations of her husband and a mathematician named G?sta Mittag-Leffler. Financial difficulties also plagued her early research, and her laboratory conditions were often less than ideal. Her notebooks remain radioactive to this day!

Three years after winning the Nobel Prize in 1903, tragedy struck her husband, Pierre Curie, three years after winning the Nobel Prize in 1906. Pierre, who was a brilliant scientist and Marie’s research partner, was killed in a street accident when he was struck by a horse-drawn carriage in Paris. His death devastated Marie both personally and professionally. However, despite her grief, she continued their joint research and took over Pierre’s position at the Sorbonne, becoming the first woman to teach at the prestigious institution. She honored his memory by continuing their pioneering work in radioactivity, which eventually led to her second Nobel Prize. She ultimately won two Nobel Prizes, one in Physics and another in Chemistry — the first person to win two.

Fritz Haber ?is best known for developing the Haber-Bosch process, which revolutionized food production by enabling the large-scale synthesis of ammonia, a critical component of fertilizers. He was awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 1918 for this groundbreaking work. However, Haber also played a vital role in the development of chemical warfare during World War I, overseeing Germany’s first large-scale use of chlorine gas at the Second Battle of Ypres in 1915. His involvement in chemical weapons deeply distressed his wife, Clara Immerwahr, a chemist and pacifist, who tragically committed suicide later that year. After the war, one of his sons, Hermann, also committed suicide in 1946. During World War II, many of Haber's Jewish relatives were killed in Nazi concentration camps, where Zyklon-B, a cyanide-based pesticide derived from chemical processes Haber had pioneered, was used for mass executions. Though Haber did not invent Zyklon-B or foresee its later use, his legacy remains tied to both the agricultural revolution and the horrors of chemical warfare.

Barry Marshall, who discovered the link between Helicobacter pylori and stomach ulcers, faced skepticism and rejection from the scientific community before his groundbreaking discovery was accepted.

Even the BICEP2 failure was a success. It led to Jim Simons supporting the Simons Observatory ?— poised to make a definitive statement about the inflationary universe. Armed (no pun intended) with knowledge about cosmic dust gleaned from BICEP2, we are currently analyzing data from the first few months of observations.

Last night, I hosted Richard Dawkins, a prominent evolutionary biologist and ethologist. Richard and I discussed his failures and controversies throughout his career. One notable one occurred in 1985 when Cardinal Ratzinger (later Pope Benedict XVI) laicized Father Stephen Kiesle, a priest accused of child molestation. Dawkins and Christopher Hitchens publicly called for Ratzinger to stand a criminal trial ?for failure to report the abuse - crimes against humanity. These charges were not pursued. Some said this incident raised questions about Dawkins' approach to tackling religion ?and his potential impact on the Church. Dawkins has also faced criticism for his online provocations and polarizing statements, leading some to worry that his actions do more harm than good. Despite these setbacks, Dawkins remains a respected figure in the scientific community and has significantly contributed to evolutionary biology. It was a delight to engage with him on a variety of issues.

So, who’s gonna win tomorrow? Let me know in a reply to this message.

Now, I’m off to bed so I can be ready for the 2am call

Until next time, have a M.A.G.I.C. Week,

Brian

Appearance

Speaking of Nobel Prize winners who were once viewed as failures, please enjoy my second TEDx talk: Even Einstein Had Imposter Syndrome!

Genius

The FlyWire project has achieved a brilliant milestone in neuroscience by creating the first complete connectome of an adult fly brain. This comprehensive map of neural connections was made possible through a collaborative effort involving researchers from 127 institutions.

The project utilized high-resolution electron microscopy data and advanced AI-assisted segmentation techniques to identify and annotate approximately140,000 neurons and over 50 million synapses in the fly mind! Check out the article on this heroic accomplishment here .

By the way, what’s the last thing that goes through a fly’s mind before it hits your car’s windshield?

A: His butt!

Image

The Draconid Meteor Shower, peaks tonight, is a real oddity in that its radiant point stands highest in the sky as darkness falls. That’s why you’ll see more Draconids in the evening hours than in the morning hours after midnight.

The best time to watch the Draconids is the evening of October 7 through the wee hours of the morning on October 8. The moon will set before 9 pm, so you can watch for meteors in a moonless sky. You might see as many as 10 meteors per hour.

The meteor shower is the result of Earth passing through the debris of comet 21P/Giacobini-Zinner, which comes close to Earth every 7 years. When that occurs, it can produce a spectacular meteor shower, known as a meteor storm: hundreds or even thousands of meteors per hour! That's not likely to happen this year, but the comet will be back in Earth's neighborhood in 2025, so we could get a really good show next year!

Reminder: If you have a .edu email address in the USA you can win a real meteorite!

Check out: https://BrianKeating.com/edu

Conversation

Discrepancies between different measurements of the Hubble constant have caused a major crisis in cosmology.

My guest Wendy Freedman is at the forefront of efforts to resolve this tension. Known for her pioneering work on the Hubble Key Project and her important contributions to the measurement of the Hubble constant, Wendy is now using the James Webb Space Telescope to bring clarity to this debate.

With decades of experience and a deep understanding of the complexity of cosmic measurements, there is no one better to shed light on this issue.

So, can the James Webb Space Telescope help solve one of the biggest puzzles in cosmology?

Tune in to this episode of Into the Impossible to find out!

Subscribe to my podcast! More than 2M downloads!

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Since it’s Nobel Prize season, I can’t resist plugging my second book, Think Like a Nobel Prize Winner.

If you’re a STEM professional or aspire to be, I know you’ll love my STEM self-help book, Think Like a Nobel Prize Winner. It’s full of actionable tips from the world’s most brilliant but relatable geniuses. They’ll teach you to overcome the imposter syndrome, collaborate with your competition, and thrive in today’s cutthroat academic environment.

Read the first chapters for free here .

Upcoming Episodes

• I spoke to Spencer Klavan about his new book, Light of the Mind, Light of the World last week. Spencer is a brilliant thinker and I know you’ll love the episode as much as I did. Look for it next week!