Europe's Biggest Ever Mistake in History And the Consequences Ahead

On 2nd September 2015, I uploaded onto Visioning 2050, an essay painting a brief overview of the next global war titled The Imminent World War III: A Long Protracted Abyss.

As of 6 September 2015, human floodgates have been opened by concerned European nations. The mass of people flooding in are not from developed or highly developing nations. These are people, streaming in from countries like Afghanistan, Pakistan, Syria, Libya and other nations torn by extreme conflict and bloodshed. Justifiably it can be presumed, that most got to the borders of Europe, with the help of human traffickers.

Yes there is a genuine humanitarian issue. Where these refugees are flooding in from, into Europe, as of 6 September 2015, are places where bombs go off everyday, people are shot at at random from multiple sides, food is unavailable, drinking water is unavailable, women are subjected to rape & sexual slavery and children are slaughtered. And this reality requires a solution. An immediate solution that is long overdue.

The persons, of any age, gender and background, escaping the situations of the violence riddled homelands need to be dealt with sympathetically and humanely. They need to be rescued. What European nations, or any other developed nations for that matter, need to be very careful and sure not to do, is open the floodgates, to welcome the escapees from the particular regions which form the sources of current refugees streaming to the west, into their borders. European nations as of 6 September 2015 are doing just that, and are effectively making the biggest mistake in history. A mistake comes with adverse consequences. The bigger the mistake, the bigger the consequence. Europe's mistake in dealing with the refugee crisis ongoing as of September 2015, of accommodating and even welcoming the refugees into the borders, will certainly bring with it, the biggest consequences. One cannot iterate or reiterate this enough.

The solution to conflict is an end to conflict. This is a principle that in present circumstances as of 2015, world governments need to pursue and apply. Instead, that is the very principle that is being, at the time, completely overlooked, neglected and ignored. The reason being reluctance towards a joint military intervention to put down the organisations driving and benefiting from the violence in regions where the refugee influx is originating from.

What is happening in Syria, Libya, Egypt, Palestine, Iraq, Yemen and Afghanistan is not at all about those countries or places. It has nothing to do with any particular ethnic group or faith demography. What is happening in those geographical spaces, is about the world and its future.

Under intense emotional blackmail and media pressure, European states as of September 2015 have caved in to welcome refugees through their borders within their geographical territories. In doing so, they have failed to scrutinise the entities or participants driving the social media buzz, the social network campaigns, the mainstream media sensationalism and the emotional outcries. The people who went about vehemently sharing and promoting the sharing of the images of drowned children of refugees in social spaces online should have at least been looked at carefully for whom and what they have been associated with, or whom and what they have sympathised with in the past. In not engaging in scrutiny as such to take the bold philanthropic step of opening their homes to the refugee stream, what the European nations have effectively done, is created a massive loophole in their security parameters, that the defence and intelligence apparatuses will not fathomably be able to help them guard against or effectively plug within a foreseeable period ahead.

From the loophole created, how do you filter, a genuine escapee from conflict who is right-minded and peace-seeking from an infiltrator posing as a refugee, that would remain silent and dormant for a long time, until an opportunity arises to strike later? Perhaps years later? The war of ISIS, Al Qaeda and Taliban are not against their enemies, where they are now doing battle, but their war, is against the world, including the West, which they are willing to fight by any means.

The London bombers had wives and young children, when they took lives of innocent civilians around them, in the very country which had sheltered them. When we fail to learn from history, history repeats itself, because history is just such a teacher, and will never change its teaching approach. Sympathy is a humanising trait, only so long, as it does not become a weakness.

Yes, life is sacred and if it is not considered so, no human effort or labour is worthwhile. When a child drowns it is a tragedy. In various ancient cultures, the practice of displaying or exhibiting the dead has been deemed as demonic, and the belief that exhibiting the dead is demonic has survived for millennia to the present day, across cultures and borders, for a reason. Respecting the dead and the dignity of the dead is considered the primary defining value of humanity, again for a reason. Such reasons need to be respected. When those reasons and values are violated, questions should be raised rather than submission made before such action. The actions I refer to herein, are those of the people who flooded media and online space with images of drowned refugees, in particular, the drowned children, to pressurise an emotional response or rather a surrender. It is such unethical and inhuman behaviour that should immediately have served as important security flag. Why are the "keyboard warriors" or certain media agencies so desperate to push an agenda as to commit such sacrilege? Are they weak-minded pawns irrationally sold to a deeper less visible, subtle, but more powerful conditioning or propaganda? In the present day, the terrorists are more effective at the communication and conditioning game. Those subjected to that game, do not even know what they are doing, when they end up doing, exactly, what the originators of the subtle conditioning efforts want. And they may never know it. And in the ongoing war efforts of such nefarious organisations, that is only one possibility of the sinister sort out of plenty.

It is important to note, that throughout human history, it has been a tactic of the oppressive, the dictatorial, the malicious and the terrorists in various forms, to display and exhibit the dead. Much of the social rallying or campaigning over the matter of refugees flooding into Europe in the first week of September 2015 began to carry images of dead children, and continued ceaselessly despite global criticisms including from  amongst actors involved in nation state governance.

The contemporary focus as of September 2015, with regards to refugee crisis in Europe, is on the issues of budget and economy. What is either completely genuinely overlooked and disregarded, or just strategically not being talked about, very carefully so, is the much more important and serious issue of home security for the countries these refugee groups are flooding, in rather hard to control numbers.

