Delhi Assembly Elections 2025: Exit Poll Analysis

As the dust settles on the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections, analysis of exit polls, news articles and party worker interviews conducted by Claight Research indicate a significant shift in voter sentiment. While the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) had enjoyed a decade-long dominance, the latest projections suggest a resurgence for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), marking a dramatic turn in Delhi’s political landscape. This report presents a detailed analysis of the electoral trends and a comparison with previous elections.

Insights from the Chief Election Strategist

Jaideep Kumar, Vice President of Market Research at Claight and the Chief Election Analyst, stated that this election reflects shifting priorities among Delhi voters. "The 2025 elections have been influenced by governance issues, new political alliances, and the BJP’s reinvigorated strategy in the capital," he noted.

Key Election Highlights

• BJP’s Resurgence
• The BJP is projected to make significant gains, challenging AAP’s stronghold in several key constituencies.
• If the projections hold, BJP will end its 26-year-long drought in Delhi.

AAP’s Challenges

• AAP appears to be losing ground, especially in areas where governance and infrastructure issues have been key concerns.
• Several high-profile AAP leaders are projected to lose their seats, indicating a major decline in their voter base.

Congress Remains Marginalized

• The Congress continues to be a distant third, struggling to regain lost influence.
• Despite efforts to revive its base, Congress is projected to win just 1 seat, marking another disappointing performance.

Major Setbacks for AAP

• Manish Sisodia, a senior AAP leader, is projected to lose in his constituency, marking a major blow to the party’s leadership.
• Arvind Kejriwal’s hold over the New Delhi seat is under serious challenge, and for the first time, he is seen in a vulnerable position.

With both AAP and BJP projected to secure 34-36 seats each, Delhi appears to be heading for a tightly contested outcome. The final results will determine whether BJP’s resurgence translates into actual governance or if AAP manages to hold onto power with a narrow margin. Delhi’s political future has never been more uncertain, and all eyes are now on the final election results.

Disclaimer: This is not an exit poll but an analysis of post election exit polls by various news outlets, news articles and interviews with party workers across all parties. The actual results may be different.