Family Office & RIA Weekly Roundup | 6.15.23 | Volume 60
Family Office & RIA Weekly Roundup?
Volume 60
06/15/2023 (4 Min. Read)
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Cooling Inflation Prompts a Fed Pause, The IEA Projects an Oil Peak and AI Boosts Productivity and Profits in this Week's Edition...
Take a Lap Around the Industry
Inflation Numbers in Check, but Fed Faces Dilemma as Financial Markets Surge
The highly anticipated release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report has brought the topic of inflation to the forefront, with its potential impact on the economy under close scrutiny. The report reveals a noteworthy cooling trend in overall inflation, primarily driven by a significant drop in energy prices, which bodes well for consumers. However, beneath the surface, the core gauge, which excludes energy and food prices, paints a different picture, indicating that inflation remains stubbornly high. This divergence raises important considerations for policymakers, as hopes for a broader cooldown in inflation rely on factors such as declining shelter costs. So far such cost reductions have yet to materialize, putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to potentially continue raising interest rates after yesterday's pause. With a strong job market, persistent core inflation, and surging financial markets, the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decisions become increasingly complex, requiring careful navigation to strike a balance between economic stability and inflation control.
"A decision to hold our policy rate constant at a coming meeting should not be interpreted to mean that we have reached the peak rate for this cycle."
Philip Jefferson, Federal Reserve Governor
Private Funding Pulse Check
Shift to Clean Energy Accelerates: Global Oil Demand Expected to Peak by 2028
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted a peak and steady decline in demand for oil-derived transport fuels driven by EV adoption and remote work. Rapidly growing Asian economies will sustain global oil demand, but even China's appetite for crude will slow before the decade's end. India is expected to surpass China as the main oil growth driver by 2027. The IEA's forecasts indicate a faster transition away from fossil fuels accelerated by the pandemic and geopolitical events. While demand for oil-derived transport fuels will peak and steadily decline in advanced economies in North America and Europe this year, non-OECD nations, mostly in Asia, are expected to experience demand growth of over 7% by 2028. This could tighten the market in the near term, alongside production cuts by OPEC+. However, oil producers are predicted to continue investing in production, resulting in ample supply despite slowing demand.
"The shift to a clean-energy economy is picking up pace, with a peak in global oil demand in sight before the end of this decade."
领英推荐
Fatih Birol, IEA
Generative AI Set to Drive $4.4 Trillion Economic Boost, but Knowledge Workers at Risk
The widespread adoption of generative artificial intelligence (AI) will bring accelerated productivity and prosperity, but also disrupt knowledge workers, warns McKinsey & Co. The integration of generative AI into business activities could generate economic benefits of up to $4.4 trillion, or 4.4% of the world economy's output. However, this transformation poses challenges for "knowledge workers" whose roles were considered immune to automation. According to McKinsey, a staggering 60-70% of global work hours could soon be taken over by automation, leaving knowledge workers in a vulnerable position.?Industries such as customer operations, marketing, sales, software engineering, and research and development stand to gain the most value from generative AI. Banks could increase productivity by $200-$340B, while the technology could boost R&D productivity by 10-15%. McKinsey now predicts that AI will match human performance in natural-language understanding this year. The adoption of automation will affect white-collar work more than physical tasks and may challenge the value of traditional degrees.
"AI investments are associated with a flattening of the firms’ hierarchical structure, with significant increases in the share of workers at the junior level and decreases in shares of workers in middle-management and senior roles."
McKinsey
Toronto Billionaire Michael Andlauer Wins Bid to Purchase Ottawa Senators for Record $950 Million
Toronto billionaire Michael Andlauer's group has successfully secured the bid to purchase the Ottawa Senators hockey club for a staggering $950M, pending approval from the NHL Board of Governors. This acquisition surpasses the record-breaking $900M purchase of the Pittsburgh Penguins by Fenway Sports Group in 2021. Andlauer, who already owns a minority stake in the Montreal Canadiens, will have to divest his ownership in the team. With a longstanding passion for hockey and a background in the transportation industry, Andlauer brings a unique perspective to the table. His plan for hockey operations is yet to be unveiled, but potential candidates like former NHL defenseman Steve Staios and ex-Senators player Daniel Alfredsson have been mentioned. Moreover, Andlauer's expertise in logistics and transportation may influence his approach to the Senators' arena plan, with local partnerships and alternative land options being considered. The sale is expected to undergo the necessary approval processes, potentially finalizing by August or September.
"My family and I are very excited to be a part of the Ottawa Senators Hockey Club...I believe that the Senators’ fanbase is one of the most passionate in the league and I’m excited to take the franchise’s success both on and off the ice to the next level. The short and long-term future of the team is incredibly bright, and I look forward to getting to know the team, the fanbase and the community."
Michael Andlauer
Industry M&A Wrap Up