Early Warning
Clarke & Esposito
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This story is from our April 2023 issue of?The Brief—C&E's monthly newsletter covering professional and scholarly communication.?Read the full issue here.
Early Warning
Last month in?The Brief?we discussed Clarivate’s?delisting of an estimated 82 journals?from its Web of Science (WoS) Core Index (out of more than 500 under review by WoS editors). Clarivate’s action will undoubtedly lead to a drop in submissions to these journals worldwide, but the impact on revenue from China (where an emphasis on Journal Impact Factor remains strong, despite recent reforms in research assessment) is likely to be especially significant.?
In 2022, the 19 Hindawi journals recently delisted by WoS published a total of 26,436 articles, of which a staggering 20,758 were from Chinese authors and institutions, according to data from Digital Science’s Dimensions (an inter-linked research information system,?https://www.dimensions.ai). If one uses an average APC of $2,226 (likely an underestimate since the bulk of those articles likely came from 12 journals of the 19 that charge an APC of $2,550), the total potential revenue loss for articles from China alone is $46.2 million USD (this figure likely represents?a high water mark as Dimensions author?data is based on CrossRef metadata which does not always specify?corresponding authors and hence our count?may be somewhat overrepresenting payments from Chinese authors). Even if one assumes an overall discount of 20% for APC waivers – an estimate made for argument’s sake, not based on any data regarding Hindawi waiver and discount policy – this still amounts to $37 million...
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More information on China journal warning lists, how they operate, and their impact, will be available in our upcoming?International STM Publishing in China: State of the Market Report 2023. This forthcoming report by Clarke & Esposito and Osmanthus Consulting Ltd. will provide a comprehensive overview and analysis of the China market, including the domestic publishing landscape, market drivers including research assessment reforms, journal development programs and OA funding, and suggested actions for international STM publishers.?Visit our website to learn more and sign up to be alerted?when the report is released (we anticipate release?in May 2023).
Read the full story?and others from our April issue of?The Brief.?Subscribe today?to have the next issue delivered right to your inbox.