The European Fault: Russian Imperialism.
RICCARDO CELANI
Founder at R. C. Marketing & Communication // Director at UN PlaneTravelMagazine
The upcoming European Parliament elections in June will mark a pivotal moment, as they are poised to solidify a majority that will sharply divide parties between those advocating robust military support for Ukraine until ultimate victory, and those opposing such action.
This profound political fault line is expected to resonate deeply within European national governments as well.
Putin's aggressive invasion of Ukraine has not only bolstered NATO with the inclusion of significant countries like Finland and Sweden, but it also risks laying the groundwork for a supranational European state, potentially with a directly elected President representing the European people.
For Russian politics, this represents a double tragic failure.
The Russian threat looms large over Europe, transcending mere political challenges to become a pressing concern for the foreseeable future, possibly even a decade.
A crucial variable in this equation is the outcome of the US elections in November. While a victory for Trump seems unlikely, if it were to occur, there's a heightened risk of Russian proxy attacks on Baltic countries commencing from December 2024, utilizing Belarusian forces as a first strike.
Let us be unequivocal: we stand on the brink of a conflict between the Western bloc and Russia.
It is imperative to throw our unwavering support behind Ukraine using every available means, as they are effectively safeguarding our sole eastern border.
Furthermore, immediate rearmament is essential, necessitating a commitment of at least 5% of each European country's GDP, rather than the current NATO-requested 2%. Additionally, we must be prepared to partially transition our economies into war economies, establishing a unified European command and deploying new European nuclear assets within our borders.
By showcasing our strength and readiness, we may deter Russia from aggressive actions.
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While such measures may seem extreme, the potential economic and human losses in the event of Russian aggression far outweigh the required proactive investment.
President Macron's stance is commendable and prudent. It's crucial to openly dispatch instructors as a deterrent, a measure already undertaken by numerous Western nations in Ukraine.
Moreover, should Ukraine face imminent danger, we must be prepared to deploy troops onto Ukrainian soil. The disparity that allows Russian forces to enter Ukraine while Western forces are barred, even in symbolic numbers, must be addressed decisively to counteract bullying tactics.
Russia's economy, built on fragile foundations, is unsustainable in the long run, mirroring the fate of the Soviet Union, which collapsed after overextending itself with military expenditures.
The threat of Putin's nuclear saber-rattling is also largely a bluff. Putin is acutely aware that any use of nuclear weapons would prompt an immediate and devastating response from the West, akin to the Cold War era.
The loss of Ukraine would not only be a blow to Europe but to the entire free world.
It's imperative to recognize that in such a scenario, the specter of a Third World War could become a grim reality.
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8 个月Bravo Riccardo