Essay on the value of scientific method, free speech and property rights and Why India must avoid the policy architecture of 1947 to 1990

Essay on the value of scientific method, free speech and property rights and Why India must avoid the policy architecture of 1947 to 1990

When I try to develop risk response models for investment there are three fundamental pillars of societal progress: the scientific method, free speech, and property rights. ?I use these pillars to determine the core risk inherent in any investment in a given jurisdiction. These pillars foster innovation, open dialogue, and economic stability, creating a thriving environment for human advancement and consequently stability of any inter-generational investment.??

Almost 90% of the investments made by Adani Group are in this category of being inter-generational in nature e.g. Airports, Power Generation, Power Transmission & Distribution, Logistics etc.? What follows is a brief explanation of each pillar, some historical context and followed by the danger posed to this by misguided socialist values.

Current Operating cashflow mix of Adani Portfolio

Pillar 1: The Scientific Method

Scientific method is a systematic approach to inquiry that allows us to explore and understand the natural world through observation, experimentation, and evidence-based conclusions. It provides a structured framework for discovering truths, challenging assumptions, and fostering innovation (one of the great mental models for any business). By adhering to the scientific method, we ensure that our knowledge is reliable and verifiable (due diligence capable work), leading to advancements in technology, medicine, and countless other fields.

Pillar 2: Free Speech

Free speech is the cornerstone of democracy and personal freedom. It empowers individuals to express their thoughts, ideas, and criticisms without fear of censorship or retribution (banning books, issuing death threats against speech). Free speech facilitates the open exchange of ideas, which is crucial for societal progress and the development of well-informed public opinion (thus you see an assault on speech by cancel culture, ad hominem name calling etc.). It encourages diversity of thought (which in the cancel culture world is being replaced by diversity of looks, physical appearance or ideology) and promotes dialogue, debate, and dissent (being crushed), all of which are necessary for the growth and adaptation of societies.

Pillar 3: Property Rights

Property rights are equally crucial as they provide individuals with the security to own, control, and benefit from their possessions (you can see this via centralised property ownership models being advanced). This security fosters economic stability and incentivizes innovation and investment. When individuals are confident that their property is protected by law, they are more likely to engage in entrepreneurial activities (primary risk taking), contribute to economic growth ( thus you see the opposition by rent seeking organisation to digitisation of land records and land), and improve their standard of living. Property rights also ensure the efficient allocation of resources (people who oppose this pillar also propose schemes like expansion of government ownership) , as owners have the incentive to manage their assets effectively.

The Combined impact of ?the scientific method, free speech, and property rights create a robust foundation for societal progress. The scientific method enables us to uncover new knowledge and innovate, while free speech ensures that ideas can be openly shared and debated, leading to the refinement and improvement of those ideas. Property rights provide the economic stability and incentives necessary for individuals to invest in and develop new technologies and businesses. This powerful combination promotes a culture of critical thinking, creativity, and economic growth. We must become this culture and business must imbibe these values to create long term wealth for its stakeholders.?

Societies that uphold these principles are better equipped to solve complex problems, adapt to changing circumstances, and enhance the well-being of their citizens. By fostering an environment where knowledge, innovation, and economic stability thrive, these pillars collectively drive human advancement and create a more prosperous and just world.

Just a small sample of the historical context to understand the evolution of these principles over time and the economic trajectory of Europe:

  • Pre-Renaissance (Before 14th Century): The global economy was relatively small, with Europe accounting for a minimal share compared to regions like China, India and the Middle East.
  • Post-Renaissance (After 14th Century): The Renaissance marked significant economic growth in Europe, with the European economy accounting for approximately 40-50% of the world economy by the 15th century.
  • By 1900, Europe's share of the world economy was approximately 60-70%, and the combined share of the US and Europe was about 80-85%. The average life expectancy had increased to around 47 years, and 78% of European & American children between the ages of five and seventeen were enrolled in schools.
  • Late 19th Century and Early 20th Century: Socialist ideas, driven by Marxist theory, began to gain traction in Europe. The Revolutions of 1848 saw significant revolutionary activity, inspired by the Communist Manifesto. Socialist parties and labour movements emerged, advocating for social reforms.? Mid-20th Century socialism continued to influence European politics, with many countries adopting social democratic policies that aimed to balance market economies with social welfare programs.
  • The result was by the 2000 the EU's share of the world economy had shrunk to 28.6%, and the US's share was 25.4% (US strictly maintained free speech, property rights and open exchange of ideas) and ?by 2024 the EU's share of the world economy reduced by a further 33% to ~17%, and the US's was consequently able to maintain its share at around 26%.

Over the last 125 years, Europe's share of the world economy has seen a significant decline. From commanding around 60-70% of the global economy in 1900, Europe's share has dwindled to below 18% in recent years,

In conclusion, India must avoid the mistake that Europe made and is making. We, in India, followed the European model (socialism masquerading as democracy) from 1947 to 1990 and it bought the entire country to its knees.? We cannot let that humiliation happen again.? We must avoid policy architecture of 1947 to 1990 at all costs.?

Harsh Khandelwal

Business Development -Tribeca & Trump

2 个月

Insightful!

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Mohit Rathi (Maheshwari)

"Finance Aficionado" - "Creating Value through Financial Planning & Forecasting" || Stock Trader || Pursuing CFA

2 个月

Jugeshinder (Robbie) Singh (MAICD) Absolutely True! India can lay the foundation for a more innovative, free, and prosperous future by focusing on the scientific method, free speech, and property rights. Between 1947 and 1992, the INR depreciated 5.5% annually, which would have resulted in a rate of INR 170/USD today. Since PM Narasimha Rao's reforms, the depreciation has slowed to about 3.5% annually, keeping the INR around 85/USD. Europe’s share of the global economy shrank from 60-70% in 1900 to below 18% todoy, largely due to socialist policies. India must avoid these past mistakes and prioritize economic freedom and entrepreneurship to secure a prosperous future.

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Vinit Pala

Affluent Investment Counselor

2 个月

Broadly the three pillars does provide a strong foundation for a societal model to follow. To add to that, principals followed by Amul in its cooperative model also provide great e.g of societal development through cooperative efforts and distribution of gains meaningfully across its constituents in a fair manner. This model addresses the basic flaw in capitalist system where pursuit of more & more profits leads to stakeholder exploitation by the private enterprise and at times makes pvt enterprise a virtual monopoly. The fear of monopoly by a large capitalist and exploitation of workers/ employees lead to surge in followers of socialism. The utopian ideals of it fascinates everyone, esp a worker who gets paid a fraction of what his CEO gets! We need more Amuls, to ensure our country thrives!

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Ratish Mohan Sharma

Senior Finance Professional | Ex- Deloitte, NDTV

2 个月

Very Well Articulated and thought provoking Jugeshinder (Robbie) Singh (MAICD). All three aspects of Scientific method, free speech, Property rights underline objectivity. It also resonates strongly as i see with fundamental principles of objectivity/dharma/mindful approach over emotions enshrined in bhagvat gita.

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Ajit Singh

Visionary Leader, Master Builder, and Committed Collaborator

2 个月

In a democratic system, elements of socialism are inevitable—social welfare programs and various forms of aid will remain. Whenever parts of society are left behind, regardless of the cause, socialist ideas gain momentum. This was evident in this year’s election, where Congress pledged to redistribute wealth and won 99 seats in Parliament. In the 1990s, as Jugeshinder (Robbie) Singh (MAICD) insightfully points out, India was compelled to reform because it was on the brink of collapse under socialist policies that had been in place since independence. Thanks to economic growth since that decade, the country has largely avoided reverting to a purely socialist agenda. However, the same forces—both domestic and foreign—that initially pushed for socialist policies and even amended the constitution remain active, pursuing their own interests. Continued...

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