Discover the Secrets to Perfecting Credit Risk Assessment

Discover the Secrets to Perfecting Credit Risk Assessment



Is your credit risk assessment system falling short of accuracy and effectiveness? ?? Don't worry; you're not alone! Most of your peers face similar challenges. But the good news is, there's a way to fix it and enhance your credit risk assessment processes.

Understanding Credit Risk Assessment


Before delving into the shortcomings of a traditional credit risk assessment system, it’s essential to understand the process itself. Credit risk assessment involves analyzing various factors, such as credit history, income, and collateral, to determine the borrower’s ability to repay the loan. By evaluating these factors, lenders can assess the level of risk associated with lending to a particular individual or business.

What’s the State of Non-Performing Loans in Kenya?


Just recently, unaudited financial reports for ten listed banks by the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) indicate the banks posted a record of $627 million of bad loans in the last six months. The report also reveals a significant 60.34 percent increase, equivalent to $106 million, in provisions for bad loans over the same period.

Throughout the period, loans valued at approximately Ksh91.05 billion (equivalent to $627.93 million) deteriorated due to economic challenges, including high inflation, soaring interest rates, the weakening shilling against the dollar, and continuous political tensions. As of the end of August, the shilling had reached an unprecedented low, trading at Ksh145 against the dollar.

According to the Credit Officer Survey by the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK), most lenders foresee this trend continuing into September and the better part of the year’s last quarter.

Inefficient Credit Risk Assessment = High Non-Performing Loans


An inefficient credit risk assessment system is often closely linked to high non-performing loans (NPLs) within a financial institution.

Here’s how these two factors are interconnected:

1. Higher Risk Borrowers Approved

When an inefficient system approves loans to borrowers who are riskier than initially perceived, it increases the likelihood of lending to individuals or businesses with a higher probability of default. These borrowers may have weaker financial positions, unstable income sources, or poor credit histories.

Lack of Risk Mitigation

Inefficient systems may not effectively identify and mitigate credit risk factors. For example, they may not require collateral for riskier loans or may set inappropriate interest rates. Without adequate risk mitigation measures, the institution is exposed to higher potential losses when borrowers default.

3. Limited Monitoring

Inefficient systems may lack the capacity for ongoing monitoring of borrowers’ creditworthiness during the life of the loan. This means that changes in a borrower’s financial situation or external economic conditions may not be identified in a timely manner.

4. Delayed Response to Defaults

When defaults occur, inefficient systems may not promptly detect and respond to the situation. Delayed recognition of non-performing loans can result in slower recovery efforts and larger financial losses.

5. Capital Adequacy Concerns

High NPLs can affect a bank’s capital adequacy ratios, potentially leading to regulatory challenges and constraints on lending capacity.

In our latest blog post, we delve deep into the common challenges of traditional credit assessment systems, contributing factors, and actionable strategies to boost the reliability of your credit risk assessment.

Learn how to implement advanced technologies, avoid inaccuracies, and make informed lending decisions. Join your peers on this journey to better decision-making and reduced financial risks.

Read the full article here: Credit Risk Assessment System: Why You’re Missing the Mark (And How You Can Fix It)

Paul Musoke

Founder & Managing Partner at Ankolo Consulting

1 年

My question is whether tech firms in Africa can develop systems to help African SMEs to develop effective and financially efficient credit risk management systems that can help them to expand their sales and market share through credit provision with lowered risk.

Paul Musoke

Founder & Managing Partner at Ankolo Consulting

1 年

Hello NLS Tech team, thank you for raising the critical issue of credit risk assessment. In my work with enterprises in Africa I have noticed a reluctance despite its potential upside, to provide credit to their business buyers, mainly because of the challenges involved in collections and resultant risks of default that will impact their cash flows and bottom line.

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