Expert Opinions About The Future Of Human-Level Artificial Intelligence

Many artificial intelligence experts believe there is a real chance that human-level AI will be developed within the next decades. Some AI experts even predict that it will exist much sooner than expected. In 2023, many industries are already using technology to improve business operations, understand market trends, and stay competitive. However, there are still a lot of facts hidden about artificial intelligence.?

Experts believe that AI can compete with human intelligence. However, artificial intelligence surpassing our own intelligence sounds like sci-fi stuff. With that in mind, it becomes extra important to understand what experts in the field of AI think about such scenarios. Let us understand the future of AI from experts in this newsletter, along with some other facts about emerging tech.?

What Is Human-Level AI??

Let's start with understanding what a human-level AI is and what it can do. In simple words, a human-level AI would be a machine or a network of machines. The primary goal of human-level AI is to carry out some tasks that humans can successfully complete.?

In the book titled "Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach" by Peter Norvig and Stuart Russell, the AI experts wrote that "human-level AI is a machine that can learn to do anything that a human can do."

That said, an AI machine would understand how to choose actions based on data. Then, they can eventually execute the tasks to achieve goals and carry out those actions. Machines powered by AI can do the work of a doctor, an illustrator, a therapist, a teacher, or a translator if trained.

The Forecast of the Metaculus Community?

In the big visualization on artificial intelligence, here is what the forecast of the Metaculus Community states about the technology.?

Metaculus Community forecasters believe there is a 50% chance that "Artificial General Intelligence" will be devised, tested, and publicly announced by the end of 2040. That is less than 20 years from now!?

Note:- The forecasters on the online platform Metaculus Community are not experts in artificial intelligence. They are people who dedicate their energy to predicting the future of technology.?

The Forecast by Ajeya Cotra

Ajeya Cotra , who is currently working for the nonprofit Open Philanthropy , published a detailed and influential study about transformational AI in 2020.?

Corta predicted a 50% chance of affordable and possible transformative AI development by the end of 2050. However, she believes the uncertainty is large, spanning from 2040 to 2090.?

In 2022, she revised her forecast and shortened her median timeline by ten years.?

How Will Artificial Intelligence Be Used In The Future??

Artificial intelligence (AI) has multiple applications in businesses, including aggregating business data and streamlining job processes. Researchers aren't exactly sure what the future of AI will look like, specifically related to human-level AI. However, experts say that AI technology will make tasks extremely easy for workers. That means robots will be used in everyday life for various tasks. Here are a few more expert opinions!

Russell Glenister , the CEO and founder of Talent Ferret said that AI is starting to make impossible things like driverless cars possible. He continued that "Driverless cars are possible because of easy access to fast GPUs and training data. Both key enablers help train driverless cars faster than expected." Hence, it won't be wrong to say that we can expect quick and easy development of driverless cars in the future.

Dr. Nathan Wilson, the CTO and Co-Founder of Nara Logics , said that he sees AI as a revolutionary tool for the dining industry. Wilson noted that artificial intelligence could be used by restaurants. They will use AI to predict which music should be played for guests or how to match the aesthetics of the space per customer preferences.??

Key Takeaways About The Future Of AI

In 2023, artificial intelligence tools and technologies are becoming a more integrated part of the workforce, especially in healthcare . However, that does not mean human jobs will disappear. Instead, workers will become more specialized. They will work for jobs that automatic machines cannot do, such as jobs that require qualitative skills, problem-solving abilities, and creativity.

Whether rocky or rosy, the future of AI is coming quickly. We can predict that artificial intelligence will be a part of all major activities, from being a part of user life to automating many tasks at the workplace. As technology develops, startups, SMEs, and large enterprises will integrate tech into their business.

What do your thoughts about the future of artificial intelligence? Let us know in the comment section!