A Dickensian Christmas "Tale of Two Incumbents": Navigating Change in Automotive Industry
Dr. Bernhard Koelmel
Pforzheim University / International School of Management (ISM) / Texas State University / Technology Futures / Innovation
As the holiday season unfolds and the air becomes infused with the spirit of goodwill and joy, the timeless stories of Charles Dickens emerge as cherished companions during Christmas festivities. Among the plethora of festive tales, Dickens's narratives hold a special place, not only for their thematic resonance with the season but also for their enduring relevance that transcends time and cultural boundaries. While classics like "A Christmas Carol" and Christmas fairy tales abound, it is Dickens's "A Tale of Two Cities" that, with its profound themes of resurrection, sacrifice, and the triumph of the human spirit, stands as a beacon of reflection and celebration in the heart of the Yuletide season. In this season of merriment and reflection, we delve into the significance of Dickens's narratives, particularly "A Tale of Two Cities," exploring how these literary masterpieces enrich the holiday tapestry with their timeless lessons and captivating storytelling.
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A Tale of Two Incumbents (based on A Tale of Two Cities)
It was the best of times for Kodak, the photographic giant that had once dominated the industry. It was the worst of times for Fujifilm, a company struggling to catch up on the global stage. This tale, however, took an unexpected turn, leading to the rise of one and the fall of the other.
In the mid-20th century, Kodak stood as the undisputed leader in photographic film, casting a shadow over its competitors. Meanwhile, Fujifilm, a regional player from Tokyo, was making strides to expand its global footprint, albeit from a considerable distance.
As the years unfolded, the narrative began to shift. Kodak, blinded by its historical success, failed to foresee the disruptive forces of digitization that were about to reshape the industry. In 1975, Kodak even pioneered the digital camera, unwittingly sowing the seeds of its own demise. The shift from film to digital photography, a revolution spurred by Kodak's own invention, led to a staggering 90% drop in demand for camera film within a decade.
In 2012, Kodak declared bankruptcy, a poignant contrast to its once-dominant position. The world witnessed the fall of a photographic empire that clung persistently to outdated technologies and resisted the winds of change.
On the other side of the globe, Fujifilm faced a similar storm but chose a different course. The traditional photographic film business, which accounted for the majority of Fujifilm's profits in 2000, plummeted to a mere 1% of total sales by 2011. However, Fujifilm demonstrated a remarkable resilience and adaptability.
Fujifilm's transformation was not a mere survival tactic; it was a strategic evolution. The company shifted its focus from traditional photographic film to diversified areas such as healthcare and electronics. By 2015, Fujifilm had become a diversified company with significant operations in health care and electronics, a far cry from its origins as a narrow photographic film supplier.
The key to Fujifilm's success lay in its ability to see beyond the obvious. In a seemingly unrelated move, the company entered the cosmetics industry in 2006, leveraging its analog film manufacturing technology. The thickness of a photographic film, it turned out, shared similarities with the manufacturing requirements of cosmetics. Fujifilm successfully applied its accumulated knowledge of collagen technology to create a line of skincare products, Astalift, which grew into a global brand.
Moreover, Fujifilm ventured into the healthcare field with a medical diagnostic imaging system, applying its digital camera technology. This strategic move, aligning with the wave of digitization in healthcare, further showcased the company's prowess in adapting to emerging trends.
In stark contrast to Kodak's downfall, Fujifilm's success story becomes a lesson in adaptability and strategic foresight. Kodak's bankruptcy serves as a cautionary tale of a company that clung to its past glories, while Fujifilm's transformation demonstrates the power of embracing change and venturing into uncharted territories.
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As we turn the pages of this tale, it becomes evident that in the realm of business, the ability to evolve, diversify, and embrace technological shifts is the true harbinger of success. Fujifilm's journey from a distant follower to a global leader serves as a testament to the enduring truth that in the ever-changing landscape of industry, only those who dare to adapt and innovate shall endure. The tale of two incumbents is one of rise and fall, but more profoundly, it is a tale of choices and consequences in the face of inevitable change.
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A Tale of Two Incumbents: Epilogue - A Yuletide Allegory for Automotive Industry
In the annals of industry, the echoes of Kodak's downfall and Fujifilm's ascent reverberate as cautionary verses for a new generation. As the pages of this tale unfold, we find ourselves on familiar ground, traversing the landscapes of disruption and transformation.
Now, transpose this narrative onto the canvas of the German automotive industry, particularly its revered network of suppliers. In the realm where precision meets innovation, the parallels become strikingly evident.
The Kodaks of the automotive landscape are those stalwart suppliers, entrenched in their historic successes, basking in the glow of traditional technologies. Yet, the winds of change, much like the digitization that engulfed Kodak, are blowing through the automotive corridors. The rise of electric vehicles, autonomous driving, and the era of connectivity signals a paradigm shift akin to the digital revolution.
A call to action for automotive incumbents
It is a call to action for these automotive incumbents, akin to the pivotal moment faced by Kodak. Adaptability, the elixir of survival, beckons them. The fate of Kodak serves as a stark reminder – clinging to the familiar can lead to an irreversible decline.
Fujifilm's saga, in contrast, offers a roadmap for the German automotive suppliers. Diversify, evolve, and transcend the boundaries of conventional expertise. Much like Fujifilm ventured into cosmetics, these suppliers must explore avenues beyond the traditional auto components.
Embracing transformation and digitalization becomes the cornerstone, much as Fujifilm did with its medical diagnostic imaging system. The integration of cutting-edge technologies and market transformation is not a threat but a promise of renewed relevance.
As we look to the future of the (German) automotive industry, the tale of two incumbents becomes a narrative of choice. In a landscape where adaptability is the currency, those who harness their core competencies to explore new territories shall script their own destiny. The road ahead is uncertain, but therein lies the beauty – the beauty of choice, innovation, and the promise of transformation. The tale continues, and the choices made today will resonate across the chapters of automotive history.
Innovation and Business Development Manager at TFC Research and Innovation Limited
1 年Merry Christmas, Bernhard !