European Open Market Update

European Open Market Update

Thursday, March 03, 2022 (European Session)

Slight Optimism in Market but risks remain?

Equities were elevated into the close yesterday as Powell said the FED will tighten by 25bps in March and not 50 bps, highlighting new risks from tensions?

This has caused some ease so far in markets and risk assets have held onto their gains from yesterday although mostly flat intraday.??

Oil Prices have continued to print fresh highs as supply concerns increase and there is not much to change this trajectory in the short term?

BOC hiked interest rates by 25 bps like markets expected and highlighted stronger economic growth, higher inflation and would need to hike more -CAD positive?

The Aussie and CAD benefit from the positives, GDP growth and positive trade balance in Australia, Hawkish BOC and rising Oil prices as well while EUR and JPY are weakest in the FX space to start the day?

The USD trades mixed for now but the outlook remains positive as data remains strong and the FED are set to act?

Ukraine-Russia talks will hold today and potential ceasefire would be discussed -this could be key for sentiment?

Equities trade lackluster for now but are mostly elevated from yesterday's session -US500.F is capped at 4400

Oil prices can't seem to catch a break from the upside with the bias firmly tilted higher although be mindful of trading at highs -USOil trades at $110 resistance?

VIX trades flat intraday but holds on to yesterday's losses; similar story on- US10YR Bond

USDIndex is currently undecided, holding flat so far

Downside in Euro is still very much in play although EUR crosses trade mostly at lows.?

Equities trading flat makes upside in the Aussie tricky despite the positives but should be interesting if sentiment improves in the session -focus will be on Russia-Ukraine talks?

CAD is supported by hawkish BOC and rising Oil prices, so that can also be considered while JPY remains pressured overall.

Note: Mostly light calendar in Europe until FED Powell, BOC Macklem and US ISM services PMI.

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