FINTRX Private Wealth Weekly Roundup | 9.29.22 | Volume 25
Volume 25
09/29/2022 (4 Min. Read)
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Russian Gas Poses Risk to Europe, China Reconsiders its Lending Practices and Credit Suisse Launches a SFO Index in this week's edition...
Take a Lap Around the Industry
Russia's Gas Shutdown Pushes Europe Toward a 2009-Like Recession
Due to the war in Ukraine, Russian gas flow to the rest of Europe has come to a halt. According to the?BBC, Russia has supplied some European countries with as much as 40% of their natural gas imports, with Germany and Italy as the group's largest importers. More recently, the pipeline experienced a break, causing massive amounts of methane to be released into the atmosphere and posing as a severe climate issue. In addition to an ongoing energy crisis that could leave many homes without heat for the winter, the continent may be on the cusp of a "deep recession". Economists predict that a combination of bad policy, disappointing GDP and inflation estimates could send Europe into a contraction that matches the likes of 2009. Adding to the pressure, the European Central Bank (ECB) is squeezing the economy faster than ever before in an attempt to corral inflation.
"If consumer behavior proves sticky and unity between EU countries begins to break down, gas prices could spike above 400 euros, inflation could approach 8% next year and the economy might contract by almost 5% this winter."
Maeva Cousin, Bloomberg
Private Funding Pulse Check
China Considers Reorganizing its Belt and Road Program
In 2013 China implemented its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the strategic plan aimed to invest in nearly 150 countries and international organizations across Asia, Europe, Africa and the Middle East. Widely considered to be the centerpiece of Chinese leader Xi Jinping's foreign policy, the BRI extended tens of billions in loans to cash-restricted countries that have since defaulted, leaving China wondering what is next. Economists and foreign politicians have criticized China for its "debt-trap diplomacy", extending lines of credit to a myriad of unreliable partners. To combat ongoing pressure from creditors and world leaders, Chinese officials have begun to explore alternative methods to make the BRI more sustainable and less predatory. Potential solutions include lending at below-market interest rates and forming public-private partnerships to reduce risk.
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"If Belt and Road is going to retain its importance in expanding Chinese influence, China may need to find a new way... such as moving away from lending in favor of giving grants and other aid."
Brad Setser, Council on Foreign Relations
Barron's Releases its Top RIA Firm Rankings
In a recent release by Barron's, the company has announced its Top Ranked RIAs, based on a combination of assets, revenue and quality of practice. Edelman Financial Engines topped out the list, reporting over 1.3M clients serviced by 452 advisors. The 2022 edition of the rankings brought plenty of surprises, with SignatureFD advancing 27 spots to round out at 59th overall. In addition, Cresset made a significant jump, moving 20 spots to 12th overall that was largely fueled by the firm's merger with Meristem Family Wealth that brought their AUM to $5.4B. On the flip side, CV Advisors fell the farthest, dropping 40 slots to 99th overall.
Credit Suisse Launches the First of its Kind, Single-Family Office Index
According to multiple reports, Credit Suisse has launched the Credit Suisse Single Family Office Index, which aims to track the performance of over 300 SFOs across Asia, Europe and the Middle East. In addition to tracking the offices by region, the index is also filtered by AUM size, with small SFOs defined as those with less than $100M, medium between $100M and $500M, and large over $500M. Driving forces behind the creation of this index include the desire to understand and visualize key issues that family offices face and the factors ultimately driving their investment decisions. Referencing the July statistics, the index has found that on average SFOs have invested 47% of their AUM into equities, 29% into bonds and 17% into alternative assets.
"Two of the most common questions from SFOs are what and how are other SFOs doing. We believe the Credit Suisse SFO Index will help SFOs around the world to gain insight into their peers’ asset allocations and performances by geography and size."
Nannette Hechler-Fayd'herbe, Credit Suisse
Industry M&A Wrap Up
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