Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night [Dylan Thomas]
David Kinnear
Award-winning Lawyer (Barrister) & International Legal Counsel | Globalist & Entrepreneur
What will the legal industry be like in 10 years?
Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night [Dylan Thomas]
Almost 10 years ago when High Performance Counsel (HPC) and the now infamous persona @hipcounsel #hipcounsel was launched, we didn't have the option of asking our new BFF #ChatGPT what the legal industry would become in the ensuing decade - we had to figure that out for ourselves and share our thoughts with a few thousand friends in the industry around the world.
This week, we asked #ChatGPT what it had to say about the situation.
Of course, the spoiler alert here is that there is a lot of change ahead - some good, some opportune and plenty that is a long time coming. Whether that is good news will depend on your particular circumstances and outlook.
As King Canute evidenced, the tide will turn - and return - regardless. It is beyond the strength or willpower of any one individual to harness the forces of change. Better therefore to go with change, than fight it.
For those who only view the future of the legal industry with dread, we offer the words of Dylan Thomas: "Do not go gentle into that good night."
Embrace it, go with it, enjoy the ride - this is where the magic happens.
So here's what ChatGPT says:
Predicting the future with certainty is difficult, but based on current trends and advancements, the legal industry is likely to undergo several significant changes over the next 10 years. Some potential developments include:
Technology Integration: The legal industry will likely continue to adopt and integrate various technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and natural language processing. These technologies can automate repetitive tasks, improve legal research, contract analysis, and streamline administrative processes, making legal services more efficient.
Virtual Law Firms: With the rise of remote work and advancements in communication technology, virtual law firms may become more prevalent. These firms operate entirely online, allowing lawyers to work from anywhere and provide legal services to clients globally.
Blockchain in Law: Blockchain technology can enhance the security and transparency of legal transactions and contracts. Smart contracts, self-executing agreements built on blockchain, may become more widely used, reducing the need for intermediaries in certain legal matters.
Data Privacy and Cybersecurity Focus: As digital interactions and data sharing become more prominent, there will be an increased demand for legal professionals with expertise in data privacy and cybersecurity. The legal industry will play a crucial role in addressing emerging legal challenges related to data protection.
Legal Analytics and Predictive Modeling: Legal analytics and predictive modeling will become more prevalent, enabling lawyers to make data-driven decisions, anticipate case outcomes, and assess risks more accurately.
Rise of Online Dispute Resolution (ODR): ODR platforms will likely gain popularity for resolving disputes efficiently and cost-effectively, especially in cases involving e-commerce, online contracts, and international disputes.
Ethical and Regulatory Considerations: As technology advances, the legal industry will face ethical and regulatory challenges, including concerns related to data privacy, AI bias, and the use of autonomous systems in legal decision-making.
Flexible Billing Models: Traditional hourly billing may face competition from alternative billing models, such as flat fees, subscription-based services, or performance-based billing, to provide clients with more predictable and transparent pricing.
Diversity and Inclusion: There will likely be a greater emphasis on diversity and inclusion within the legal industry, with increased efforts to create more inclusive workplaces and representation at all levels.
Environmental and Sustainability Law: With growing awareness of environmental issues, there may be an increased demand for legal professionals specializing in environmental and sustainability law, including areas like climate change mitigation and renewable energy.
Overall, the legal industry is expected to evolve and adapt to technological advancements and societal changes, transforming the way legal services are delivered and addressing emerging legal challenges in the digital age.
So..
I'm curious what your thoughts are.
Personally, I think ChatGPT's response is quite a reasoned, balanced perspective with good insights on mechanical, if not philosophical, change. There is clearly no shortage of work for lawyers to take on in a AI-driven industry.
My strongest criticism - and others will say it is simply how the question was asked - is that it failed to speak adequately to the ethical, creative and leadership qualities that will be required of individuals and organizations alike in this new world. For better or for worse, AI will place a lot of focus on the actions of the individual and the organizations they serve or support. And a lot of people are going to be watching.
In my view there will be an increase in work being undertaken internationally - a further devolution to global sourcing cross-border multi-shore modeling. Related, on a global level, we are already seeing a macro shift in size and complexity of markets such as India and China. With tech and devolution, lawyers will never be far behind in tapping new opportunity in these "emerging markets".
Intellectual Property (IP) law will be a hot ticket - beyond moving to the cloud, adoption of AI represents and entirely new galaxy of both commercial opportunities and risks. And as almost every news headline reports on climate change and a shift to EV's, it's a safe bet that the "green law" category will become huge.
Overall, I think ChatGPT's assessment perhaps lacks the sense of juxtaposition already afoot in the industry between the opportunity on the one hand and the inevitable demise that the future represents, depending of course on whose perspective you take.
AI, for better or worse, is shaking things up on both the client and provider side of the table. With every day passing and consumers - individuals and corporations becoming more aware and more savvy - the bar rises for legal practitioners on the quality, efficiency and pricing of outcomes.
Bottom line, in my view, law has finally emerged into an outcome economy - with AI as the final nudge over the edge into a veritable freefall of wonderment mixed with raw fear. It's way too early to know quite how all this plays out fully but with #ChatGPT as our guide, what could possibly go wrong..? etc.
So what do YOU think?
David Kinnear (DK)
High-Tech Engineering , Propulsion, Agritech, Signal Processing, Microfluidics and Metallurgy Patent Attorney Creating Holistic Protection Strategies for Valued Clients. Chair of epi's WG on use of AI in patent agency.
1 年I work in IP. There are so many potential strands to the future of our work I almost do not know where to start; but to pick up on just one I think there may well be a role for AI in predicting patent grant rates in certain technology areas. This in turn could lead companies to reduce the costs that are wasted either through failures to acquire patents at all; or through expending effort in acquiring patents that turn out just to gather dust in an electronic cupboard somewhere.
The Data Diva | Data Privacy & Emerging Technologies Advisor | Technologist | Keynote Speaker | Helping Companies Make Data Privacy and Business Advantage | Advisor | Futurist | #1 Data Privacy Podcast Host | Polymath
1 年David Kinnear agreed ????.
CEO of Legal Outsourcing 2.0. High-Performance Hunter and Closer encouraging and monetizing change in the legal space.
1 年I get that things will change. The challenge with isolating one variable, such as AI, and assuming all the other variables remain constant, is that you miss other related implications. It is similar to all the folks that thought large document reviews would go away with the advent of predictive coding. The didn't factor in the growth of data against which one needed to apply predictive coding. Still plenty of large document reviews are going on. My take on the efficiencies created by AI, is it is a mistake to assume the demand for legal services will be static when the cost of the services decreases. There is huge unmet demand awaiting the new efficiencies. Lawyers will always have work to do. It is also a mistake to focus on the people whose low level skill sets make them replaceable. People have the ability to adapt. If you go back a century the focus might have been on the unemployed people that took care of horses, but not account for the freedom created by the ability to travel by car. Some of those "horse people" are now driving taxis. Same job, different technology. -Harry
CEO and Founder at Merlin Search Technologies
1 年I think the response seems empty and sanguine, kind of like a greatest hits of the various blogs out there. AI is going to radically transform the legal profession, clearing out huge swaths of professionals doing rote manual work. It will reduce the demand for legal services in major ways, supplanting and replacing manual processes. Where is that discussion? As Yogi Berra once said: "The Future is Not What it Used to Be."
This is a great post David Kinnear and adding your comments enriches the response from ChatGPT. So much in our lives will change in the next 10 years and a great deal of that will be related to technology