Earned Value - MISUNDERSTOOD
Simon Harris
diverse thinker - #strokeWarrior since Oct'20 Earned a living in p3m & corp change space. Now drawing from health sector Amazed how little learning known in 1 & universally useful travels to other
ARRRGHHHH
Yet again this week I've heard the "Earned value isn't" exclamation that should be heard as "I'll criticise it because its name is clearly wrong (but if I thought about it a bit maybe I'd realise the name was picked by smart people so maybe they did know what they were talking about and its me that needs to appreciate a little more context".
SO
*IF* you buy warships and jet fighters n stuff under contract you have a challenge. When your contractor pitches up on the doorstep and says "Chuck us a billion" you really have to ask "Have you earned it in the context of the result I will, at some point receive? What is, as a result of you executing a fixed_price_for_a_fixed_result contract the portion that is legitimately payable?"
Therein is the 'Earned' bit.
If the contract is for $1,234,567.89c and Ms. contractor has *completed* 10% of the *work required* - as provable by quality control (independent of how many labour hours and materials are consumed) - then the portion of the contract value earned and so legitimately payable is 12,345.67. When I get my shiny new warship it has 'value ' for national pride, influence on the world-stage, fun for the Adrmirals etc but their isn't a monthly $ 'value' like there is if you have a McDonald's franchise and every burger sold after operating costs is a 5c margin.
Its NOT called earned margin.
There is no confusion nor overlap between in-project expenditure and post project ROI - it is JUST % of the result completed prorated at the rate agreed for the final delivery.
EV IS NOT ABOUT ROI!
So the folk who named EV EV did so because for them the name is EXACTLY descriptive of what the contractor has earned as a portion of the 'value (cost)' of the contract. Earned cost might be a more intuitive name but its not more or less accurate.
Now if some third party comes along and recognises a really first class solution to the really vexing question of "How do we *show* *project* *status* versus contractual commitments in a meaningful way?" and so adopts it as a solution then they perhaps(?) should rename it. But if you keep the old name don't then criticise it for not fitting alternate uses of the same word with which you've confused its application.
To think its wrongly named shows you've not understood it and to say so out loud is to show others you don't understand what it means (even if you can recite the formulas).
[[ Oh and there's quiet a bit of complexity in fixed-price contracts for long-duration, evolving high-tech solutions so you need the whole of the rest of DOD-5000 - which has (imperfect but useful) solutions for a great many of the same issues as 'agile' but a long time earlier and without crippling size of team issues nor limitation to a single discipline (but with new, different challenges). But IPT, trade-space, CAIV, TCO/ TLC etc is too much for one article. ]]
Executive Consultant at Springbok Solutions Group, LLC
4 年I wrote a whitepaper for PMI about 12 years ago where I compared the EV of agile projects and its funny how the same gotchas for traditional projects manifest themselves in agile projects, but at a faster rate. I've also argued for organisations starting on agile that fixed timelines (say 60-90 days for software development with 6-8 iterations) is a useful constraint for early adopters. In comparing projects with fixed timelines and those where scrum is applied openly, fixed timeline agile projects delivered more EV than early scrum-driven adopters. While EV takes quite a bit of work, it can be a useful metric of several metrics in your toolbox for determining value delivered over value promised
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4 年Love this diagram. Thanks Simon
Connecting human dynamics with organisational performance | Dr of Digital Transformation & AI | Author Agile for Managers | MANAGE TENSIONS NOT PEOPLE | Leader-coach, educator, speaker, angel, lifelong learner
4 年Yes, and.... Customer value is earned when you put something in the hands of the customer and can measure some aspect of their utility. The faster you can do this, the better able you are to control the risk of not building something the customer values more.
There are flaws with EVA. It does depend on having a a baseline (there are lots of plans I have seen which either don’t have one or get rebaselined every week, as we now understand that this is our current plan). It doesn’t tell you why you have deviated from the norm (which may help other projects), and it doesn’t differentiate between being 1% over and 1000% over (at least as time goes), as it just says you are over. An it also assumes you are running a methodology where time and cost can change, rather than ones where time and cost are fixed and scope is the variable