The Digital Explorer Chronicles: Issue #6
Making Sense of Disruption & Transformation

The Digital Explorer Chronicles: Issue #6

AI’S POWER SHIFT: OPEN-SOURCE DISRUPTION, COMPUTE WARS, AND EUROPE’S AI STRATEGY

The AI Battleground Has Shifted?

Artificial intelligence is no longer just about intelligence—it’s about who controls infrastructure, compute power, and access to next-generation AI models.

In this issue, we’ll explore:

·?????? The AI Arms Race: DeepSeek and the Global Shift in AI Power

·?????? The AI Infrastructure Power Struggle: Compute Wars and Cloud Dominance

·?????? Europe’s AI Countermove: CERN for AI and the Quest for Sovereignty


THE AI ARMS RACE: DEEPSEEK AND THE GLOBAL SHIFT IN AI POWER?

DeepSeek’s emergence represents a significant milestone in AI’s open-source evolution, signalling a shift from centralised tech giants to distributed AI development.

Key Trends Shaping AI Competition:

a)???? DeepSeek’s Breakthroughs:

  • Multi-Head Latent Attention (MLA): Optimises AI storage and memory, reducing GPU needs.
  • GPU Communication Optimisation: Facilitates large-scale AI training on older hardware, reducing entry barriers for AI development.

b)???? AI Power No Longer Resides Only in the West:

  • China’s AI Surge: DeepSeek, Alibaba Qwen, and Baidu’s ERNIE 4.0 compete with Western AI models, providing viable alternatives.
  • Global Fragmentation: AI models are increasingly governed by national regulations rather than a cohesive ethical framework, resulting in complexities in AI oversight.

What This Implies for Enterprises:

  • Assess Options to Diversify AI Suppliers: Companies should assess alternatives to traditional AI providers to discover cost-effective, high-performance solutions.
  • Prepare for Challenges in AI Governance: The growing number of AI models increases regulatory complexity and a heightened need for ethical oversight.
  • Focus on AI-Driven Decision Intelligence: Organisations must transition from AI experimentation to executing a comprehensive AI strategy.

Key Insight: DeepSeek is more than an AI model—it signifies a shift towards decentralisation in AI leadership. This shift creates opportunities for innovation but also introduces governance risks and challenges.


THE AI INFRASTRUCTURE POWER STRUGGLE: COMPUTE WARS AND CLOUD DOMINANCE

The AI battle is not just about models; increasingly, organisations need to consider who possesses the infrastructure required to train and deploy them.?

The New Compute Reality:

a)???? NVIDIA’s GPU Monopoly Faces New Challenges

  • NVIDIA continues to hold a dominant position, yet AI chip startups like Cerebras and Graphcore are offering alternative computing architectures.
  • China’s rapid advancement in AI has stimulated local innovations in GPUs, reducing dependence on Western hardware.?

b)???? Hyperscalers as AI Gatekeepers

  • Open-source AI allows anyone to access models; however, large-scale AI deployment is controlled by hyperscalers such as AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, and Alibaba Cloud.
  • Dependency on computation could enhance the consolidation of AI power, even in an open-source future.

Strategic Considerations:

·?????? Governments should reassess AI sovereignty; a limited number of cloud providers should not monopolise the deployment of AI models.

·?????? Enterprises must future-proof their AI strategies by utilising a blend of on-premises, cloud, and decentralised AI models.?

Key Insight: The future of AI may be influenced more by the organisations that wield control over computing than by those who simply create the most intelligent models.


EUROPE’S AI COUNTERMOVE: CERN FOR AI & THE QUEST FOR SOVEREIGNTY

As the USA and China lead AI innovation, Europe must either remain dependent or strive for AI independence. CERN for AI proposes a public supercomputing initiative for artificial intelligence, taking inspiration from CERN’s achievements in physics research.

What CERN for AI Could Deliver:

·?????? A European AI supercomputing infrastructure decreasing dependence on hyperscalers.

·?????? Investment in AI safety and regulations that reflect European values.

·?????? A centralised research hub designed to attract top AI talent to Europe.

Challenges to Overcome: Significant funding requirements (€30-35 billion over three years, akin to global AI supercomputing projects). Coordination among EU nations is essential to align AI priorities and effectively compete with private-sector AI investments from the USA, the UK, and China.

Key Insight: If Europe aspires to lead in AI, it must commit to substantial investment—not just regulation. CERN for AI could symbolise Europe’s moonshot moment.


FINAL THOUGHTS: AI’S POWER STRUCTURES ARE SHIFTING

AI is no longer merely a technological race; it has evolved into a geopolitical and infrastructural conflict. Open-source models like DeepSeek are revolutionising access to AI, yet cloud and computing power continue to present significant bottlenecks. CERN for AI could allow Europe to regain its competitiveness in the field, but substantial investments are required.


JOIN THE CONVERSATION

Will cloud hyperscalers control the future of AI, or will open-source models establish a fairer playing field?

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judgmentcallpodcast.com covers this AI infrastructure power struggle explored.

Arvind Mishra

AI Transformation Advisor | Building AI-powered businesses | U.K. & Middle East via DIFC

2 周

Tony Moroney AI has shifted from a technological race to a?geopolitical and infrastructural battleground.?So true!

Moulinath Chakrabarty

AI-Powered Software Engineering | Generative AI, Responsible AI & Self-Healing AI | Insurance | Writer

2 周

Tony Moroney "The future of AI may be influenced more by the organisations that wield control over computing than by those who simply create the most intelligent models". I think organizations who will be able to ensure the integrity of their data will eventually go ahead, particularly in context-rich domains like Financial Services, Healthcare etc. Also, the citizen developers will also benefit while computing and models keep progressing. Thoughts?

Irina Gulevskaya

I help global organizations maximize financial performance through high-impact financial strategy, process transformation, and shared service optimization | Transformation & Shared Services Leader | Head of Finance

3 周

Hey Tony! This is such a timely and insightful topic – thanks for sharing your thoughts. The rapid evolution of AI is incredibly exciting, yet can feel overwhelming. In your view, how can small businesses begin to leverage generative AI without breaking the bank?

Tony, it would be good to draw parallel with some existing structures- look at ESG- plurality of standards and regional variations vs AI; similarly, most national regulators have placed data restrictions thereby forcing hyperscalers to establish federated data centres.While many felt SLMs are the way to go, deep seek has shown that you can work on Quantisation and Inference time computing to get more profound results. While it is heartening to see progress on quantum computing, people are going to see how the existing compute could be stretched...good challenges to have

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