?? Explaining Probability and Likelihood to Young Minds! ??
Suvankar Maity
Investment Banking & Financial Analyst Enthusiast | Ex-Data Scientist | Creating impactful business solutions with actionable data insights | Sports Geek ??
Hey LinkedIn family! ?? Today, let's dive into the world of Probability and Likelihood ! ???
?? Probability: Imagine you have a bag of colorful marbles – red, blue, green, and yellow. Now, if you want to know the chance of picking a red marble, probability helps us figure that out! If there are 2 red marbles out of 10, the probability of picking red is 2/10 or 1/5. So, it's like predicting how likely something is to happen based on the total possibilities.
?? Example: "What's the probability of rolling a '3' on a regular six-sided die?" Well, there's only one '3' face out of six, so the probability is 1/6.
?? Likelihood: Now, let's talk about likelihood! It's a bit like saying, "How much do you think this is going to happen?" It's a measure of belief or expectation, but not necessarily a precise calculation.
?? Example: If it's raining outside, the likelihood of you needing an umbrella is higher than if the sun is shining bright!
So, probability value helps us measure the chances of something happening in a specific situation, while likelihood helps us understand how likely something is to happen in general.
In a nutshell: