ESG: Not Jack of all Trades
Klaus A. Wobbe
CEO & Co-Founder @ Intalcon | Systematic Investment Strategies that generate an outperformance and support the Sustainable Development Goals of the United Nations.
It is undisputed that when a company is poorly managed and acts in an antisocial manner or damages the environment it is not a suitable investment. Thomas Mayer pleads for common sense. ESG regulations do more harm than good. ?With just one click, this article is also available in German language.
In 2004, a group of private and public financial organisations published a report entitled "Who Cares Wins", at the invitation of UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan. The aim of the report was to develop guidelines and recommendations on how environmental, social and corporate governance aspects could be better taken into account in asset management, securities trading and financial research.
The report states: "A better inclusion of environmental, social and corporate governance (ESG) factors in investment decisions will ultimately contribute to more stable and predictable markets, which is in the interest of all market actors"
No common-sense financial analyst or business leader could have objected to the proposition that a business which is badly managed, behaves antisocially and systematically harms the environment is not an attractive investment in the long term and should therefore not enjoy a lasting right to exist on the market. Seen in this light, the call to consider "ESG criteria" when investing seemed like a call to invest with common sense. However, common sense is often an all too scarce commodity. The "ESG criteria" of the Annan Report have been narrowed down to partial aspects which produced mechanical rating systems and government bureaucratic monsters.
Rating agencies have developed various "ESG ratings" that measure environmental friendliness, social compatibility and proper management according to bureaucratically prescribed criteria. In doing so, however, the agencies go far beyond what can be measured quantitatively. Ratings were originally created to measure the probability of default on loans. Although qualitative factors also play a role, a quantitative statement can be made on the basis of key figures from the profit and loss account and the balance sheet analysis.
In contrast, the concept of sustainability is very complex and involves conflicting goals. Neither can it be defined without contradiction with the sustainability goals of the United Nations, nor can it be broken down to the three factors "E", "S" and "G". It is impossible to implement the sustainability goals without contradictions or converting the ESG criteria into a measure for "rating". Subjective and selective assessments dominate. Consequently, it is not surprising that the ESG ratings produced by the agencies are often inconsistent with each other.
INVESTMENT UNIVERSE NARROWED
In the capital markets, fund providers have promised their clients higher returns from "sustainable" ("ESG") investments. They may have been influenced by the assessments of the Annan Report. Indeed, ESG investments have at times outperformed the overall equity market. However, this was due to politically stimulated money inflows and not to higher earnings prospects for these ventures that would justify higher returns. In the long run, common sense says that investments selected according to ESG criteria must yield a lower return than the market as a whole; because if the investment universe is narrowed to ESG-compliant stocks, the investment universe is narrowed down to ESG-compliant securities and investment funds, this?concentration on a more limited selection of securities means lower returns are to be expected. In fact, the promises made by the providers have not been fulfilled either.
Especially after the Russian war of aggression on Ukraine, they must now answer uncomfortable questions: Why had many Russian companies received similar ESG ratings as comparable European companies? How was it possible that around 300 ESG Funds were involved in Russia and their investors have to reckon with losses of more than eight billion US dollars?
How was it possible that around 300 ESG funds were engaged in Russia?
PROF. DR. THOMAS MAYER
Aswath Damodaran, Professor of Finance at New York University's Stern School of Business, comments with a certain cynicism: "I think ESG is basically a feel-good scam that makes advisors rich while doing little or no good to companies or investors that they're trying to help, much less society. "This is because when investment money in public capital markets or bank loans are diverted from "brown" to "green" companies by policymakers, profitable investment opportunities in "brown" companies open up for private equity investors. The cost of capital in these companies increases only slightly and their production continues as usual.
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LESS SUSTAINABILITY
On the public side, the focus was on climate protection, which is mainly pursued by reducing carbon dioxide emissions. In March 2020, the European Union published a "taxonomy" that breaks down the climate and environmental impact of economic sectors in a catalogue of around 600 pages. On this basis, not only financial service providers should inform their customers about investments, but also banks should assess their credit risks associated with climate change. The European Central Bank also wants to make its monetary policy greener and thus more sustainable, even though this may entail risks for the safeguarding of price stability enshrined in its mandate.
On the one hand, the EU's extensive regulations are intended to provide more information that investors can include in their investment decisions. On the other hand, however, it also means that the analysis of investments is reduced to officially propagated formulas. So, resources are not used where they can be used most efficiently and contribute the highest added value to society, but where they are directed by rules and regulations. It is not difficult to deduce that not only the quality of investment decisions is reduced, but also the overall productivity of capital in the economy, which then leads to less "sustainability" instead of more.
Ultimately, "sustainable" in the field of economics and finance means "profitable in the long term". Of course, this is only possible if the basis of life is preserved, and the economy is run in a socially acceptable and efficient manner. However, it is not possible to create templates for this or to set timetables for achieving the goals.
DESIRE AND REALITY
Protecting our livelihoods involves not only protecting the climate, but also protecting the free social order. This also requires weapons, which are often considered to be not "ESG-compliant". Also, climate protection is not sustainable through protective measures if they fuel social conflicts; or stem from inefficient administrative structures; or if regulations prevent innovation, as is to be feared from the?current "Green Deal" and taxonomy of the EU.
Profit is a prerequisite for sensible economic action for the benefit of all.
PROF. DR. THOMAS MAYER
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CREDITS:
This article was first printed in the special publication?"Prosperity for All" ?(German only) of the Ludwig Erhard Foundation. We would like to thank Dr. Frank-B. Werner and the publisher?Holderstock Media ?for permission to publish.
Partner bei der Bremer Family Office AG
2 年Herzlichen Dank, Prof. Mayer für diesen ehrlichen Artikel. Seit einiger Zeit laufen wir dem Mythos ?ESG“ wie die Lemminge hinterher und vergessen dabei eine rationale Analyse . Natürlich sind die sinnvollen ( jedoch hoffentlich auch nachvollziehbaren, messbaren ) ESG- Kriterien beachtenswert , sie dürfen nur nicht zum Dogma erhoben werden. Wir laufen sonst einem unglaublichen Etikettenschwindel hinterher. Deshalb wünsche ich mir für die n?chste Zulunft etwas mehr Differenzierung und bei allem Entscheidungen den Einsatz des Faktors ?GMV“. Ganz einfach: gesunder Menschenverstand!
Adjunct Professor of Globalized Financial Mkts and of Financial Microstructure and Liquidity Analysis@Unicatt
2 年Ciao Klaus I suppose there was an illusion about sustainability and greeniun lower spread, considering bond side, that current inflation environment destroyed. But green bonds and ESG engagement are good for people, for society and for issuer and so they will come back as soon as inflation risk stabilize. They are a different cathegory of bond assets but not safe assets by definition , especially when there is inflation or default risk . Being selective and playing softly could be better than concentration all the risk about ESG or Green bonds only . Any abandoning strategy for ESG is irrational especially at current spreads.
Chief Investment Officer at Bergos AG
2 年Thomas Mayer is a national treasure…
Global Capital Markets | Sales | Trading | Strategy | Marketing | Risk Management | Fund Distribution
2 年I prefer the term sustainable investing instead of ESG. ESG should be seen as more of a process rather than an outcome. Should we support corrupt governments? Should we support weak corporate governance? Should we reward companies that do nothing to cut their energy use, GHG emissions or water consumption? The answer should be no. However, that should be a part of the due diligence of any investment. ESG should not be used as a blunt weapon to punish entire industries for producing the energy and commodities that everyone uses. And in fact cannot live without. I would hope that in the future all investment is sustainable. Otherwise those higher returns are unsustainable in the long run ??