The security consequences ahead can arise from multiple scenarios not mutually exclusive. Proximity breeds contempt, which may escalate to violence. Europe has seen this in very recent history in multiple examples. Persons who escape war to expect better elsewhere, are hardened with an unreal sense of entitlement. That can lead to violent conduct, which escalate from protest to shoving to punches to sticks to guns. This isn't a theory, but has again been seen in history. When social injustices are perceived overtime due to adjustment issues, the very nations that some refugees are grateful to today, may become perceived by them as enemies, and the very people they have run from today, may be looked up to by them tomorrow.

Yes, refugees need food, water, clothing, shelter, protection, dignity and all kinds of other help. In short, refugees, need refuge. It is the way in which Europe or at least a part of Europe is willing to offer that refuge is a mistake, and the biggest one in history at that. In great part, because of sheer numbers today, and the floodgates opened for much bigger numbers tomorrow.

Alienation and disillusionment of locals. Compromising of societal dynamics, because they are not exactly bringing in expatriate professionals. Inability to keep check on ideologies of foreign strangers on their soil. These are all issues, that the European governments need to very closely consider and worry about. The consequences these can result in are shootings, bombings, civil strife, socio-political upheavals originating from any demographic group and more. The middle-east uprisings and subsequent armed conflicts may not have significantly affected the global economy. An already vulnerable European economy compounded with a Europe riddled with violent uprisings or conflicts or spectacular terrorist attacks within its borders threatens indeed an abyss for the entire world and its 7 billion plus people that no responsible government of a nation state would not fear.

At the very beginning of the Syrian war's onset, a massive refugee crisis was imminent. As the conflict spread and more conflict zones emerged across geographies, that imminence was amplified. To seek refuge, where were the refugees to go? Consider that after 1993 stock exchange bombings then the train bombings more than a decade later, perpetrators from Pakistan still managed to get into the heart on Mumbai via the sea to carry out the November 2008 attacks is a demonstration of the determination, resilience and planning of terrorists of the contemporary age. It is just one example, but it seems, it is the terrorists rather than nation states who are exercising greater foresight and strategic planning. Could an influx into Europe from the middle-east have been a long-drawn parallel conspiracy? An intended effect, for a long time, resulting from layered thinking? The possibility certainly is there. When it comes to security, it is the most remote possibilities that are too often too easily dismissed. That allowed the September 11, 2001 attacks to play out.

The greatest threat to humanity, from terrorists, is that the terrorists are able to figure the thought trains of nation states, which is how they compromise the securities of the nation states, but nation states are not able to or not choosing to think like the terrorists. And the world-view of terrorism remains limited from the perspective of the most important people in the defence against terrorism; the state actors. That limited world-view, is a cause for too significant an underestimation of the enemy's true capabilities. The most powerful weapon of the drivers behind violent factions and groups, is neither the gun, nor the bomb. The most powerful weapon of those drivers, is the human mind. Their own minds, are capable. And they manage to do damage, by manipulating the minds of others, either against yet others, or against themselves. This includes, through the power of the pen and media (conventional or social). It is time that state actors around the world sat down to reflect and ask themselves collectively, if in recent years, everyone has simply been acting, in a way that entities more sinister and less noble would like them to, when it comes to their approach on such issues. Or are they beginning to act as such, if they have not before?

Migration, has, is and will always be a necessity for all peoples and nations, for the continuity of human society, economy and statehood. Protectionism in any form is ultimately only self-destructive. There is a huge difference between management professionals, engineers, scientists & accountants from anywhere else in the world going to Europe through proper channels to contribute to both European and global economies, and refugees flooding in by landing on shores in the tens of thousands, without jobs or investments and commitments to their own accommodation and economic well-being. It is that difference that creates the massive security loophole we have seen open up by end of the first week of September in 2015. A mistake, on the part of European states, who today are seeing their citizens handing out candy to arriving refugee children, that may have the same welcoming approach to regret, when violent domino outcomes are seen at later points in time, with either those refugees or their children being the cause of those outcomes. And economically at least, the rest of the world will pay the price, along with Europe. And with Europe's borders and security compromised, will it quite end there? Educated foresight, would suggest, quite resoundingly, that it will not.

Rather, than contain the bloodshed and growth of power, of nefarious groups challenging systems of nation states and mechanisms of human progress, what the European states holding a welcoming approach as of today towards the refugees are doing, is helping the enemy, quite too possibly, spread its business of terror and destruction. When historians of the future look back to analyse World War III, this very mistake, may very likely, be seen as a major significant factor attributable for causing that great war and for leading up to it.

Update as of 7 September 2015

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/589339/ISIS-Islamic-State-Terrorists-sneaking-Europe-boats-EU-Michele-Coninsx-Eurojust

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/555434/Islamic-State-ISIS-Smuggler-THOUSANDS-Extremists-into-Europe-Refugees

Update as of 3 October 2015

https://www.itv.com/news/story/2015-10-03/eurotunnel-suspended-after-massive-invasion/

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-34432386

Update as of 15 November 2015

Update as of 20 November 2015:

Update as of 7 January 2016:

Germany is rocked by accusations of a mass sexual assault by Arab men on New Year’s Eve

Update as of 9 January 2016:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3390168/Migrant-rape-fears-spread-Europe-Women-told-not-night-assaults-carried-Sweden-Finland-Germany-Austria-Switzerland-amid-warnings-gangs-ordinating-attacks.html?ito=social-facebook

This article was originally posted on Visioning 2050. If you seek more in-depth insight on the subject, you may contact Harish Shah from Stratserv Consultancy via email.